市场综述

小曲

Signature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell
Senior Vice-President,
Portfolio Management
  V+ e4 T& O2 H# A" i6 hand Chief Investment Officer

自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月， 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策，被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产，商品期货，贷款，和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束，美金趋于稳定，这会帮助美国财政缩减，解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功，而世界其他地区都非常不稳定，现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
5 t7 }% x& k. F& R* M* Y3 c: |! aEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
4 o1 u% r, a1 V/ ^phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
0 o0 K% k* w) _- F" i2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
4 Y; z1 J1 o5 Q& y1 P4 C3 w$ bfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
$ r1 j' H$ _/ t) S) _' Rfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
, R& F+ v# L. nU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
neutral risk positioning.