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Canada's housing market both vigorous and stable
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7 c P+ }( `5 w* k! p$ V6 P- Country's market poised to show growth throughout 2006 -$ x9 {+ C% t2 p5 q, t' K7 P
: S, x0 H- `& a% `+ B f
TORONTO, Sept. 28 /CNW/ - For most of Canada, the housing market
; a. B0 T1 z% t) }exhibited moderate price increases and stable unit sales during the third w# A i: k5 E( B) U$ s0 P
quarter. Wide regional variances continued to be the dominant characteristic- X/ w( l. J \9 K5 G: N* n' O
in the market, exemplified by frenzied levels of activity and double digit; u9 F& _* K0 Q. u
price gains observed in the energy and commodity rich Western provinces, and
; f. e, C6 ^& {more reasonable sales volumes and moderate price appreciation in Ontario,5 |) m O/ P- i) L4 |& s$ K0 F
Quebec and Atlantic Canada, according to a report released today by Royal
; E1 B. {4 V( g9 kLePage Real Estate Services.
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{# |7 _/ n6 {7 [" u! k7 A Nationally, market trends established through the first three quarters
8 Q! ]4 R2 ^# Dare forecast to continue for the remainder of the year. Robust economic* o+ O0 ?6 Z4 z2 K
conditions, low unemployment rates, modestly growing salaries and wages, and ^8 G( T6 r5 a, W
sound consumer confidence contributed to the overall strength of the2 C1 C2 Z- ?2 V: \& p
residential real estate sector.
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Of the housing types surveyed, the highest average price appreciation
& t/ ~2 Z: }) R1 |. {1 ]5 ~# U& foccurred in detached bungalows, which rose to $300,365 (+16.3%)8 Q6 o, R6 w$ C: v, P& R- X
year-over-year, followed by standard condominiums, which rose to $211,562
0 J, v5 a/ `/ n' s% ?$ F( @* T(+14.2%), and standard two-storey properties, which increased to $365,380
. M: x" ?& v( e) U- y/ {(+13.2%).0 V7 q9 h1 O' s
( N. y& i. J; w" L4 C8 J3 { "Canada's sturdy housing market continued to demonstrate steady growth# r) b) M- T4 m7 N# O6 T. k7 r
during the third quarter. For all but the west, we have moved on from the; E& I% P. ~0 `
frenzied expansion that characterized the first half of this decade, and are
8 v! z( V+ M3 \$ e; A" G+ Tpoised to show continued growth at a more moderate pace," said Phil Soper,
; R% w* }$ z6 b, R, u2 mpresident and chief executive officer, Royal LePage Real Estate Services.) b0 i9 [- ~; Q8 j/ J3 q+ L7 E
"Gone is the sellers' market that we have lived with for some years. We
4 u8 j* J. K, Swelcome the more reliable conditions that are characteristic of a healthy. A% ]5 j2 R% u$ P1 b6 ^
balanced market.", e M1 H6 Q% Y8 E0 v
; g( X# |/ U7 H& \9 i2 W8 E Despite the double-digit rise in average national house prices,
) g3 E: \7 `: Q* w4 d5 sconsiderable regional variances were exhibited again this quarter. The shift7 y4 S2 F! Q% v: C0 h3 F7 C8 \
to balanced market conditions, which began in late 2005, has continued
6 M4 x2 f+ A$ s' v/ U$ ]$ Ethroughout most of the Central and Eastern regions of the country. In the core- e5 n/ q |- y
energy producing western provinces, the combination of very high in-migration,; f! h6 m6 x% p* z* r# o4 W
manageable affordability, and a shortage of inventory has driven record5 T% t. U! ^7 e$ F+ T
breaking price appreciations.0 U0 A& b1 Q# }/ J2 w; X
8 E4 T K- S5 Q* L& h
Echoing the second quarter and supported by Alberta's rapidly expanding, e& L( h, Z; c6 q2 R8 M0 n9 o
economy, Calgary and Edmonton led the charge of Canadian cities with the5 C, y( f8 ]* f
largest house price appreciation in all housing types surveyed.
