Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
. G5 o" _. S9 [" k# YIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
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, b/ G3 a0 i+ xDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
% o* u% S* @- t) O5 q
Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
( H8 O, S, f0 ]( h
/ ^2 ^6 r) f/ bSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
/ j; x8 |- ~2 }1 e+ I2 R
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

" U- O  m# {$ R$ E: d* b7 d0 TJul 2007
6 i" u" p, u) y/ e$ Z2 } NA
2328
717
, m1 g8 i: h% h' I 442,752
410,000
320
28
31%

Jun 2007
& b  _- b+ Y! p+ H NA
: r* K9 z& S% K5 w. I, g/ b  v: L3 Z 2661
- }1 G$ ]& P6 T) k- Z0 [' y- G 1011
442,817
409,000
328
22
* Q3 p1 b+ t+ c 38%

May 2007
NA
2288
1261
3 u7 @# J. w- M3 R/ F( l 451,216
415,000
322
19
# D) G1 j7 {1 d' i9 G0 B 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
! r, @. V# J& N* Z存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
8 J8 W+ F0 ~2 p* |  k鉴定完毕！

, C/ z. [% p  A4 J2 o" E
用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
$ x7 W% }6 W4 x& u" @0 V2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
8 h. n) @( ?9 ~/ `) L存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

" @5 v+ l. w3 n& `3 Z4 b5 h* I
呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量
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就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
9 E' e4 c4 A% D
这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

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紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

! E& b+ A1 ]& r8 C. s

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
' F- k- }9 k$ Y; D' _" L/ O9 NIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
, {4 l4 K* A3 h1 l4 r. [( y1 RHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

( Y: k- t' ], _I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
9 a. {5 q2 W' `* ?4 H, m4 S) Q! @; ^Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

# E6 W' O  A' h# T$ O0 K2 [/ EQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
) H, A' O6 |2 i6 Y' }

I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

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WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
0 D# j( m2 j1 g- v& Y1 j8 n$ W2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
; W. s: y3 ?$ O3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

7 r; j- v! Q1 H# i# C. N2 V5 ^# F

' M7 w' J/ o; ~3 E4 j/ @只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。