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Canada's housing market both vigorous and stable
) T; q- l3 L4 |/ Z" U5 u/ w# J" r# ^* f2 I1 p) U
- Country's market poised to show growth throughout 2006 -( O$ ]5 I/ B @6 J# m3 ]
! Q1 e3 w1 a& G5 g) B, \" X' ? TORONTO, Sept. 28 /CNW/ - For most of Canada, the housing market
' q+ q0 `8 {; q) m4 bexhibited moderate price increases and stable unit sales during the third
` V P9 a2 v: K" v9 N0 vquarter. Wide regional variances continued to be the dominant characteristic
$ v0 n8 s8 y. ], A- gin the market, exemplified by frenzied levels of activity and double digit+ l& ?8 B; E4 y
price gains observed in the energy and commodity rich Western provinces, and5 j* I+ ?0 @( h
more reasonable sales volumes and moderate price appreciation in Ontario,% v& O* ?- d1 P# u3 l' p- I' ^
Quebec and Atlantic Canada, according to a report released today by Royal
/ O6 Y% ~/ W5 ]# Y' v9 YLePage Real Estate Services.5 D% {% J# V+ B+ j" S8 z
8 t) ~" v D: w( K- L
Nationally, market trends established through the first three quarters
, k! \# b; {, K1 ]) D& Hare forecast to continue for the remainder of the year. Robust economic
6 c" @# x# T7 }$ Qconditions, low unemployment rates, modestly growing salaries and wages, and2 |/ {1 A1 n' }% e& D) e
sound consumer confidence contributed to the overall strength of the
1 G8 {4 b) S2 Q& ?. hresidential real estate sector.
+ v7 x S ]1 g* G3 `* n+ t1 p
Of the housing types surveyed, the highest average price appreciation
6 {! E2 Z/ O, r) boccurred in detached bungalows, which rose to $300,365 (+16.3%): x# R6 m. d( `
year-over-year, followed by standard condominiums, which rose to $211,562- k# l3 n7 n; H+ _
(+14.2%), and standard two-storey properties, which increased to $365,380" C# g, e& w& @- [
(+13.2%).
: i6 g. J, M# I8 J6 Z5 b+ O6 K& T( }- v6 }; f2 I3 f% m' j
"Canada's sturdy housing market continued to demonstrate steady growth" H! H% F/ Z. f- U1 v9 I
during the third quarter. For all but the west, we have moved on from the. V# T" y1 \! f6 U5 q
frenzied expansion that characterized the first half of this decade, and are6 q( g3 P7 {4 j
poised to show continued growth at a more moderate pace," said Phil Soper,
4 R3 y1 b2 I; Z3 {) ^- }- J3 Fpresident and chief executive officer, Royal LePage Real Estate Services.9 P' l5 W* f6 v' v2 d X2 g% ]
"Gone is the sellers' market that we have lived with for some years. We: m7 {" ]6 Q9 c6 \+ Z
welcome the more reliable conditions that are characteristic of a healthy' W [( |5 i0 y% q4 h) S
balanced market."
; q9 @3 N+ K% |/ |
( `' k) N/ O% H$ S Despite the double-digit rise in average national house prices,# B! B' D+ U/ }" l0 [3 x# D- M
considerable regional variances were exhibited again this quarter. The shift* a. H5 }3 [3 @( Q. }
to balanced market conditions, which began in late 2005, has continued/ J! Y. y% F- S1 o9 @) i- e
throughout most of the Central and Eastern regions of the country. In the core
& J5 N% T2 B) o$ _, H) P- Ienergy producing western provinces, the combination of very high in-migration,% r ]) y# x1 `. V& N! @% }
manageable affordability, and a shortage of inventory has driven record
( v$ \: o2 ^6 p; m3 A) B) ^% {1 Qbreaking price appreciations.9 d# v( {- y, x2 }& B3 j+ Y" z
7 W Q ~! i# s% r! F/ S( h
Echoing the second quarter and supported by Alberta's rapidly expanding1 Y3 l: k: S5 M6 Z
economy, Calgary and Edmonton led the charge of Canadian cities with the/ Q2 J0 R9 a5 h: f
largest house price appreciation in all housing types surveyed.
