Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
1 w" B. d* W8 G, z2 j) I" ~7 m4 n; MMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
8 H+ ?" _( I& ~Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
) ?3 `1 g0 i$ p3 dNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

+ a/ `9 Y: p4 l7 d4 o3 JOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
" {' _+ K" }8 _  M# K
Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
+ B- P$ t; Z; M, b8 K
: S7 I( |8 l9 |( C6 o4 r) `1 a# aAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

Jul 2007
NA
. H0 D( g( H" o( R( G9 u' _' u 2328
, K7 K9 V' I% I; d6 L: M% t# b 717
/ u( L! P3 }  v2 S" u8 T 442,752
410,000
320
28
31%
2 s& p" b9 r0 u- p$ \4 {
Jun 2007
7 M% f9 P0 w# `2 ` NA
* i' G6 j7 i7 l7 N/ o; y' b& w 2661
# v  `* U5 z* L6 G" A6 X 1011
442,817
409,000
! c1 ^" y8 o1 S7 ]+ P8 Q9 I 328
22
3 p! n1 Q9 C: l 38%
! F- P- a5 P8 \5 I3 H; A4 \
; a( {" `. \: |  T% E6 TMay 2007
( D5 x4 {+ j+ ?3 R2 B NA
% G5 P+ o) @) V6 |4 x7 K 2288
; t, r% S) @8 }- ? 1261
# R0 O1 f" x1 E7 ?: l. V1 P6 @4 B 451,216
! p0 d4 T5 z6 ]" M" Z. a 415,000
322
9 c; _5 @4 Z+ I) ?" D 19
1 i2 x, q$ g3 M+ }' R 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
# l, [, s5 D- L! t  S存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
. @/ l2 B: N& ]2 i鉴定完毕！

/ z! q4 }) b+ C( c( V1 s
) h  n5 X# O4 G4 y% O8 i用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
8 o  ]8 W: M) j9 T) H# J存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

& l0 t/ P0 T: G) m& W2 t$ ]呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

! h) s6 k' f) g) Q; P" |+ a0 [6 Y: O这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
+ {4 f) R* t" s* `) iDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
+ k  ?$ o" e" y7 PDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

4 H# J2 }  g) `0 ]

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
, o% `7 g2 R8 `! Zgood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
* @/ Z- U. ]# J( E% m) K7 X- }In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
0 ~7 x# O, t( M6 h5 L  D: H; M0 tHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

2 L6 k7 \6 R/ v% k! iI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
$ M# H: O& a$ |2 r- JEdmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
+ @7 _1 w# T8 K! d# R2 yIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
$ N: l* E2 y/ \5 x, |; I# {) j- r- iNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

  I8 C) V% G- b$ H4 XQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表


I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
# w( j5 I, g0 M, I# R1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

1 @) S5 c- g5 @& w( Z( c下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
8 R; k3 J& \( U" ~: {
% }- ^; _; T% E5 U" M2 n

只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
7 `0 \& h( }/ u! s  ]* e看来，观察days inventory 更重要。