( m. t$ D! Z: \# |3 U
) ?; I# \2 \, K In Ottawa and Toronto, growth remained steady, supported by solid$ n7 o" e' g* _3 K2 {. q7 h
economic fundamentals, an increase in available inventory and strong consumer! k, c2 L; G# \: t/ ?. { C/ J
confidence. While the pace of price appreciation in Ontario leveled off
' e/ t: f. v, {0 s0 N* \0 |slightly, the province's real estate market remains poised for modest growth.
8 w: {' |" E6 e5 F. IIn Atlantic Canada, new housing and condominium construction offered buyers
, ]' \" W/ X, F4 |greater selection at more competitive prices, resulting in a slower rate of
% }) e- Q* ]6 c" m' bprice appreciation when compared with 2005. ?1 l ?, O+ @) ?' N( U+ R# w+ C, y) U
9 k% i+ Z+ g; r' F7 h6 r While the pace of growth in Canada has slowed, the domestic housing
: I9 w, F# x* E7 L6 qmarket is expected to outperform the American market. The economic and
5 b. `* a! X0 w, Q' t2 I y, W0 `0 K2 Ofinancial fundamentals driving the residential real estate sector in Canada( }, t9 i. T F: W4 j+ |, D+ `' b+ @
are markedly different than those found in the United States.6 c9 |- `: N; I
# T- \ u i4 t Added Soper: "Canada's housing market is likely to outperform the
& j: G9 ?6 Z) r* Z! J6 [American market through 2007. A number of factors are working in Canada's
4 c7 R0 t- G8 V Vfavour, including healthy personal and governmental debt levels, the
2 _, H, v0 R, M6 w2 _9 e D8 arelatively modest rise in interest rates in our country, and general9 p7 |: g8 d% a( F
affordability in our major cities. In addition, Americans are now seeing the- z* \7 O R0 _; m$ Y+ U
downside of a tax system that encourages maximum homeowner leverage, and6 P5 E+ q% |: K2 R" @
aggressive financial products such as zero- and negative-amortization. k4 p, }: x7 D, ?
mortgages that work only in a high price growth environment."
4 m7 N3 D) {' S* {3 @
/ O5 u& n9 z: g2 q3 A; k <<
. H' z6 X! r9 D ]) l6 v REGIONAL SUMMARIES9 v8 i. E1 u& n/ Y
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Balanced conditions continued to characterize the housing market in
( \1 _( o# L* u+ CHalifax, as significantly higher inventory levels helped to moderate the rate+ j# o7 T& ]5 @. b9 |& o
of price appreciation. Buyers were increasingly choosy, taking more time$ e1 R/ q0 s: P" d; d% d7 V
looking for newer, low-maintenance properties that were not in need of+ `1 a' ] B/ |1 n2 k3 L
renovations.
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8 [2 E0 l3 h I. ^3 Q4 i The housing market in Moncton remained healthy and strong as a slight& A: ?3 l. O' W( c
increase in inventory helped to moderate the rate of price appreciation) I% Y3 f6 L* s3 ?( t p4 x
compared to the same period in 2005. Activity was brisk throughout August and
: @, k+ N7 x6 ISeptember and is expected to remain this way through the fourth quarter.. l- k3 H) E+ I
- M; P6 E' H4 W5 a8 V; H. o The housing market in Saint John underwent its traditional summer0 e: i! h3 J ?" N0 J
slowdown in the third quarter, with activity picking up towards the end of the
1 X- `2 K; s- n5 T( G$ b+ nquarter. The local economy continued to thrive, as construction on a new( u4 d l" v2 R4 ]; o' S
600,000 square-foot shopping area has begun, bringing several new box stores4 J9 P: h/ v* ?
to the area. Buyers have begun seeking less expensive fixtures for their homes
6 z+ B. k/ S: N" _0 \0 B! v6 eand are instead opting for more affordable housing options.$ Y1 Z T) m9 q, w* a. `9 A% G
3 P4 d' b, C9 k, O# [ In Charlottetown, the housing market started to move towards balanced# Y8 G& ?* L9 k5 S
conditions, as some sellers had to begin to lower the asking prices on their
5 U* p" M! J/ u. D# _2 |6 zhomes to make them more competitive. Activity from out-of-town and US buyers) Q# i- D0 \- i
was down slightly compared to 2005, likely attributable to the strong Canadian2 K6 {+ b( Z& w
dollar. Inventory levels began to creep up in the third quarter, providing
' w; H, H+ R: i" kbuyers with more options when looking for a home.
