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Canada's housing market both vigorous and stable
2 c1 L2 g. D9 l# M! A8 v+ }
8 f" n. K" H( V" I4 D8 a& S- Country's market poised to show growth throughout 2006 -
& h e2 w$ {* [9 ^- e! C" c- s* [) i$ A8 f* n
TORONTO, Sept. 28 /CNW/ - For most of Canada, the housing market
; V) q9 Y* P1 ]! p% bexhibited moderate price increases and stable unit sales during the third
7 A+ r7 m9 K- |! `2 `8 |# W4 vquarter. Wide regional variances continued to be the dominant characteristic
& U6 q7 N, `' V& I& g2 p& \7 Uin the market, exemplified by frenzied levels of activity and double digit1 Q: T5 _, U/ ^5 T2 F/ B0 _
price gains observed in the energy and commodity rich Western provinces, and
) O# s+ X# T* s; \/ xmore reasonable sales volumes and moderate price appreciation in Ontario,
5 I- u9 j1 {& P; n4 X7 @Quebec and Atlantic Canada, according to a report released today by Royal
% F7 m0 X, ^1 w. o, L6 R( e) [* O3 SLePage Real Estate Services./ C% @. Q" N. M, Z+ E8 N- N1 ~
+ B6 Q1 F1 r+ F2 R$ A0 s+ [) C Nationally, market trends established through the first three quarters& z; }7 z7 h( L3 G/ e
are forecast to continue for the remainder of the year. Robust economic7 s" X8 u' p8 S1 p/ j" C
conditions, low unemployment rates, modestly growing salaries and wages, and
y' R9 ?! D" A" L1 H1 o2 xsound consumer confidence contributed to the overall strength of the1 p; U: @& i' K" o
residential real estate sector.
8 w6 ^- U2 m9 p8 |; Y5 Y4 V8 l/ X1 b! n) H8 U f: r4 }
Of the housing types surveyed, the highest average price appreciation, H2 N9 d4 G \1 Z u
occurred in detached bungalows, which rose to $300,365 (+16.3%)! y; h# g6 _% ~' ^
year-over-year, followed by standard condominiums, which rose to $211,562
' |. `5 f5 I3 e& S$ h(+14.2%), and standard two-storey properties, which increased to $365,380
/ R6 B3 K9 [4 J( }; e(+13.2%).6 L% g1 V# Y/ f0 A
) ~! `( J" F0 {
"Canada's sturdy housing market continued to demonstrate steady growth7 {) }. R# c, F& _& p+ Z
during the third quarter. For all but the west, we have moved on from the
2 l$ Z# F' j7 ^( y2 K8 d$ s6 a& Efrenzied expansion that characterized the first half of this decade, and are
- }5 j. [0 i L, f( S5 ppoised to show continued growth at a more moderate pace," said Phil Soper,
& O0 D: I/ J+ l, V ?4 zpresident and chief executive officer, Royal LePage Real Estate Services.
- Z& |* b0 |8 S' K"Gone is the sellers' market that we have lived with for some years. We
5 ?; }7 w, F4 Awelcome the more reliable conditions that are characteristic of a healthy
+ C8 t# ^$ ^( v9 cbalanced market."
- I" u5 K# F, O4 j, I$ n, I6 m b# q& ]( ^. L+ }) D. w8 b `
Despite the double-digit rise in average national house prices,! f* Y0 u; v4 h# q# \
considerable regional variances were exhibited again this quarter. The shift
- Y- }( D( m7 Q Mto balanced market conditions, which began in late 2005, has continued ?9 D2 v4 z& a" _: ?" B, m
throughout most of the Central and Eastern regions of the country. In the core
, r- v$ V7 Y9 \+ `; V: oenergy producing western provinces, the combination of very high in-migration,
6 U' \8 o% f$ g, B! D0 rmanageable affordability, and a shortage of inventory has driven record
, W1 H8 a5 i7 j- C7 sbreaking price appreciations.