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0 q$ y/ b, V# y% `4 Z! Z In Ottawa and Toronto, growth remained steady, supported by solid
& V) s+ B) n/ F* \economic fundamentals, an increase in available inventory and strong consumer, v0 k; N* q+ l" }1 t
confidence. While the pace of price appreciation in Ontario leveled off
6 ^# ~5 z8 n' G! M; O' R4 jslightly, the province's real estate market remains poised for modest growth.: K; N- `. J- _9 {$ ~
In Atlantic Canada, new housing and condominium construction offered buyers
5 E% J$ L8 i9 P- m0 }3 Jgreater selection at more competitive prices, resulting in a slower rate of' B# m# V' v w$ B2 [5 m
price appreciation when compared with 2005.
9 T. a# z( A" K, _3 p0 u
5 b: a: P9 _, K- U7 p/ C# F While the pace of growth in Canada has slowed, the domestic housing
! C Q3 y$ p4 d* w9 xmarket is expected to outperform the American market. The economic and
4 ?) o1 y/ f; } j: T3 sfinancial fundamentals driving the residential real estate sector in Canada* v1 |, Y3 v4 d- o" {1 |8 F
are markedly different than those found in the United States.
/ a6 r2 j% X3 z2 u" p, \% J5 @0 w" h5 l) t ]
Added Soper: "Canada's housing market is likely to outperform the: }- o' |8 f) p7 w1 _3 e4 j; J
American market through 2007. A number of factors are working in Canada's
3 U; w6 T% C, U4 q; w' Mfavour, including healthy personal and governmental debt levels, the2 k9 F/ m* U$ ~# e7 F6 C0 h B
relatively modest rise in interest rates in our country, and general; e1 L( N, R, Y3 O2 I; T
affordability in our major cities. In addition, Americans are now seeing the: p8 }7 } d7 E) w! ]) V; x: q
downside of a tax system that encourages maximum homeowner leverage, and1 R* S# c0 m+ P! ^& _' H8 ^
aggressive financial products such as zero- and negative-amortization
. t6 O6 k( X1 umortgages that work only in a high price growth environment."
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% G& c; W' M V, K <<
* g0 R& }( y$ q! O7 D REGIONAL SUMMARIES7 ^; x9 t! e6 S
>>
+ G- Q8 Q7 \- j+ u$ e$ i- J- N* m& X( e* n
Balanced conditions continued to characterize the housing market in
# @3 J' ?' H9 |$ |. IHalifax, as significantly higher inventory levels helped to moderate the rate
$ Y& ~1 e e5 o% k; H/ Cof price appreciation. Buyers were increasingly choosy, taking more time
1 L! m+ b; v7 t) L1 x, E! Wlooking for newer, low-maintenance properties that were not in need of( c2 N; g7 E, K; \0 s$ x" @
renovations.
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# b& ^6 j, `, R1 X The housing market in Moncton remained healthy and strong as a slight K/ \2 Q2 g7 w0 s. M' c
increase in inventory helped to moderate the rate of price appreciation3 Z% s: d1 ]" G: F1 a
compared to the same period in 2005. Activity was brisk throughout August and F3 A1 B1 L0 [3 P5 x% `
September and is expected to remain this way through the fourth quarter.4 X x: R: X# |. F) s7 [
j, X+ N; b; D- w0 K! M s; b The housing market in Saint John underwent its traditional summer
9 W0 f6 l8 A! |! L2 ?slowdown in the third quarter, with activity picking up towards the end of the
0 O/ a# Y! h$ c/ u! lquarter. The local economy continued to thrive, as construction on a new8 q1 F8 ?6 Q& h/ I% z% o
600,000 square-foot shopping area has begun, bringing several new box stores
1 r; j2 Z8 n4 Q9 n1 s/ a3 r- Bto the area. Buyers have begun seeking less expensive fixtures for their homes
+ H( h: X) b) Pand are instead opting for more affordable housing options.