9 B/ [9 z# c7 |$ K; C( S2 Y0 ], q: j, v% o! j; l& z
Activity in St. John's slowed slightly in the third quarter, particularly
9 p. _+ {/ R% ^9 \4 t: ]) damong higher-priced properties, where there was a slight over-supply of homes
( i1 R0 W0 a) f0 Z/ X' \priced over $200,000. Listing periods have increased when compared with 2005,
0 h N( J" Z5 b) L. uas some of the pent-up demand that had characterized the market over the last1 [/ d6 i$ W9 w* m7 O& a0 a+ U- t
few years has been satisfied, resulting in more normal, balanced conditions.# |1 T% v* t. x n6 k6 U
9 {, u: l' b9 Y# L @ }6 L; ]; e5 b Montreal's housing market recorded modest increases in average house
- q$ z, w7 e6 k* o" ~: I% lprices, due to a slight seasonal slowdown in the third quarter as inventory
4 h: s: u- D4 R, D xlevels rose. Part of this can be attributed to the fact that many renting. g: Q8 F D- z$ ]+ b0 O: \
first-time buyers were motivated to close on the purchase of a home by July 1,
" d6 D; r7 P+ }+ m9 g) K& s* v6 kwhen rental leases expire in Quebec. Once this date has passed some of the3 M5 u! y; y; s+ W+ B1 d* k
pressure is taken off the market, allowing buyers to visit more homes before
9 F/ j- H c9 a* G9 W; x2 amaking a purchase.
/ b: K: g; v5 [' d5 [
5 I5 c: l$ v( c: f Ottawa held its position as one of the country's most stable housing* ?8 r a! ?+ K/ f. i8 M/ w
markets in the third quarter, reinforced by a vibrant local economy and strong: b% d+ t$ C9 B6 j
confidence, resulting in modest increases in average house prices. The city
6 U. l- Q- O! u! ^1 q& Z! Tcentre remained a bright spot in Ottawa, with homes in this area attracting! l8 |5 Q G: d+ j
attention due to their convenient location and proximity to downtown* H) E' ^: V1 i. E, Y/ J
amenities.# j/ c- ]1 h, V( }: i7 \5 v7 m+ P
9 u+ b9 ~, Q! K, B+ L" r& p
The housing market in Toronto sustained healthy activity levels
/ Q! c) N) U& }6 e$ Bthroughout the third quarter, as a strong economy helped to maintain demand
' a3 J# o' L# h R9 H) y+ Gacross the city, causing average house prices to rise moderately. Toronto has' F, d, r) o! n' b3 [
continued to experience modest growth in average house prices, and has been) f# ?1 ]: `4 W* }7 W
driven primarily by purchasers who are buying homes as their principle8 j! R; n' J# }- u I) h3 Z2 s
residence, rather than for investment.* j; e6 P+ U m" h* e' V
2 W; i$ N2 |- s8 R3 H* t& [: L The vibrant Winnipeg housing market continued to show its strength as% c4 D" P7 D$ ?; {5 r
house prices rose during the third quarter. The booming local economy resulted5 h" L# N, |6 Z* r4 D
in a historically low unemployment rate, helping to bolster consumer- q) c/ W- {$ W2 a' S
confidence and Winnipeg's ranking as the city with the lowest capitalization
, r, e% {4 y3 C+ b! ^rate among the country's larger cities - helped to encourage buyers to enter5 I) L0 w# n$ O) F7 m. i: s f9 p
the market.
