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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup
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2 ?4 o' z2 `9 U/ ]9 ?" J" |. qEric Bushell- K, o* N7 k/ J V
Senior Vice-President,+ \) `4 I& R( J* T
Portfolio Management+ @9 K: a2 {, Q+ Y9 I t/ F
and Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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0 M$ H# k/ s3 KThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
1 a4 I* J' V" F! q3 wmay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase/ g6 M$ ?1 @* G, @4 _. M
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the0 p2 T0 |% j2 l% O) W; Y
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
+ i* D. _6 l! l* tphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an6 _- F1 C; z: L/ ~5 }, J
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
$ V0 W" k. N! `$ s. r# R, T$ B! C# \2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble$ i9 u; n# i K1 z+ X! Y* P) F
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
@% H: M6 p8 B& I8 Nand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects/ ?8 o- A% G: M0 e" P2 D x( E
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
. v2 F+ u o7 j3 K. I/ T8 p% P: uU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
3 }6 J' r9 z* Omarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened- e B; c( A! S3 z, {, a6 J1 b
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
1 F5 _2 e1 z N5 @neutral risk positioning. |
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