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Canada's housing market both vigorous and stable
( }: M; S. K- C
N4 N* q( ~4 h! C. I% K- Country's market poised to show growth throughout 2006 -
, ?9 m% J g4 @# Z9 [4 U% J$ u
* b7 k/ t. S; E& E% [, h TORONTO, Sept. 28 /CNW/ - For most of Canada, the housing market
. N8 j$ @: _' @. A4 F4 u. r5 V9 Sexhibited moderate price increases and stable unit sales during the third* c( }: q3 t' ?' {: \ F! T
quarter. Wide regional variances continued to be the dominant characteristic2 f" s$ e) a, i3 S$ k8 _" P$ _
in the market, exemplified by frenzied levels of activity and double digit
+ w+ K+ {8 C' x( y" g8 E* ]price gains observed in the energy and commodity rich Western provinces, and6 {) R) Z/ a) x2 I8 O1 }( j+ c
more reasonable sales volumes and moderate price appreciation in Ontario,
" G) D! M" h+ O9 d8 c% y7 gQuebec and Atlantic Canada, according to a report released today by Royal
3 P K' ]: ^% _LePage Real Estate Services.
, T2 O% s" a- ~& g. {
3 u m& O& S1 V M4 U) V; ^ Nationally, market trends established through the first three quarters
' Y6 T) b) m& ~. E# Lare forecast to continue for the remainder of the year. Robust economic
0 j) d- b8 G( \1 G# F6 W m' n! kconditions, low unemployment rates, modestly growing salaries and wages, and ` J& V9 W' I
sound consumer confidence contributed to the overall strength of the+ }) d- I$ R8 x+ }" n* X
residential real estate sector.* X/ f& W" V+ w8 S( h% B1 Y+ M
8 G5 z+ S' b5 m4 y3 R0 K8 U
Of the housing types surveyed, the highest average price appreciation
9 C* p' f t5 f% s4 D+ Coccurred in detached bungalows, which rose to $300,365 (+16.3%)& D* G- D, r& J s+ K9 \: a0 a
year-over-year, followed by standard condominiums, which rose to $211,562+ j, G, D% _* D' S# {( l0 c! X
(+14.2%), and standard two-storey properties, which increased to $365,380
8 C4 J& n, \0 T: @(+13.2%).
& l4 o9 }( [9 }
' s3 H. e/ O* K! v7 b- E/ a "Canada's sturdy housing market continued to demonstrate steady growth& y4 D8 }, J H) |; P
during the third quarter. For all but the west, we have moved on from the- V' x5 L% b& I/ B k7 g7 n
frenzied expansion that characterized the first half of this decade, and are! E7 c5 Z! G4 R+ o( [% v
poised to show continued growth at a more moderate pace," said Phil Soper,
+ Q; J3 B9 s6 ~president and chief executive officer, Royal LePage Real Estate Services.8 E2 j2 _9 F% z
"Gone is the sellers' market that we have lived with for some years. We
* ~1 j/ N8 b( `) j1 `% B; Nwelcome the more reliable conditions that are characteristic of a healthy( c5 N% R" C) X3 Q% t( f- }
balanced market."
) b* o" I- W& R! B1 S) T9 ^) {+ I) `2 l0 C% s
Despite the double-digit rise in average national house prices,
' _/ R3 I3 { p3 K! `5 v- |9 Vconsiderable regional variances were exhibited again this quarter. The shift0 B( o! B, R- A$ l4 ~
to balanced market conditions, which began in late 2005, has continued
1 o/ A, S% U$ Cthroughout most of the Central and Eastern regions of the country. In the core( }# M- i% c4 k0 }
energy producing western provinces, the combination of very high in-migration,; o5 i3 j+ L% J U4 @% H
manageable affordability, and a shortage of inventory has driven record, y, H0 l' O4 c( N5 E$ m: H
breaking price appreciations.! m( {# ~/ B& A: H' F
& T- z9 x5 @1 Y9 {; c Echoing the second quarter and supported by Alberta's rapidly expanding
9 ?( g5 L+ i; a1 R5 }2 Deconomy, Calgary and Edmonton led the charge of Canadian cities with the
' t% H3 e9 ?8 W) D: nlargest house price appreciation in all housing types surveyed.2 u V- T- W g! I
& f9 P# w* c! `* Z8 w
In Ottawa and Toronto, growth remained steady, supported by solid
# ^ r$ ?% v" M% c- f+ }economic fundamentals, an increase in available inventory and strong consumer
1 |" {& Q5 e2 ^! Oconfidence. While the pace of price appreciation in Ontario leveled off7 U$ d5 ^& g1 Z. r2 U& V2 f! a
slightly, the province's real estate market remains poised for modest growth.