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2 L+ E; Z$ b5 D; F$ N" K; O In Regina, the market experienced a slight seasonal slowdown through- }& L; z$ ?; X% F/ ]+ k
July, as there were fewer purchasers in the market due to summer vacations. In- |1 L4 ^3 U& P2 T1 Z; W4 \7 `
August, activity resumed to the busy pace previously seen in the spring
4 a. c1 x/ w5 N2 gmonths, as the influx of purchasers made it more difficult to find a home due6 F1 X7 }" R4 V( R3 s
to the shortage of available inventory.; w0 G8 D4 u3 x: M
: m& {4 f+ D Q T Activity in Saskatoon remained brisk as the market maintained its; u7 S9 B6 G, B5 L2 M u& C; A
momentum from the busy spring sales period. The economy in Saskatoon remains
% [7 {6 b8 O6 {- ^vibrant, as employment opportunities are abundant with many businesses
# k' a; s$ b+ T3 Pstruggling to make hires and having to recruit outside the province.
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6 j: Q' D8 Q; v4 ^9 @/ T8 Y Calgary's housing market recorded blazing average house price increases
3 W# N, i( s( p$ Kin the third quarter, in all surveyed categories. The burgeoning economy, low
7 r& U8 O& X$ W! }. G3 S O% s$ W( runemployment rates and low inventory levels remained the leading factors that, c, H" v; b$ u" u' a, I
pressured Calgary's house prices upwards. However, regardless of the soaring1 ]" e5 k% F* h
prices that characterized the market - even during the typically slower summer
2 K$ J6 r. t, B3 S, n7 A0 Gseason - it is expected that activity will become slightly more balanced, as" J. H& K/ I/ Z- l m4 a
buyers are becoming more reluctant to participate in the frenetic activity.
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Edmonton's booming local economy continued to thrive in the third quarter# Z1 Z5 a( L' L4 R* Y$ M: s
as activity in the oil sands north of the city continued to flourish. Edmonton
# G: G7 S) B$ X; H3 R7 p5 z6 X% Nremained the hub of activity for those coming to work in the oil industry,
1 S* e' |% T6 Q9 W+ V4 tmaintaining tight inventory levels across the city, resulting in prices5 K4 `9 l2 Z% n! f5 t
increasing at record levels. However, as inventory levels continued to improve6 o( R/ l1 x* \* }* M6 ~
in the third quarter the rate of price appreciation should moderate slightly- b; D- t. L0 h1 t, o
towards the end of 2006.
- w$ R; c% i5 B% P
: a9 d2 n5 ?: sWhile Vancouver has seen a slight reprieve from the severe shortage of
4 p$ E9 h! U! o% |5 r( k/ j, pinventory that had previously characterized the market, supply is still unable
: v3 j# S' B2 a3 F( e7 Oto meet demand, driving house prices upwards. Vancouver has a very diverse
7 c3 p/ H, h2 G( {group of active buyers - from first-time home buyers to baby-boomers to
/ G8 y8 [+ B+ w0 D( @6 ^! D2 O) Pforeign investors - all of whom fuel the demand for houses, placing added. F1 b% l8 s, Q! ~4 p- G: J/ l! ~
pressure on tight inventory levels.
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0 y. U2 Y/ S: ~) U8 M1 b. o# y, V9 \ Victoria's market is vibrant and supported by strong economic" E2 W8 m+ _: i1 ^. W2 A
fundamentals, fuelled by a booming tech sector and a migration of young people/ V9 T( `4 [5 E/ v
into the city that has continued to support the area's house price increases;5 Y" V( l$ S' H/ b. [% |7 G- r
while increased inventory levels have afforded buyers more time when searching
; Z G# G' D& `" s+ P. ffor a home, helping to normalize the market's pace.8 l/ Z/ P; r" \- H; H
# {6 f3 Y# o3 A% t4 C
<<
8 r* l, s. g# ? d/ M" z. C Survey of Canadian Average House Prices in the Third Quarter 2006
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7 v* ] T$ k& a -------------------------------------------------------------------------' y1 Z4 Q |4 p' z4 K0 }4 z% i" I4 ~