/ p5 w% Q6 L% V' Y) ~8 Q
- f* g. p* G, R& u6 u. N# s) P, r In Charlottetown, the housing market started to move towards balanced
: R3 K; T1 P5 X: G$ W* q3 rconditions, as some sellers had to begin to lower the asking prices on their
0 _1 l9 v4 a1 v- |homes to make them more competitive. Activity from out-of-town and US buyers
& \ m: s* H* E) ?5 Y+ {was down slightly compared to 2005, likely attributable to the strong Canadian
* N% X2 m& L2 b! z, K3 zdollar. Inventory levels began to creep up in the third quarter, providing
6 k" |5 V' a4 s- v+ nbuyers with more options when looking for a home. R% E ]6 t. k( |
6 u0 ~9 L2 e. w u1 L+ V" P [
Activity in St. John's slowed slightly in the third quarter, particularly/ g& @: Q" D# j) V2 }
among higher-priced properties, where there was a slight over-supply of homes7 ^, x1 x* t9 a) \' g+ Y
priced over $200,000. Listing periods have increased when compared with 2005,
& W) K: [7 \& das some of the pent-up demand that had characterized the market over the last
2 u* V) f8 ?6 Q v8 [few years has been satisfied, resulting in more normal, balanced conditions.0 F7 K, {' G* V( ~& A
3 G' v) _$ O2 [; q q
Montreal's housing market recorded modest increases in average house
* O( i8 Y4 n# n4 P( n) N& ?prices, due to a slight seasonal slowdown in the third quarter as inventory1 R5 {. [+ y% S- W8 s; C
levels rose. Part of this can be attributed to the fact that many renting
" R7 z6 u4 n5 @6 Sfirst-time buyers were motivated to close on the purchase of a home by July 1,5 X5 b1 Y! L8 E6 m
when rental leases expire in Quebec. Once this date has passed some of the( O* b F, i* h8 w+ p p4 t
pressure is taken off the market, allowing buyers to visit more homes before" u5 Q# V: s3 F6 w8 M: O. n
making a purchase. L7 c' @2 }; N' v! \. ^/ f9 ^
: s K$ j" h1 ~; {' w Ottawa held its position as one of the country's most stable housing
, u1 `, V+ {0 o& N$ V1 {/ b' qmarkets in the third quarter, reinforced by a vibrant local economy and strong; M* N% H+ B* b. ?. S0 U# o* f' Y5 @
confidence, resulting in modest increases in average house prices. The city0 E9 Y& v7 K% F2 \
centre remained a bright spot in Ottawa, with homes in this area attracting
; Y- x2 E8 C! _4 ]0 B( k# {8 }attention due to their convenient location and proximity to downtown. X5 @1 i" v% ]2 g/ G4 e5 T! V
amenities." a" X0 @* J; b% L
/ B3 m4 m3 Q# f$ R0 e; e; C6 s2 D u
The housing market in Toronto sustained healthy activity levels. L; H9 N! U+ a& Z
throughout the third quarter, as a strong economy helped to maintain demand1 i7 k" U2 g: z
across the city, causing average house prices to rise moderately. Toronto has' e/ a7 R; l) [3 R
continued to experience modest growth in average house prices, and has been
% |: @) i% X& idriven primarily by purchasers who are buying homes as their principle
- V( Z' U: z- H' xresidence, rather than for investment.1 z1 {# [* R, R& y; L, \+ i
k# E Y1 B' k2 X
The vibrant Winnipeg housing market continued to show its strength as0 ~/ D& m9 h* M5 ~, ~ }$ u' k
house prices rose during the third quarter. The booming local economy resulted$ q, V% k1 O6 {' z
in a historically low unemployment rate, helping to bolster consumer0 c/ E! I0 q/ E7 U) A: j7 A( p
confidence and Winnipeg's ranking as the city with the lowest capitalization
! _* m7 B0 ]1 P* ~" f3 lrate among the country's larger cities - helped to encourage buyers to enter" x1 r( w, v/ e5 A! ~5 f& ]* b, k
the market. b# K6 K4 O: `
" X: P3 J7 Z; d, ` In Regina, the market experienced a slight seasonal slowdown through- Y0 g f( o) M) `- R/ z; Z5 G
July, as there were fewer purchasers in the market due to summer vacations. In( g; o& X$ p+ X3 J+ l7 }" E1 U" P
August, activity resumed to the busy pace previously seen in the spring
$ [% f2 h# {6 Y& I. Wmonths, as the influx of purchasers made it more difficult to find a home due4 z; A4 Y* I) a( V! v
to the shortage of available inventory.5 T) \! m6 w4 O3 c8 k+ \
) E5 b' \$ d" b0 r
Activity in Saskatoon remained brisk as the market maintained its
6 w8 n/ p' @8 g) P( i1 @momentum from the busy spring sales period. The economy in Saskatoon remains
) E6 R3 i2 x) W( N( C0 A3 {% ^vibrant, as employment opportunities are abundant with many businesses
) a' a: C" e5 k7 Cstruggling to make hires and having to recruit outside the province.- x7 [* J' Q- l
6 P h* [+ Q# K
Calgary's housing market recorded blazing average house price increases
' z6 D8 c! }, w. B3 din the third quarter, in all surveyed categories. The burgeoning economy, low) D7 f9 x% S1 L6 I
unemployment rates and low inventory levels remained the leading factors that
% C" D" b* Y% H l6 N; Cpressured Calgary's house prices upwards. However, regardless of the soaring3 q% Q6 Z; x( w! [/ |- Y2 r9 B) v
prices that characterized the market - even during the typically slower summer1 d S" w3 ` s% U- ~) h& ?