# k" Z- @* N( f/ d2 O
: z3 L7 c* x/ h4 I& U6 w& |. S Echoing the second quarter and supported by Alberta's rapidly expanding+ f ?; |0 Q) K& S4 M
economy, Calgary and Edmonton led the charge of Canadian cities with the
; ^% O# P1 x6 Y% zlargest house price appreciation in all housing types surveyed.8 A( g; M* N# ]# A8 y+ ~: U0 X
! y: F( M4 a1 w s In Ottawa and Toronto, growth remained steady, supported by solid
, L; z4 D8 q% M. N' h% ]/ o0 ?economic fundamentals, an increase in available inventory and strong consumer
" L) T3 ~" D# ?9 X) ~1 Z3 M% t# iconfidence. While the pace of price appreciation in Ontario leveled off
6 x7 ?5 g U8 b& U: Rslightly, the province's real estate market remains poised for modest growth.1 E4 D1 ~2 K0 x
In Atlantic Canada, new housing and condominium construction offered buyers8 P5 R4 q. Q# L3 a7 X
greater selection at more competitive prices, resulting in a slower rate of
$ B' g7 P( q# }/ k6 ]; c1 rprice appreciation when compared with 2005.3 ~& c9 U; N- `" H; E4 B+ u. N
) u3 s3 E+ E& x; r1 G' ^/ R" x
While the pace of growth in Canada has slowed, the domestic housing: `2 N+ q( n8 l9 D- h2 [5 p* V
market is expected to outperform the American market. The economic and
6 E; Y4 N/ F/ x Efinancial fundamentals driving the residential real estate sector in Canada& S9 b m u# s
are markedly different than those found in the United States.
, h$ u( J( m: z Y( |) T7 M: n$ B7 K; a5 {: H/ k% D: p
Added Soper: "Canada's housing market is likely to outperform the1 V1 |6 y' O9 K7 l
American market through 2007. A number of factors are working in Canada's
7 s# e9 @( b% W# T% Hfavour, including healthy personal and governmental debt levels, the& A; G+ R8 _# e3 z" k6 h) b9 [% A
relatively modest rise in interest rates in our country, and general& Q J" C; R- f G9 }
affordability in our major cities. In addition, Americans are now seeing the3 r8 j9 b$ Q1 t9 L
downside of a tax system that encourages maximum homeowner leverage, and, E3 V! _; T# P: ^
aggressive financial products such as zero- and negative-amortization
4 ~( U6 W9 C- x/ h4 X& t: p* U' {mortgages that work only in a high price growth environment."
$ _3 @/ }; S# ]4 K+ g l( e' F2 Y1 d; E# g1 `
<<
! q8 v+ C) ^: w1 u5 H! W2 i$ ] C REGIONAL SUMMARIES
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# x1 W! B8 H2 i2 k9 U k# p* m; e; G" Y' I* J6 A# b8 i
Balanced conditions continued to characterize the housing market in
- [" @: t% d$ {" I# n. K7 M' KHalifax, as significantly higher inventory levels helped to moderate the rate; ]; g% m9 U' q/ f! Z4 v, a
of price appreciation. Buyers were increasingly choosy, taking more time
3 |2 A7 p+ H; _- Xlooking for newer, low-maintenance properties that were not in need of
( A4 B( h% ]% u( d/ x& P7 trenovations." q+ r; S6 Q) L
8 U) O W) A% p4 j* P The housing market in Moncton remained healthy and strong as a slight
; _2 y0 N2 k( b( [9 H4 nincrease in inventory helped to moderate the rate of price appreciation) B9 j) v8 J# c9 X0 A$ l; n3 s
compared to the same period in 2005. Activity was brisk throughout August and4 |" M$ b. t* h
September and is expected to remain this way through the fourth quarter.9 ^$ G# f0 n4 _
1 o3 C$ @0 @; u2 p% A6 b
The housing market in Saint John underwent its traditional summer