Detached Bungalows Standard Two Storey
! r) X7 t0 M; B -------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 \& E! X0 c3 L; _ 2006 Q3 2005 Q3 Bungalow 2006 Q3 2005 Q33 V2 z9 q3 N3 c5 B! f
Market Average Average % Change Average Average
3 c; _( i# J3 ? -------------------------------------------------------------------------
) \4 x2 E! @' J1 f Halifax 186,333 173,333 7.5% 198,667 199,000
; W5 H1 T( M6 L -------------------------------------------------------------------------2 [# ?4 H; _2 ^2 q
Charlottetown 145,000 141,000 2.8% 175,000 170,0005 `8 o, B- s+ A" ^9 M. l2 d
-------------------------------------------------------------------------5 ^+ A1 a1 y# Y
Moncton 135,000 127,000 6.3% 129,000 123,000' w/ e( }' g- R6 B9 v
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
r% U5 |; W! I Saint John 141,200 142,900 -1.2% - -) k. S1 K! s; U/ a8 w
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 f4 E) b7 Z' W" Y St. John's 143,667 142,667 0.7% 200,667 202,333. @+ v. x; t, W6 v% a! z- M# w
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
5 X Z: o b9 B, X2 R1 a4 i: G Atlantic 150,240 145,380 3.3% 175,833 173,583
P. K7 o" i3 R) ] -------------------------------------------------------------------------' I3 F' T3 G4 n/ o( E' M5 x. q
Montreal 213,691 203,500 5.0% 321,141 316,185
& ]1 x7 H5 d& W/ a9 S7 E ------------------------------------------------------------------------- E1 y2 M1 S* }8 Z. O0 q |
Ottawa 290,083 278,417 4.2% 285,667 273,250
* Q0 ^, z" ?1 P9 g ~0 T. r -------------------------------------------------------------------------0 s6 `' H o+ `, L8 c
Toronto 373,368 355,882 4.9% 481,523 474,766
4 V( i! v. m2 m ------------------------------------------------------------------------- T4 z; V8 i" V8 d& V" W) T
Winnipeg 181,579 159,860 13.6% 202,337 180,707
7 }/ j1 Y' I! e3 s8 ~ -------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 Y/ {. a% Y/ c9 }/ P Saskatchewan 170,667 156,083 9.3% 182,600 166,5006 b! Q! c# }' _6 S [; }
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 C( T0 `0 a4 A) v _: Z Calgary 395,067 252,411 56.5% 405,778 264,389
, H/ R2 G' b8 Z Y. a -------------------------------------------------------------------------
) `: r1 i, {! Z# @. M) u" S" P) m Edmonton 286,857 194,857 47.2% 316,429 206,714
# Q- G: ^6 Q) N! [; y -------------------------------------------------------------------------
. J9 W \/ C/ Z; N Vancouver 704,250 601,000 17.2% 794,000 697,500
1 v; @' q( N/ @* e; q -------------------------------------------------------------------------
6 V% l* e5 d# p. Y! ]' c Victoria 375,000 348,000 7.8% 403,000 391,000
D) s9 f: u% F; k -------------------------------------------------------------------------$ l. n' T5 j7 _* \6 c8 g
National 300,365 258,202 16.3% 365,380 322,860
$ r3 z+ k( V7 q0 O; m( s -------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 O" P2 r; B9 A0 `! z8 I P
, U$ I* V. P' w, b9 f# W( ^ -------------------------------------------------------------
- \8 A0 E, _' ?2 h Standard Condominium% O1 W0 n t; g: a$ c
-------------------------------------------------------------3 @6 p4 g. W- \, W) h6 w
2-Storey 2006 Q3 2005 Q3 Condo# z% d: z M( t4 ?2 |6 q0 @
Market % Change Average Average % Change8 l h. F: `1 Q: x6 w
-------------------------------------------------------------9 r w; p+ s: R; t c6 x: a" v8 d
Halifax -0.2% 142,000 103,000 37.9%1 z0 |2 s1 R0 W7 ~& W+ `- a
-------------------------------------------------------------5 ]- V0 \7 x+ U# `- q
Charlottetown 2.9% 98,000 98,000 0.0%
: `% L% S7 ]2 I -------------------------------------------------------------! I# N5 v$ D; h: t/ X6 D
Moncton 4.9% - - N/A0 {0 X' G0 x! i8 r/ t+ `