season - it is expected that activity will become slightly more balanced, as
4 C+ ^* z, H; kbuyers are becoming more reluctant to participate in the frenetic activity.
1 J* G% a c- y" d
9 O- V8 C% y! M, N4 Q6 K Edmonton's booming local economy continued to thrive in the third quarter
- x0 I; O% Y" G( eas activity in the oil sands north of the city continued to flourish. Edmonton
1 J7 ^0 {% F. f* Gremained the hub of activity for those coming to work in the oil industry,2 _$ D1 V ]2 a
maintaining tight inventory levels across the city, resulting in prices
! u* k4 A9 w. U. Pincreasing at record levels. However, as inventory levels continued to improve
' I! J; Z! ? _% @# M r' min the third quarter the rate of price appreciation should moderate slightly" V' @* z0 @1 ]" d
towards the end of 2006. 3 R4 |" h; B' _* P9 U5 l& k2 s
; R# r* y& X$ B$ a- c3 W. d7 ^# xWhile Vancouver has seen a slight reprieve from the severe shortage of3 s6 G4 }% ]' r/ g9 V3 d; X0 r* ?
inventory that had previously characterized the market, supply is still unable/ \& C5 E, Y& Z5 U
to meet demand, driving house prices upwards. Vancouver has a very diverse
5 A0 ?8 w3 D K- R$ pgroup of active buyers - from first-time home buyers to baby-boomers to* ~0 q( K. a" `- ?; g5 w
foreign investors - all of whom fuel the demand for houses, placing added
% [3 ~7 g0 U3 \pressure on tight inventory levels.+ q7 ~4 @% T. ?( D( R6 ^7 p
' j5 e2 J0 z( L8 i2 I- v
Victoria's market is vibrant and supported by strong economic4 I" B8 B; a6 {* G) B6 t
fundamentals, fuelled by a booming tech sector and a migration of young people
) D2 Z/ e- O" q1 _/ E9 @into the city that has continued to support the area's house price increases;
! J/ V Q! h7 [/ r% Lwhile increased inventory levels have afforded buyers more time when searching
& F6 R. [! G; o* kfor a home, helping to normalize the market's pace.! L0 E5 I: ]" F; k: R
! e; [0 g/ A+ b9 h1 z% P! ?- U
<<
, m" C- o+ ?; v& T& ~% x" Y7 a Survey of Canadian Average House Prices in the Third Quarter 2006( P+ M/ b& {! z
9 R, ]0 c% f4 A0 F6 V -------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 D8 i0 ~ }" r0 u2 y3 y( \, z# k Detached Bungalows Standard Two Storey
* \+ T: K! X2 ~, w! c3 l H -------------------------------------------------------------------------
9 J3 Q" d" f; o; [$ J# Q 2006 Q3 2005 Q3 Bungalow 2006 Q3 2005 Q3% |) h8 X1 ~3 E* a7 h' D
Market Average Average % Change Average Average% z) o' W1 D" _3 B* z" t4 Z
-------------------------------------------------------------------------* U' R; Q {: M3 g6 B
Halifax 186,333 173,333 7.5% 198,667 199,000- J: ~# `1 ]8 v7 v8 z# _: T5 Q% P" \
-------------------------------------------------------------------------# q% ~) o" [# @0 t+ {3 X
Charlottetown 145,000 141,000 2.8% 175,000 170,000
+ T' H a! h9 h1 \! i -------------------------------------------------------------------------
# r9 n, a2 W, j- c3 _- _& m Moncton 135,000 127,000 6.3% 129,000 123,000
9 L' \$ t- u! T7 {, S( ]' ~ -------------------------------------------------------------------------5 x" v0 A4 Z8 G+ n0 _
Saint John 141,200 142,900 -1.2% - -$ a- l6 ~) }4 A; L2 K5 [
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