' |/ Z7 h$ W; `slowdown in the third quarter, with activity picking up towards the end of the
2 E/ f9 c+ ^1 j. Fquarter. The local economy continued to thrive, as construction on a new
) h' ?4 J( _7 e/ @1 G) ?5 O600,000 square-foot shopping area has begun, bringing several new box stores
( a3 q$ Q; Y7 D; T) Sto the area. Buyers have begun seeking less expensive fixtures for their homes
; J L8 s0 ^% b6 I8 D2 zand are instead opting for more affordable housing options.7 ^. l& B9 O* C# H* G9 r h
8 Y; [5 Z% `& ]% d
In Charlottetown, the housing market started to move towards balanced
; X1 ?1 ]4 e4 p" Lconditions, as some sellers had to begin to lower the asking prices on their9 H# g0 d; X3 B$ P0 l# w" \, a& {9 k
homes to make them more competitive. Activity from out-of-town and US buyers
$ A- w( j. P; X6 R$ awas down slightly compared to 2005, likely attributable to the strong Canadian
# c# O* L& S( M& }. ]dollar. Inventory levels began to creep up in the third quarter, providing
# i$ U' r+ n, Wbuyers with more options when looking for a home.
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Activity in St. John's slowed slightly in the third quarter, particularly
, s, l1 {' J( N) U4 p+ o* h; Aamong higher-priced properties, where there was a slight over-supply of homes! C' w z1 q$ D& V
priced over $200,000. Listing periods have increased when compared with 2005,9 x ^8 y/ s; i5 S
as some of the pent-up demand that had characterized the market over the last
3 r1 W4 X; e8 x! c: X; `) ?% efew years has been satisfied, resulting in more normal, balanced conditions.
$ ~- @2 Y! h& |- @) z9 u, F$ n2 j) Y- U' g
Montreal's housing market recorded modest increases in average house9 R8 ]3 {1 Z$ b# w& R, B
prices, due to a slight seasonal slowdown in the third quarter as inventory
! M2 t- u; I# P4 n* Olevels rose. Part of this can be attributed to the fact that many renting
2 ]5 ~& d0 m% {3 l# zfirst-time buyers were motivated to close on the purchase of a home by July 1,
) J+ |% Z3 H2 xwhen rental leases expire in Quebec. Once this date has passed some of the
' G9 i9 q: m1 C. R0 jpressure is taken off the market, allowing buyers to visit more homes before
4 V9 z" W1 {) ^. n) \1 k! omaking a purchase.
) ?- `$ Q: }- D3 O! h# P- D% J! R9 K: o0 v; g' W* ~* a
Ottawa held its position as one of the country's most stable housing
$ ]3 F) x) G0 B/ N0 P/ `( H# Omarkets in the third quarter, reinforced by a vibrant local economy and strong
& T: x6 p$ R6 ?0 P& U6 h1 n2 aconfidence, resulting in modest increases in average house prices. The city
+ N. l: {* ?% r$ Ocentre remained a bright spot in Ottawa, with homes in this area attracting
q$ k) s- F$ oattention due to their convenient location and proximity to downtown
" Y w4 G5 }' Jamenities./ q' R/ C& }: F% A( e
; |' N! ?+ h) W2 k
The housing market in Toronto sustained healthy activity levels
5 l1 ]/ p% P! Othroughout the third quarter, as a strong economy helped to maintain demand
. K N9 f1 d! e3 \across the city, causing average house prices to rise moderately. Toronto has
1 g2 M8 d4 t. i' Vcontinued to experience modest growth in average house prices, and has been+ G' L) N6 Q+ g( V" L# K! ]
driven primarily by purchasers who are buying homes as their principle
. K! `) r" s! M3 \residence, rather than for investment.