-------------------------------------------------------------1 f! h4 X$ I- D7 }
Saint John N/A - - N/A1 Q1 |5 ~) A8 q1 ?1 Q
-------------------------------------------------------------3 i, j1 k, P7 C" E/ F L; A+ @0 T# y
St. John's -0.8% 146,333 145,667 0.5%: D2 M0 x& p. Z
-------------------------------------------------------------( X! r; Y3 `2 A* U$ p& p0 U) X! }
Atlantic 1.3% 128,778 115,556 11.4%; o; p- T: I- y; \5 B
-------------------------------------------------------------
: @, Y; e' \( T- d5 V Montreal 1.6% 193,190 188,016 2.8%+ S6 T R& w* \
-------------------------------------------------------------
" k" a& j' U- U" F Ottawa 4.5% 181,083 172,250 5.1%
7 y7 q3 j6 P" z1 ]2 W! X* Y2 L9 } ` ------------------------------------------------------------- n8 e6 ^+ _% ], q0 u i* J
Toronto 1.4% 252,088 242,918 3.8%
S( ]' m1 b6 c: H7 G4 E8 Q) } -------------------------------------------------------------
7 g! `0 w% S( A [8 u4 n# h+ i Winnipeg 12.0% 105,648 96,008 10.0%7 }! G% o1 |; f- q; W6 o
-------------------------------------------------------------* ^; R) I t" C2 Y
Saskatchewan 9.7% 106,250 101,000 5.2%
. v3 R/ S9 r8 ~% g( g -------------------------------------------------------------! r- y. c" o0 n/ _6 r, X
Calgary 53.5% 245,844 153,867 59.8%
+ J- P! X/ |' ?7 i! I v -------------------------------------------------------------' X) S. M* c; b G. Y9 T
Edmonton 53.1% 200,433 131,500 52.4%
3 F6 G* r9 P; P/ l; D$ c% V$ Z -------------------------------------------------------------
7 o8 {9 _9 L: t G' P8 b: J4 p0 ~ Vancouver 13.8% 366,250 323,250 13.3%
1 t+ [; c% h4 P$ l9 s; r( H -------------------------------------------------------------$ y8 D% S: b1 v1 ~4 _
Victoria 3.1% 229,000 220,000 4.1%, R& K6 H+ m. V- M9 ]9 f. j& W) h% E0 b' [
-------------------------------------------------------------
+ \" ]9 c6 Y7 K* M. V$ V' ~ National 13.2% 211,562 185,296 14.2%7 ^9 N* K0 G* n4 y6 w( Y% G. g5 n' z
-------------------------------------------------------------
* i2 n2 d' K+ }* B8 s& B N >>. }: C" n" G5 {" t& i+ B/ p
3 l# x4 J( {! `* _ Average house prices are based on an average of all sub-markets examined
! q1 \/ Q5 g8 w% t0 @- [6 bin the area, except for the smaller markets of Charlottetown, Moncton, Saint
2 E/ ]1 J" F# \John and Victoria.
5 D( q+ H# N+ _: k e5 `
W! W7 J# h& y3 J( a, t: ^# b6 [ The Royal LePage Survey of Canadian House Prices is the largest, most
# b: S# A, ?/ Scomprehensive study of its kind in Canada, with information on seven types of
. S4 B7 Y8 D8 ~0 G- M" a: ]housing in over 250 neighbourhoods from coast to coast. This release. I0 x! J t* @" Z3 \
references an abbreviated version of the survey, which highlights house price6 g3 v) I4 |" Z- o) F; D
trends for the three most common types of housing in Canada in 80 communities+ K+ e" |( {. \) D, d+ J1 T
across the country. A complete database of past and present surveys is
0 [5 g6 G$ S" m3 E, savailable on the Royal LePage Web site at www.royallepage.ca, and current
- p- O- J7 c n$ T L [! O/ B3 ^figures will be updated following the end of the third quarter. A printable" `& ^- Y% Y, k! C
version of the third quarter 2006 survey will be available online on, F+ u- [5 C2 r0 c- e) x& l
November 15, 2006.7 y5 p1 j/ t9 j; G# X5 d
Housing values in the Royal LePage Survey are Royal LePage opinions of8 Q7 C; J+ I: U6 y
fair market value in each location, based on local data and market knowledge
; j& p( q. G/ Zprovided by Royal LePage residential real estate experts. Historical data is% w; J. |$ L" v" A7 o) f8 b
available for some areas back to the early 1970s. |
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发表于 2006-9-29 08:09
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