. q9 u4 F- l( U: v1 I5 a4 y* k" ] St. John's 143,667 142,667 0.7% 200,667 202,333! r! B6 H* |% t5 U# C$ N( _
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
/ ?6 h3 C- @; o- e2 W; J3 i Atlantic 150,240 145,380 3.3% 175,833 173,583
( S% c/ E8 }, [ -------------------------------------------------------------------------
& }4 O5 C) t0 B, Z Montreal 213,691 203,500 5.0% 321,141 316,185
" M" t# M) E4 C5 N& F0 \, o -------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 J; u! H' W- e Ottawa 290,083 278,417 4.2% 285,667 273,250/ k/ X( W @' m
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
: O! h" k2 o' K" c2 A3 ` Toronto 373,368 355,882 4.9% 481,523 474,7667 G5 H, s" K0 L: L" J, u$ I
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
( i5 Q8 z5 c3 ]. m. I9 L Winnipeg 181,579 159,860 13.6% 202,337 180,707
+ F: U- K8 q) n: O -------------------------------------------------------------------------9 v; U$ ^& c, V
Saskatchewan 170,667 156,083 9.3% 182,600 166,5006 u0 U; h, V/ }# ]! d4 R6 @! n
-------------------------------------------------------------------------1 v' F+ U% [/ g; ^$ Z8 }/ K) ^
Calgary 395,067 252,411 56.5% 405,778 264,389 o4 o5 E' \. U$ u* o/ Q8 l7 s/ ^" r
-------------------------------------------------------------------------" o! B6 [6 s \! N- X* d: r! ^
Edmonton 286,857 194,857 47.2% 316,429 206,714( h4 |5 [/ x2 Z) c6 {
-------------------------------------------------------------------------6 N2 c# _8 o z+ P$ N
Vancouver 704,250 601,000 17.2% 794,000 697,5000 |; o/ f7 }3 J- t7 ~8 f
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
( o" i+ V+ ?! z' q! d( h Victoria 375,000 348,000 7.8% 403,000 391,000" ^6 m' B g" V, C9 ?1 a
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
0 T- z2 o+ }! P/ r, s National 300,365 258,202 16.3% 365,380 322,860
* D' G3 Q8 v* C8 r4 G -------------------------------------------------------------------------
; ?+ ^" B b* Y" Y2 v$ |5 j; T" F5 [
+ J' N2 s2 t& C/ _ -------------------------------------------------------------
% \: C4 a2 [ A, K! T( }/ E Standard Condominium
& p; q5 K" \8 ?" V! V -------------------------------------------------------------! i. V$ o( Z- U2 ?+ k* t& R
2-Storey 2006 Q3 2005 Q3 Condo& z5 a' [% ?+ K5 a3 N) M
Market % Change Average Average % Change
( J6 |% f9 [+ H8 s -------------------------------------------------------------
' ]" i1 B r2 q- Y6 H$ C4 I7 Y+ J9 ~ Halifax -0.2% 142,000 103,000 37.9%
6 r( d: N1 L( X8 Y -------------------------------------------------------------! o. _+ W6 d0 I7 q0 s' n& L+ H! y
Charlottetown 2.9% 98,000 98,000 0.0%
' E" K1 p8 ^% ^; q -------------------------------------------------------------3 k1 l* }' Z; N, p! Z. N
Moncton 4.9% - - N/A
5 s$ d$ m N" q -------------------------------------------------------------
, V R: C/ ^+ `8 } Saint John N/A - - N/A
: S) Q2 {1 Z1 w f$ @8 C" t/ L" ` -------------------------------------------------------------
5 _/ Q h/ f: N$ ?4 v2 q St. John's -0.8% 146,333 145,667 0.5%/ y3 p; |: d' k& M2 y
-------------------------------------------------------------
4 A3 o- M5 ]& d5 a Atlantic 1.3% 128,778 115,556 11.4%! ?" d- W6 [" J: o! x( V7 D, j9 [
-------------------------------------------------------------
