埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

老杨

埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

                            ——9月市场平稳，消费者静观其变

; g1 i. X/ z  W8 D  Q, v1 V本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html，中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。

2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息：进入今年最后一个季度，埃德蒙顿房价平稳，没有大的波动。9月份，独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平，康兜（Condo）的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后，9月略有回升。与8月相比，9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。

“市场好像正在休整期”，埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示，“在经历了过去几年的震荡，买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后，消费者们现在显得理智和冷静，静观下一步的市场动态”。目前，市场仍有8,600个单元待售，买家有足够的选择空间。
4 C5 L6 y- U4 E; I
( l: n. q1 a9 A- r9月份，独立屋的平均价格为$370,653；而康兜（Condo）的价格，在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹，均价为$238,822，升高了近1%，但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728；丢普莱克斯（duplex）和排屋（rowhouse）的成交均价为$313,462，下降了11%，但是这类房型的总成交量小，代表性差，所以每月波动很大；而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499，较上月下降了近0.25%。

9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月，新上市房屋为2,688个单元，挂牌销售比为47%，房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化，仍然为57天。

+ i4 f8 M4 r1 X8 t+ g“第三季度的市场活动，与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”，Westergard说，“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落，但仍然好于第一季度的水平，这显示了上半年的市场充满活力，深受宏观经济形势走强的感染，同时也受到了加息的威胁。”

September 2010 activity	Record for $ G5 \8 ^: `. f3 R/ P9 e) y# g$ q                the month*	% change from 3 t# s3 J. N7 e: W                September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month	1,379	-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month	$450 million	-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year	$4.94 billion	-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month	1,187	-23.20%
Residential average price	$326,499	0%
SFD² average selling   price - month	$370,653	0.70%
SFD median³ selling   price	$348,000	0.55%
Condo average selling price	$238,822	-3.10%

          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
- \7 W( L/ w, q². Single Family Dwelling
3 J$ F! H1 @; h& N; N: N³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.

老杨

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
5 g# S2 j# P4 W! ^! s' y( ^, r- M1 G
$ e0 A+ i& U( v7 D, _; k上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”，这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”，看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套，但8月份有31天而9月份有30天，哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55，而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57，也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。
9 j7 q' t! d: w- W6 B
小明第一次考试90分，第二次考试80分，第三次考试70分，第四次考试70分。在我看来，小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑，说明了一定的问题。

天上明珠

哈哈，那是时候买还是卖？

Hills

Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.

翠花

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
: z7 y5 M- V3 i+ F
上个月的报告说“8月 ...
9 g) S( K3 E0 ?! b( ]: G老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31

算得这么细，肯定是借外脑了，是不是请酷暑帮你算的？

catty

统计口径差别大，Bob Truman个人统计：
Sep 382,273 350,000
Aug 392,082 357,500

solo0606

老朱

分享！

翠花

不止是有点暖，是高烧～
' a" D4 ^$ R% R+ q* `& \- U
http://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story


0 e" t* {8 u5 O1 _1 O; s: I. CEdmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend

0 X' J' z, E, w" A- p5 L) ~/ F
7 V6 r8 I+ w, l7 v, H; C. a6 N# rEDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.
* l1 Y0 `) l9 N0 e
“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.

Sales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.
1 p  O& b/ ]0 f3 S" Q' m" ~5 i+ ]" ]
6 f) A! F* o+ f7 yFifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.

3 N) [+ _& Q8 X: t9 X( b7 gThe urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.
( o& @" d) E2 D& X
“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.

$ A& }6 L* X8 W: F  f4 J2 I“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
3 C, T- I: f( |' v7 l
8 X8 A; j! Y; J+ NYear-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.

The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.

; H1 p- V8 T" q0 f/ pAverage price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.
6 ^! z9 [5 E1 E6 D  J, J
7 H% L1 {. s; |3 n- pInventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.
5 |  h$ k! I4 }' j% A
* `% Z2 T0 I* h“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.
4 `5 n6 t" e6 M" Q  \  ^' J$ o) S; J
! F9 j# e) f: g2 GFirst-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.

0 `0 ]/ `# Q# G% B/ r# }An influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”
7 l8 V% K! B- Q" s
The report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.

# L% R! k- D* K: w, |! cPrices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.

$ H1 l5 a5 Y1 g& G" }! m: X“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.
, `+ @$ V( U: Q# }  T
“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”