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埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

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鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
发表于 2010-10-4 16:19 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告4 d. g# _' ~- R- N* f% T( |' K

7 C" g( @3 }+ @2 f" W                            ——9月市场平稳,消费者静观其变
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本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html,中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。, G0 u! J' Y6 @

' j1 ^' S/ Z1 h- B8 A2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息:进入今年最后一个季度,埃德蒙顿房价平稳,没有大的波动。9月份,独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平,康兜(Condo)的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后,9月略有回升。与8月相比,9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。
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“市场好像正在休整期”,埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示,“在经历了过去几年的震荡,买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后,消费者们现在显得理智和冷静,静观下一步的市场动态”。目前,市场仍有8,600个单元待售,买家有足够的选择空间。
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5 m9 O4 I& Y& X2 O% O3 A, k. y9月份,独立屋的平均价格为$370,653;而康兜(Condo)的价格,在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹,均价为$238,822,升高了近1%,但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728;丢普莱克斯(duplex)和排屋(rowhouse)的成交均价为$313,462,下降了11%,但是这类房型的总成交量小,代表性差,所以每月波动很大;而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499,较上月下降了近0.25%。
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2 j3 N! e6 E7 I9 R7 W0 T1 I. _+ i  Z( T9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月,新上市房屋为2,688个单元,挂牌销售比为47%,房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化,仍然为57天。
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7 P9 g1 A9 x" a! k9 D! L. O, h“第三季度的市场活动,与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”,Westergard说,“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落,但仍然好于第一季度的水平,这显示了上半年的市场充满活力,深受宏观经济形势走强的感染,同时也受到了加息的威胁。”% z; l; D) d  D3 k$ f0 {! u! r3 v

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September 2010 activityRecord for
0 e/ B3 x1 }1 t; q                the month*
% change from& c  l4 P! s% I  G7 a7 o
                September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month1,379-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month$450 million-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year$4.94 billion-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month1,187-23.20%
Residential average price$326,4990%
SFD² average selling   price - month$370,6530.70%
SFD median³ selling   price$348,0000.55%
Condo average selling price$238,822-3.10%
          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.' R' J# l, V. c/ X) s
². Single Family Dwelling
! y3 |2 X: `5 t- B8 R/ G8 v: Z$ e' u³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
# o' P0 \2 v& U; V9 W! W          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.
鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-10-4 16:31 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。; w- G, Q+ F- y  A: F( {1 h, y; N1 Q
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上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”,这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”,看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套,但8月份有31天而9月份有30天,哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55,而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57,也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。
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3 Z: I7 q1 Y3 Y# ~- E小明第一次考试90分,第二次考试80分,第三次考试70分,第四次考试70分。在我看来,小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑,说明了一定的问题。
鲜花(1269) 鸡蛋(4)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:03 | 显示全部楼层
哈哈,那是时候买还是卖?
鲜花(25) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:11 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:16 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
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上个月的报告说“8月 ...
( {8 o7 j2 s$ }7 m3 y, s老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31
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9 C( g) d' C8 e  i5 v) \3 Q算得这么细,肯定是借外脑了,是不是请酷暑帮你算的?
鲜花(34) 鸡蛋(5)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:31 | 显示全部楼层
统计口径差别大,Bob Truman个人统计:% U! U7 P4 O3 o6 |
Sep 382,273 350,000. `6 f! B. S! k3 u$ d# x
Aug 392,082 357,500
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:24 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:54 | 显示全部楼层
分享!
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 12:21 | 显示全部楼层
不止是有点暖,是高烧~
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' g- ], g( V/ a6 Ghttp://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story
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+ N2 t: W# X) m# e+ a9 [Edmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
2 {* c/ B" Z$ H! N High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend( y6 x% o( l+ N, V; S& P5 W

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' ~/ @7 e/ h; E5 f# T4 p4 KEDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.9 U5 [5 V) t1 o$ M& W* L! s

7 t, @8 C5 ]/ j- P1 z“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.: ?7 G- }) ?- ?) t5 f7 j  }

) W( T" o7 e/ N* U( LSales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said. 9 ]4 j% O3 A- y+ E& j; p

" P: ~2 @$ [' I6 o, R3 Q4 XFifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.6 f: n  g$ a: [

1 V" j0 F( n4 IThe urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.
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  \, Q& T9 U7 i“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September. - ?. `6 b8 n5 E% Z

6 n' \  N! C( a; e“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
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Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.# ]+ j8 ]1 a  c2 z
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The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.4 _& z2 d2 A( y- Y
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Average price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.
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Inventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.
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“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.( i3 i; R1 n2 `: g. D7 U* L# ^. o
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First-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.
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# n$ e% E1 c, x) [# _6 ZAn influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”- x4 Z6 y2 Z; {% _6 \+ q9 U
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The report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.7 _7 ]6 n1 V5 z) _+ \* r& s
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Prices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.' S2 |& G2 U0 p) N- C& ]
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“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.% H* r: q1 V+ [! l

) R% B% o9 O3 _4 k: _, ^+ S“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”
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