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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market; j3 N! @5 L6 z( Z0 A! P
5 L5 Z* I; c S% _ ?* {& i" ~* P: lOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( C, }& Y4 S' J h w
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
. d( A& [; P1 e; \' v& araised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal. q- W# Y O4 P1 c) P
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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4 `4 V- z- n1 [, ]3 r# VThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with3 Y; u7 U/ b: }0 j: }+ \. h/ c2 @
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the& i. V( W4 o9 M+ p5 `6 M' M
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness6 ]# G8 N, K) C& _
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.0 o1 g0 m8 s! x' n
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
i3 B3 \- J9 _stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
7 a2 _6 f! K1 b8 Gvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result+ o; m( w6 ^- y% m* }8 @. @1 g
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an& P. [% e2 U( j u
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
+ `0 u5 z- _" d% j. R2 T" _4 Kspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity4 m& ~ }9 _+ ^" Q/ y; ^6 C2 ^
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.6 V* [, c, J! c! @( K9 @8 G
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
3 g$ U+ ?# z1 H/ r! E- E1 @in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.( p' k- {9 I, @; g" d, a
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
Y2 ?" g/ ^7 G: C, r" tincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
' {+ v$ a* w. M& ^& b) xbalanced recovery.; Z- O. o' H( S% L
4 F' W1 d( Y; ACPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
8 H s" j- `8 _# X& _6 Tthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
/ r& m1 A# j. }! G& X1 p B6 jsupply.
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" X5 x: P4 p+ qIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
7 c' F; L" k% [5 B6 fto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
4 \, p* H' f9 F. {$ X0 jmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 8 l7 m& w6 I: a' u
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Z5 f2 Z: K* g+ u9 NGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
" Q" ?) h3 r% P% Ystimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic" Z; e9 s/ x; v4 i4 S$ r2 x7 K0 v
developments.
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Information note:( G4 s' ~; C$ h1 k' \# h, M
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update9 o& ?9 ~; S1 Q
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be2 Y! ~7 u8 e' D3 I
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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