Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
- Z2 E# u  d$ i6 p$ d. @MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
% _# e: g# a% W+ Y! J  PIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
/ L% Z+ Y; I: p2 W% g' RNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
* f1 X3 e' n" V+ C" p+ _
( ?0 W( m/ I  g; e( Y5 X/ hDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
; y, S9 v/ ]5 t9 @9 n8 j$ x- C
, i# y& Y6 l  U0 i  i/ }9 ]% \Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
/ ?2 I: O9 s7 S/ p  X* c5 Y, |" Q$ g
Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
7 A$ }( I0 ~8 ]
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
: |1 t+ ^' A4 B. D* a
2 B" R. N! s' z; Z9 Y. U& HJul 2007
NA
2328
; @! ~- A( D, |1 A, ~! Z* R 717
+ y, p" v: e1 f! | 442,752
410,000
" ~( J$ p  }% M( G% K0 L 320
" l# G* x# ]7 E& T: f# U 28
31%

/ r4 x; I+ E$ T8 @1 ^: OJun 2007
  |! f! D5 O$ R NA
5 @$ Q" J( S) e$ L- t5 J- R 2661
1011
442,817
409,000
328
# W0 C- L  X9 @+ i: Q 22
1 p. W" n- e  y 38%
7 G7 r4 j2 c' V& Y
) M" s+ v& A' JMay 2007
" b2 G! b" Y+ C( y NA
0 x% y- s& K) W8 b$ ~1 a 2288
1261
451,216
; j6 @2 L( ]+ W4 _0 b, E 415,000
322
19
6 i) ~% E" g$ W$ f' p' w/ ~ 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
. Q1 R4 p3 b2 B9 N6 w鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
, t$ Y7 I. o6 y3 v% H: a* k# m, J鉴定完毕！

6 D1 J) b! d7 B. U9 f
呵呵，太不专业了吧。

0 |+ A6 ?# k0 q新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

9 |: t3 o% z) `; ]( F: v" }就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

/ I9 u, c5 j) M5 ?* Q2 G4 E这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

" Q! F! _" o& U7 ~! |3 y: k, l9 u. D0 X
1 T# C, I3 ?( S+ b8 Y# O9 Y

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
* E4 W, J1 O' u0 V# q* {Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
/ A6 y2 O' s2 ]1 lIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
: t9 i% }* x9 p: |! v  IHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
/ N+ }# U' N3 V1 n9 {4 x# {good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
  J6 {; V0 ~- X# y! ]In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

. q) y* l4 {6 D
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

* d9 [8 s8 m3 V1 m, z( vQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
1 _1 c& K4 I& r' E8 j4 @! g
3 S& y, z$ S* Y( z; _) h7 r, r
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

: \' [/ V: S8 U) C' Z

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
7 r7 F0 z2 O, n, B5 F# v0 }3 q1 i1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
. F& n+ f2 G  ^: @. V( g, x2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

. l7 R7 ?2 S& y: F; G: U
2 }. V3 u) a; T( G" Y* m下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
/ c5 A7 g3 ]' U* S

: _1 D" q4 X8 Z8 I+ {1 D- y
只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
& l, _+ I) ]9 s# }6 {( ^( F! ]$ g看来，观察days inventory 更重要。