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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. * Z5 W% D4 _6 g* w: z2 p
) l; V$ d% N, {0 qThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. * \1 l. B2 [: x. @
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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7 i, h- K* v3 {$ K+ z% RNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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& O& I6 T6 U( n4 g& V"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. - p/ w5 }1 L$ t" n" H
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." $ }4 T1 H& s! K
& G5 u5 F8 t0 ^$ c6 HIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 5 Y1 W L* ^% \* @
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. ' e: F% q) z7 t. _8 M0 J7 F
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.9 Z$ Y5 a. g t3 B$ O% R
* \! P' @$ R* v; O$ ]" N) }$ |$ ~CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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