; z% ^) H6 h9 z9 Q9 K ?In Atlantic Canada, new housing and condominium construction offered buyers1 e8 u6 g: y% d. d8 Q& i
greater selection at more competitive prices, resulting in a slower rate of1 C) I9 ~! ^& Q' s3 J- Z
price appreciation when compared with 2005.+ ~ o I2 W `: {6 D
a: M# ?. D- o& k" Z8 N While the pace of growth in Canada has slowed, the domestic housing7 h3 ?' [. R, z* ?# k
market is expected to outperform the American market. The economic and
( M7 C( ` O* _! o3 Q. S1 Xfinancial fundamentals driving the residential real estate sector in Canada/ @4 a3 V$ c5 C) |$ [- j
are markedly different than those found in the United States.
( _# W$ G9 a; c) I; L/ k5 p' i9 o! U' X! W4 V" Y# H- u* R/ S! A
Added Soper: "Canada's housing market is likely to outperform the; k( l, E% e) a: l
American market through 2007. A number of factors are working in Canada's
3 Q+ H3 B* v* ?5 tfavour, including healthy personal and governmental debt levels, the
% P) f, R9 M c; i6 R/ D, Arelatively modest rise in interest rates in our country, and general! b8 d, y' H. y1 q' Y& a6 V
affordability in our major cities. In addition, Americans are now seeing the' _# H1 t4 X9 p- X6 `2 @
downside of a tax system that encourages maximum homeowner leverage, and
; l5 n0 x0 X2 ?# gaggressive financial products such as zero- and negative-amortization; b) U' ]# e$ [: p. I9 J
mortgages that work only in a high price growth environment."; |- y* H; ^& g& I
( X5 ?+ M) d# y8 y% [ <<
# x, m! E! d! W# _5 X REGIONAL SUMMARIES
' I5 p, s& W$ \0 w) C$ S) B5 q >>
( a9 l+ x/ a+ G; h( C/ u4 ?; E. @# Z
Balanced conditions continued to characterize the housing market in6 q. }* |; f8 d: o$ o
Halifax, as significantly higher inventory levels helped to moderate the rate
! X% k+ w0 m) G5 H% @8 k0 d+ rof price appreciation. Buyers were increasingly choosy, taking more time6 T+ n# O$ A5 j* V3 N
looking for newer, low-maintenance properties that were not in need of* p/ x! v$ ~# t1 z+ u* Z
renovations.8 C& Q0 x; P2 W3 S7 K- _
& K f1 Z2 a, N; h
The housing market in Moncton remained healthy and strong as a slight1 G7 f5 {4 m3 P7 r) g
increase in inventory helped to moderate the rate of price appreciation
w. C# U, h. b' f$ s0 \% e6 R8 ]compared to the same period in 2005. Activity was brisk throughout August and
8 M( d& _; n( i4 q9 }5 X# oSeptember and is expected to remain this way through the fourth quarter.# y' |% B) v9 e' |/ R& X. B
9 y, ~$ w2 m: r* A& q; J* G. A6 o The housing market in Saint John underwent its traditional summer- E, Y& |9 D) V6 e
slowdown in the third quarter, with activity picking up towards the end of the h7 ]1 \! ]2 y3 P) U! f
quarter. The local economy continued to thrive, as construction on a new
9 J* X. b+ m# }, h8 B6 r600,000 square-foot shopping area has begun, bringing several new box stores" p" o0 K- X* A4 w2 g
to the area. Buyers have begun seeking less expensive fixtures for their homes
6 l) E. `1 O( n2 |8 hand are instead opting for more affordable housing options.
