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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
$ B$ P0 M, \- D, X! `. m# nrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
0 \& v' P1 j8 C- Mraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 y1 i) I3 ?. J# \
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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( O( O# n- P0 o8 V% gThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with% F$ _% t6 F3 l' ~0 J
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
) }7 D& R. ^3 x& R4 c" {United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
+ ]* k% r) b' l* s& Cin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
" s3 f }: f" T( h! RIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal' S# x: r' g0 p2 ?+ P1 L
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the: a' E8 H& n! b2 k5 p6 U& b, j; y
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result6 a% r$ n% S* B
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an8 J% s9 Z5 M! I7 e* c6 w2 |
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
7 Q3 T/ Y/ B: Q: b2 B( qspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity1 ~/ e4 H& F$ N, C+ Q# l2 g
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 l& @8 m1 o- x4 v
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
1 s+ W6 C: t! H2 H* nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 A" W; h6 B. T2 t& z6 [% J
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with5 s$ r) ~3 F/ a6 _
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
0 |8 b" N: w/ O+ Y' Rbalanced recovery.
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! B7 ?; z4 _6 p: O( |& @CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; e; ~2 @' |+ Q( K: tthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess7 Q4 M8 _1 R# d: L
supply.: z! S+ Q5 u+ |- _; ?
7 }) ]3 h4 X/ O& T5 UIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and! q B T% T C) t* j
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
3 K7 E, e2 v* ]6 P, Y' N8 T/ }monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
' L# s' |# ]. q, V3 P$ f/ f& ksignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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; Q8 T" T% L* ~2 @# AGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
$ E- ]/ i# v4 g! h0 j8 \stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic0 u) ~, J% W; J% f2 g& V1 l$ e/ N$ j
developments.
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Information note:; Q" F! K8 o/ N% J* j; d
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
' C b$ e/ o# P; v2 Fof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 j% `4 l) B9 e8 Epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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