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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. , N2 ]2 [ n" d) S u1 f
# y8 s1 |) c* t2 A n9 F* OThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. # b1 q" ~' U9 w
! B0 R2 s* v' U U: x* uThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. / s0 K: q$ ~0 {4 n0 K3 |
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.: ]/ \# j2 ]5 |8 O8 H2 g
' {' h. g: }- n6 ?4 W"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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; p( W( D C! q' E9 s5 F! ^However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 6 o% u0 g, y; n5 P! k, Z: W
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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$ i4 _0 [ ^5 b0 u* x( oCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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