' F" {2 W( e; K' F' r( `9 K: `6 _& @( L4 M% ^
In Charlottetown, the housing market started to move towards balanced1 m% z. G! n: B0 U
conditions, as some sellers had to begin to lower the asking prices on their1 B: M v1 m1 n5 K9 d( P
homes to make them more competitive. Activity from out-of-town and US buyers
0 S/ G3 J6 k4 M* L& A2 G) U5 K# Zwas down slightly compared to 2005, likely attributable to the strong Canadian
/ m5 s5 h# ~, d( gdollar. Inventory levels began to creep up in the third quarter, providing
' t- W- a# W( X S- V/ Tbuyers with more options when looking for a home.! @+ \3 u$ a! g0 y
2 s5 G9 i+ W1 b. S9 B k Activity in St. John's slowed slightly in the third quarter, particularly/ @5 B# S Q T! p0 w
among higher-priced properties, where there was a slight over-supply of homes1 N- A+ d& v( e/ x( m- ~
priced over $200,000. Listing periods have increased when compared with 2005,
# \/ _ _5 a3 gas some of the pent-up demand that had characterized the market over the last
( R$ n( N+ @3 Cfew years has been satisfied, resulting in more normal, balanced conditions.9 A5 q/ }' d5 w9 w
+ d1 B9 s9 c/ ?, E+ Q; A" I$ \6 E
Montreal's housing market recorded modest increases in average house
V4 z; j' M! i& bprices, due to a slight seasonal slowdown in the third quarter as inventory, a0 J, E6 s1 {3 t! ?
levels rose. Part of this can be attributed to the fact that many renting5 U# o4 h0 m$ C- f& f
first-time buyers were motivated to close on the purchase of a home by July 1,
! d0 r. r3 [, K5 I. ewhen rental leases expire in Quebec. Once this date has passed some of the
2 ?( G+ V2 `$ e3 wpressure is taken off the market, allowing buyers to visit more homes before
2 m3 }& C8 W- D& Umaking a purchase.* W' r* j: x# u+ F! w( t b
, W: I* @" m" o6 U Ottawa held its position as one of the country's most stable housing
. M- a! w4 A' R$ [) jmarkets in the third quarter, reinforced by a vibrant local economy and strong
; A0 e4 m, i2 B- ]confidence, resulting in modest increases in average house prices. The city
+ F' G# U- Q6 P+ ^# m& p5 \centre remained a bright spot in Ottawa, with homes in this area attracting) a I4 G4 t7 S. L
attention due to their convenient location and proximity to downtown
* o# U% J$ C- A% D) F+ H: `0 D0 A3 Aamenities.* Z3 L9 Z0 L; v/ Z) B6 L
! W3 A' {# l2 m/ q
The housing market in Toronto sustained healthy activity levels
% t" s5 P1 L2 L( |throughout the third quarter, as a strong economy helped to maintain demand
( p# q: x$ }/ I" n i' kacross the city, causing average house prices to rise moderately. Toronto has
! ?' s! A+ |! J# i/ Kcontinued to experience modest growth in average house prices, and has been6 m( V r/ a2 Y8 y: |$ ]5 [3 f
driven primarily by purchasers who are buying homes as their principle4 P9 a; y1 v% z# ^1 ?4 Z. b! L) q
residence, rather than for investment.0 N' ]- a4 ^0 M- f/ o
- d6 T7 z$ q0 F" d
The vibrant Winnipeg housing market continued to show its strength as
* ^/ F0 \+ K. |) G8 Y5 zhouse prices rose during the third quarter. The booming local economy resulted
9 l6 F' R. d0 n- K8 uin a historically low unemployment rate, helping to bolster consumer$ x1 R* F9 g1 F. j4 n1 y
confidence and Winnipeg's ranking as the city with the lowest capitalization
_4 U' k- A" ]0 U0 [) xrate among the country's larger cities - helped to encourage buyers to enter1 K) r$ w* ^6 t6 e# }7 b6 w
the market.
1 p9 \% s+ R0 @% G) k+ F% @ S' K/ o
In Regina, the market experienced a slight seasonal slowdown through* A; d' \! a0 X9 l
July, as there were fewer purchasers in the market due to summer vacations. In
9 M" R9 ]7 N# W8 J' rAugust, activity resumed to the busy pace previously seen in the spring7 ?, Q, E9 v5 T9 c3 {
months, as the influx of purchasers made it more difficult to find a home due
/ n0 M3 ~" r: i# e, Y. f" nto the shortage of available inventory.
