Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
8 J0 J8 M4 x- F( i. F" b5 UMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

- l9 i+ T( E9 K) B6 g8 q: r% x2 R' ZSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
! u% `/ r) p* s1 r+ l+ C3 O/ J
% @* s. j" J8 _2 y6 ]Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

Jul 2007
NA
2328
/ o  ]& h* d6 |5 d/ Z& B 717
442,752
$ T- Y- q$ U! J2 e* q 410,000
320
5 r. c/ W$ J3 q, i1 H% j 28
31%

3 D# ?; X  W0 t) @, v' A4 `Jun 2007
NA
2661
( q2 `# t  P7 `; ]4 p2 b4 B 1011
5 ]; @- D8 \" i0 v; y% x: | 442,817
409,000
328
. `9 @) o' o) o" C$ I, m/ U 22
38%

May 2007
NA
2288
1261
451,216
3 T% U1 S( X; I  p' A( g 415,000
322
$ ?: Q- x( U1 q' D- Q  H) ^& h 19
$ K0 @8 B6 d. A, w 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
& j6 }% d$ V8 P$ j) P鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
* h$ u* J$ [) N- V# i% E+ s2 [: e这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
* \/ C! |: U2 H: b存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
% A; r, T3 `* ~鉴定完毕！

3 I8 o* n% v# k
4 Y0 c4 u/ [! d3 K用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
9 ~- j1 R7 N; H( {4 s: W2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
3 |- g% v; b7 _6 n鉴定完毕！

5 X. o" P% r$ D6 f8 _& P. ~- Z呵呵，太不专业了吧。
0 x" |, M* z/ l
新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
  E" `3 n( I2 ~- @/ P* o6 \
这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

2 ~' y/ z3 y2 E

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
* Q6 w( ]9 o( _Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
+ D# w, Q6 z3 Z: }How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
4 \3 N3 w& Y; |How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

( u3 K! V; B: V: I, v# }
* P9 Z% E- b8 E1 y( q/ A1 G9 CI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
/ v4 U  u" J3 |5 R( `Edmonton Single Family Home
0 `( }* O, B; k  z# Y' Q; BMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
" n  I2 p+ P8 ?' T; i, DIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
; }/ v# U( s8 O' h
/ g) `7 S% M, u5 `0 q$ W
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

3 O  ^& O: D" X" \, b  }9 D

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
9 n+ w6 P* E2 M1 e3 B1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
- P& {" H/ _$ M% W* [+ I2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

0 D/ |3 N( @) ~6 C( v; \0 |
) y0 D" Q$ x0 h下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
, s% i$ e, n& W$ B1 f6 ?' H

  Y+ k( s5 U( z# ?
% ?4 a9 |, q0 [; X: }5 ]$ o8 v& Q- h只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。