6 A" T) b9 S. a. B8 p- p" w Montreal 1.6% 193,190 188,016 2.8%1 i+ v: C2 V" S5 C7 s
-------------------------------------------------------------
; \) a- K& ^( B1 m! a4 z0 V Ottawa 4.5% 181,083 172,250 5.1%
& q- E2 f% m! i: p+ \9 I3 r' y -------------------------------------------------------------. N8 W& w+ H K3 a0 q
Toronto 1.4% 252,088 242,918 3.8%
: X6 |+ l9 L1 B: }" L -------------------------------------------------------------3 _ e; E0 W1 V
Winnipeg 12.0% 105,648 96,008 10.0%
2 _3 Q1 U" |! V: U' o* |+ k3 C) V; ` -------------------------------------------------------------
) n& ]9 m* P5 j+ p% O Saskatchewan 9.7% 106,250 101,000 5.2%/ z) @0 h- R# ~- B; Y0 J4 |
-------------------------------------------------------------6 _5 U* N- G" O9 _0 x' {
Calgary 53.5% 245,844 153,867 59.8%
1 Z4 _1 u" H4 n/ _ -------------------------------------------------------------
& f$ p- U( D$ N/ w Edmonton 53.1% 200,433 131,500 52.4%
5 k& }( S. Z( o* Z4 {8 o$ J+ p -------------------------------------------------------------/ u& a. ^: A3 g% I% t( C7 Y& R
Vancouver 13.8% 366,250 323,250 13.3%
+ L0 U' N# F2 H9 H, \: O+ ? -------------------------------------------------------------' h; ^& O( m7 e+ c" {# w! {( u
Victoria 3.1% 229,000 220,000 4.1%. m" k' k5 ~3 _$ o O- Y
-------------------------------------------------------------
6 L$ l) Z& ^5 p* n5 O* P6 D" g National 13.2% 211,562 185,296 14.2%4 X [0 J+ q. _ N( }
-------------------------------------------------------------3 q% D3 @6 [. V1 `
>>
2 ] |1 m j* I9 m1 N9 m: M3 I" o' A- F: B! w+ ]1 s3 w0 V3 [, u9 p
Average house prices are based on an average of all sub-markets examined) M$ ]+ X7 o$ G9 O7 S# ~: {7 M0 u
in the area, except for the smaller markets of Charlottetown, Moncton, Saint5 m- ?/ J; F0 q
John and Victoria.
& ]3 g# Q* I5 w
- r% q& }2 f! N; `5 j- V+ ` The Royal LePage Survey of Canadian House Prices is the largest, most
- Y5 I; ?: I5 L+ J! h0 {comprehensive study of its kind in Canada, with information on seven types of
8 Q/ D: f1 D/ c3 Yhousing in over 250 neighbourhoods from coast to coast. This release
" A+ i) \4 Z J. \$ l4 Preferences an abbreviated version of the survey, which highlights house price$ E0 g0 V( N, {3 }
trends for the three most common types of housing in Canada in 80 communities
: h% T3 d1 r8 [' Q! ~- V4 F8 {across the country. A complete database of past and present surveys is
9 k8 {1 L! W8 p$ Tavailable on the Royal LePage Web site at www.royallepage.ca, and current4 M2 h8 P5 o! y
figures will be updated following the end of the third quarter. A printable
/ x2 U% ?6 m* [+ x2 d! f& Bversion of the third quarter 2006 survey will be available online on
A+ Z O5 F: cNovember 15, 2006.8 W. k3 ] M' z* G* z2 o9 v
Housing values in the Royal LePage Survey are Royal LePage opinions of
3 b" w$ X8 Z( v! U. m$ Dfair market value in each location, based on local data and market knowledge# V. l, o3 |4 [+ Z* c$ l8 N
provided by Royal LePage residential real estate experts. Historical data is1 F2 ~; P! r. Q- D9 ]) T( H
available for some areas back to the early 1970s. |
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发表于 2006-9-29 08:09
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