$ C/ l- l% E1 l/ F
; @" d9 e% v# |# t0 d, T O Activity in Saskatoon remained brisk as the market maintained its
& R1 b1 v" E; Z8 {% F) Imomentum from the busy spring sales period. The economy in Saskatoon remains; Q* |/ D }) s6 G
vibrant, as employment opportunities are abundant with many businesses
' ?0 [4 o% C4 Z) L* lstruggling to make hires and having to recruit outside the province.$ n. G3 ?3 K" z7 _
8 }; R/ |" t1 [1 }+ Z. n1 N* a+ S Calgary's housing market recorded blazing average house price increases
5 u8 x; }, ^8 Q6 m% \; x2 Y ^8 Uin the third quarter, in all surveyed categories. The burgeoning economy, low! Q+ i: s2 C9 Q; Q
unemployment rates and low inventory levels remained the leading factors that W' m+ p# S( L3 }
pressured Calgary's house prices upwards. However, regardless of the soaring
2 c' |. Y2 Z, [' y, _* [; \prices that characterized the market - even during the typically slower summer2 I; G1 w; ]1 d9 l9 l
season - it is expected that activity will become slightly more balanced, as% Q4 H* a8 J- V9 c7 @
buyers are becoming more reluctant to participate in the frenetic activity.
% z7 e- M, G1 G" _! f: D7 j, J( A$ R" M' L8 M) E( \
Edmonton's booming local economy continued to thrive in the third quarter
! {) s c' f* F" ~) {as activity in the oil sands north of the city continued to flourish. Edmonton( t. u; N) Z7 T& W9 s
remained the hub of activity for those coming to work in the oil industry," \7 s; u& f. ~/ a
maintaining tight inventory levels across the city, resulting in prices
& c6 X$ y3 e4 i: sincreasing at record levels. However, as inventory levels continued to improve
0 P- Q% b: w1 Kin the third quarter the rate of price appreciation should moderate slightly) e0 s, a5 r8 ?2 B) I {: D, B
towards the end of 2006. 5 u4 Y" m' _ C. n( ~: x% G
. O$ q/ @, F3 W7 ?2 _ X4 e* n1 o
While Vancouver has seen a slight reprieve from the severe shortage of
$ h. L1 h; v8 a1 Q7 M) |7 Minventory that had previously characterized the market, supply is still unable
- q- Z2 m: l2 @2 ~to meet demand, driving house prices upwards. Vancouver has a very diverse8 Y& A. J$ c- I0 \4 @" |7 `
group of active buyers - from first-time home buyers to baby-boomers to/ I, l) {0 W& X# `+ i1 h* }
foreign investors - all of whom fuel the demand for houses, placing added
. P; E- t! Q" gpressure on tight inventory levels.! O# ~9 C/ C8 L& y2 K: u5 j! \/ p$ H
, R" n' }' C! b9 d& t Victoria's market is vibrant and supported by strong economic" S- X, V) P. A4 ?5 Q0 i
fundamentals, fuelled by a booming tech sector and a migration of young people
E+ v) X& L; E% r& v+ X! J8 |, einto the city that has continued to support the area's house price increases;
$ C/ D0 M$ b! { z. v9 C. V* {while increased inventory levels have afforded buyers more time when searching* d) Y' W: }- @! M, r
for a home, helping to normalize the market's pace.
