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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
0 _' U Q* O% r, I* V* _rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly5 o" [. m0 h _% ?- p
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) |- Q) c" B7 Hoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate./ a5 l& d( g! Y7 b7 R( q5 e; h
0 u& p! e4 I) a% {' nThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& b1 A* `: `& P1 {: [9 |strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
. S/ V* J* l. F ^( @4 q1 H" U- ~! HUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
' S4 J& _% c$ u% Fin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.- U8 @( x& x7 F3 Y) O
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal) B) N C# B/ n4 Z# o
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the5 L8 _+ x& l. C4 e( u- ] D
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& W+ Y9 |! M' b6 u3 ^- G3 win higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
& a4 z4 N7 T4 [+ c- Oimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
$ X5 d4 p1 B1 K |% j6 h+ }spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 y+ p9 @1 q% f) H Nprices and some tightening of financial conditions.! d" d$ E% `+ \' d
3 f7 f1 P; Q' j @Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ G* t& D# {3 U) |9 J% N* f
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed./ c1 f! @, J, F4 ?% ^4 q
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with5 ~( X: e0 a, I* S3 R6 C
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 U5 Y7 W# i1 ~0 T# D+ M8 M; ibalanced recovery.9 l" l9 ]( z3 n w
2 X0 z9 L) X( ^# z
CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects: R5 v. ~) s% f, r7 z2 ?, V) e0 w
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
y4 Y: W% P- }supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. d* `- O+ R1 B* e
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + Z5 q! O5 _5 x" t# M/ S7 N
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 1 X4 i# }$ s& i! n
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.2 [6 r! R2 P* u5 o
) A" B5 l3 U1 E$ iGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary Q5 m# G2 }2 a% r* N6 x6 w
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic1 ~8 c. J' w1 [6 s6 |5 }
developments.+ q6 A$ j; Q! T e2 R4 I6 H3 e
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Information note:
9 e5 h! E! [6 a; vThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 ^; K3 ~. R3 a2 z, a: e$ A! Pof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 h& Z' H+ w! \. }+ wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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