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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. . J% q- f6 v' F+ I
! ~* X( Q( `: k3 t9 UNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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) w0 Z& z, k3 NIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.7 }+ ^9 |: V; k) m6 |, M9 I* `
- M' z! a! |# I+ p& H"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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: s' j7 w" Y( ^/ DHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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2 c! E1 e% E: @* m3 YIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. " ~% g( D1 g# o% s( w" i
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.5 Y& A6 f6 Z* G' e+ z6 J& E
1 n/ U# E/ ~# |, r2 A3 yCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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