) `7 F! v# x% t, W8 T, V( {* ^5 V# V3 s" T* n, u& L% I
<<
( x) ]% i1 x9 O8 F Survey of Canadian Average House Prices in the Third Quarter 2006
2 S. j3 @: p5 d' u2 c3 I5 p
/ \0 ]1 Q# d# t& ^/ D: d+ x -------------------------------------------------------------------------
: i, }4 N4 {( @5 V Detached Bungalows Standard Two Storey/ c3 G5 i# L% ~: a3 p
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
, n7 s$ L" u, a3 A& Q2 g6 i 2006 Q3 2005 Q3 Bungalow 2006 Q3 2005 Q3# m' y3 N9 [3 s- _- g9 i/ i
Market Average Average % Change Average Average
5 U i: S: T0 w$ }6 l8 `: p) i -------------------------------------------------------------------------* V- J5 ]& a! ?; A% G' ~
Halifax 186,333 173,333 7.5% 198,667 199,000
F$ S/ r) C3 U7 y; A" [ -------------------------------------------------------------------------8 L- e- r7 N, Y4 ~' Q
Charlottetown 145,000 141,000 2.8% 175,000 170,000
_. v* T7 E' S) U) M0 l% K -------------------------------------------------------------------------
+ ]( M" _" n0 [8 G! b Moncton 135,000 127,000 6.3% 129,000 123,000, D; h) s l! R0 [: }' {, {
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
9 _3 k" e; m. ?+ h! `0 Y Saint John 141,200 142,900 -1.2% - -" w- x( O$ F' |6 R3 g( d/ @: @: ~/ d
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
8 R1 ]+ {# L' @& f3 C6 Y( a St. John's 143,667 142,667 0.7% 200,667 202,333
5 |& Q$ e' Z& T: E" w2 M' K -------------------------------------------------------------------------
; t3 h% @! S2 m+ N Atlantic 150,240 145,380 3.3% 175,833 173,583
# s* _- ^' ?* P8 u2 c! l8 Z8 W, G8 O -------------------------------------------------------------------------
! c' h h& v8 ] Q; y- X Montreal 213,691 203,500 5.0% 321,141 316,185! {: w8 C4 w- T: X. S( g' L
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
; n' j! B! x1 f' _& j/ x9 Z7 G B n Ottawa 290,083 278,417 4.2% 285,667 273,250
; `0 j' {5 T7 R7 g. T/ x \, O -------------------------------------------------------------------------' x7 o( h b1 q1 }3 A+ j
Toronto 373,368 355,882 4.9% 481,523 474,766
! P6 N! o; j. ^* s, P9 D$ l -------------------------------------------------------------------------* F. C6 v; h: e2 q# ]
Winnipeg 181,579 159,860 13.6% 202,337 180,707
. }( q. d! M& M -------------------------------------------------------------------------
+ i z9 k' l6 Y5 |" q/ V Saskatchewan 170,667 156,083 9.3% 182,600 166,500
; S2 y, L7 ?! M' Y$ Z -------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 B! o5 z8 `8 z' p5 M K1 d Calgary 395,067 252,411 56.5% 405,778 264,389
( S& K3 y1 C, @7 o: u -------------------------------------------------------------------------0 \- X4 \2 h7 b& p" {; }5 r4 `
Edmonton 286,857 194,857 47.2% 316,429 206,714
C. D3 D6 P+ Z# a8 v: p8 q- R! F -------------------------------------------------------------------------8 {5 n0 ?( D _1 ?" s/ z
Vancouver 704,250 601,000 17.2% 794,000 697,500
( H+ h% t7 K5 V7 L2 Y0 { -------------------------------------------------------------------------9 b9 |0 r5 w: d
Victoria 375,000 348,000 7.8% 403,000 391,000
- Q X, _6 a/ w: C/ M% Y) W -------------------------------------------------------------------------% o- X/ I. e% ^- ]
National 300,365 258,202 16.3% 365,380 322,860
1 W! D4 B- r& I- s -------------------------------------------------------------------------6 J6 y: w% N2 b$ E% ?
. x: p7 z7 |* L, Z2 p
-------------------------------------------------------------
! V, l, q# O, ^3 O/ f! F+ N; [ Standard Condominium
1 N0 J; J2 O* E! w: S -------------------------------------------------------------9 L; ^1 \- g% E1 X5 D
2-Storey 2006 Q3 2005 Q3 Condo
n l b1 a) P$ D" b Market % Change Average Average % Change
' n2 Y1 S- }' X5 |' t -------------------------------------------------------------
/ a2 f0 g" I: i( F e- h Halifax -0.2% 142,000 103,000 37.9%
3 z8 b) Q; B$ c$ M! A' n -------------------------------------------------------------1 {) T% ^, F' g( U
Charlottetown 2.9% 98,000 98,000 0.0%" z- }" n4 v5 X* R9 W. Q6 H: b
-------------------------------------------------------------
4 j4 l! N+ \, g3 s Moncton 4.9% - - N/A
: {4 X j4 p0 n/ i -------------------------------------------------------------
# F% l9 ~5 |% ? Saint John N/A - - N/A: b* x( g1 q7 y# i( K
-------------------------------------------------------------; U* \. b a4 b2 Z1 k t3 e
St. John's -0.8% 146,333 145,667 0.5%
, Y- ^8 p3 O9 l* D -------------------------------------------------------------
/ v% P* ~# K$ _+ Y) j% O Atlantic 1.3% 128,778 115,556 11.4%, `6 d- N/ i; O* J2 S5 E
-------------------------------------------------------------
5 u) T9 x- y$ j. P Montreal 1.6% 193,190 188,016 2.8%
1 Z( w* m" a: q: ?* K- T3 @ -------------------------------------------------------------
. s% L0 V( I- g h Ottawa 4.5% 181,083 172,250 5.1%5 u% a5 J( G+ t: j K/ k
-------------------------------------------------------------
0 p$ n9 f' G L. |7 j7 U, Q% S Toronto 1.4% 252,088 242,918 3.8%
* J4 Z4 b( v7 C -------------------------------------------------------------
1 @4 P: k$ p' Z' B Winnipeg 12.0% 105,648 96,008 10.0%7 s; t& F# N% |) f/ o
-------------------------------------------------------------6 s# \" L7 K" b. b2 P) l
Saskatchewan 9.7% 106,250 101,000 5.2%1 @/ \/ x& I( q! R
-------------------------------------------------------------8 f& t. u4 F: q: L
Calgary 53.5% 245,844 153,867 59.8% m i" V7 T7 A3 Q+ B
-------------------------------------------------------------% `" c2 E5 [- w# ]! `7 p$ M/ A
Edmonton 53.1% 200,433 131,500 52.4%
$ l+ z& `6 Q7 q1 s, b -------------------------------------------------------------
& m s; ^ z# O/ k Vancouver 13.8% 366,250 323,250 13.3%6 e5 G+ M$ l+ P& \. z8 ` j
-------------------------------------------------------------
% O' P8 \# X0 r' J+ G Victoria 3.1% 229,000 220,000 4.1%
2 ]% h9 e$ ^6 t4 E2 o) X" m# X+ R -------------------------------------------------------------5 r! j6 M5 y4 H
National 13.2% 211,562 185,296 14.2%
5 P! ?$ _0 R7 J1 M" r' {1 ` -------------------------------------------------------------
, ]& D! a: x2 a; ]4 K9 `% i >>( O! |' Q' g3 c8 a: L
" G+ v/ [, R0 A+ A' S t Average house prices are based on an average of all sub-markets examined
( ~- A, P0 o, S# |) c' Ein the area, except for the smaller markets of Charlottetown, Moncton, Saint
4 J {; h1 e5 X l' f! R' X, ]John and Victoria.
( _# a8 r6 S$ m( H
7 |$ H* U$ r9 u% Q The Royal LePage Survey of Canadian House Prices is the largest, most
s3 i# d- H+ v1 [comprehensive study of its kind in Canada, with information on seven types of9 E& u- K+ ^7 j0 i
housing in over 250 neighbourhoods from coast to coast. This release! W( v2 `: C3 `$ n& ~5 m: l7 X
references an abbreviated version of the survey, which highlights house price" ?& V$ ]8 a f! J
trends for the three most common types of housing in Canada in 80 communities% s/ \& R6 w! n. I+ Y2 a* N+ o& p
across the country. A complete database of past and present surveys is: U; W5 {7 y2 f7 W
available on the Royal LePage Web site at www.royallepage.ca, and current# q2 \. g. }) Z D. n" O2 t
figures will be updated following the end of the third quarter. A printable
% A. ~6 z( h& F3 Z! a( i dversion of the third quarter 2006 survey will be available online on# W# l+ ^5 W$ L4 V+ H9 H* G$ N- ^3 r
November 15, 2006.
[ {+ P8 v8 V' u0 {+ C9 k& w0 M Housing values in the Royal LePage Survey are Royal LePage opinions of
1 Q6 O$ ?$ D9 W) Y+ m% bfair market value in each location, based on local data and market knowledge* y, p1 I) A1 Z5 `& S
provided by Royal LePage residential real estate experts. Historical data is K- {5 @) @, M# G* l7 u
available for some areas back to the early 1970s. |
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发表于 2006-9-29 08:09
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