1 f* ^8 o1 Q6 G7 U. T5 R3 v/ s9 ~
F; ^' i) \: k; n. A The vibrant Winnipeg housing market continued to show its strength as7 {& y; ?% C6 B' z
house prices rose during the third quarter. The booming local economy resulted& \& a& r& r3 f) @, m) i8 ~
in a historically low unemployment rate, helping to bolster consumer
5 c/ h3 ~1 q2 ]- J) Y! }9 Uconfidence and Winnipeg's ranking as the city with the lowest capitalization
8 Q/ Z9 n6 ` nrate among the country's larger cities - helped to encourage buyers to enter
) @8 ^ ?/ z. [. Dthe market.
$ Q4 p/ d3 V# B L3 w
( b* r; M+ A; u5 e% g5 g In Regina, the market experienced a slight seasonal slowdown through/ F" A1 S( T Z0 ?5 D
July, as there were fewer purchasers in the market due to summer vacations. In8 K4 L/ ~' F( W) m& _
August, activity resumed to the busy pace previously seen in the spring
% E/ i8 }4 { ^! }months, as the influx of purchasers made it more difficult to find a home due2 ?) Y2 q3 F9 x/ V
to the shortage of available inventory.
7 ~) t; y) o2 e; ?, i3 T
- D) b! x n/ M' A Activity in Saskatoon remained brisk as the market maintained its- b. {2 W+ a- x+ Q* n$ C c
momentum from the busy spring sales period. The economy in Saskatoon remains% L: e2 b# Y6 V' H* J" I1 m$ l6 P
vibrant, as employment opportunities are abundant with many businesses5 B6 M4 i3 B& P6 q% ?
struggling to make hires and having to recruit outside the province.
5 I' o4 W1 w6 J$ P7 r
# ]9 w0 n1 X; y& m Calgary's housing market recorded blazing average house price increases
# ^8 f! x) K4 ` g7 U. {; @7 @in the third quarter, in all surveyed categories. The burgeoning economy, low
+ V8 y b7 f- e; kunemployment rates and low inventory levels remained the leading factors that0 y6 ^8 y6 E( W, S2 c7 i
pressured Calgary's house prices upwards. However, regardless of the soaring
3 s. n- V% D9 G; v" c" r n Sprices that characterized the market - even during the typically slower summer) X2 d3 f1 Z/ c
season - it is expected that activity will become slightly more balanced, as: R, D2 o; `- V7 y) z/ ?
buyers are becoming more reluctant to participate in the frenetic activity.
0 A3 o7 n% l; G; y1 ^% E, h, T$ F4 ~" G2 H' N8 E
Edmonton's booming local economy continued to thrive in the third quarter
- T& U+ \ L+ |) g! W( n' ^! @4 E* kas activity in the oil sands north of the city continued to flourish. Edmonton
- H& }% H# {: ^6 }6 U1 h. j' Vremained the hub of activity for those coming to work in the oil industry,6 c6 ?% ^2 K9 R# o6 t
maintaining tight inventory levels across the city, resulting in prices
/ e- ~. e+ H' q2 `# o8 Zincreasing at record levels. However, as inventory levels continued to improve. k2 Q$ E$ L% U' s- Z$ D
in the third quarter the rate of price appreciation should moderate slightly8 N, N8 [3 O& |. ?0 i. g! \
towards the end of 2006. . v1 W# k4 o) b+ m
% W; H2 o% a' b+ c
While Vancouver has seen a slight reprieve from the severe shortage of
' A' K7 j* n* qinventory that had previously characterized the market, supply is still unable6 v6 @- f# P0 q4 |/ d+ ^! M; C g' M
to meet demand, driving house prices upwards. Vancouver has a very diverse8 J0 V/ Y1 V. ^! V' {: r
group of active buyers - from first-time home buyers to baby-boomers to- C' d) h5 Q( i* }% i6 q
foreign investors - all of whom fuel the demand for houses, placing added1 N2 _7 O' ?7 s- H/ o" j
pressure on tight inventory levels.% @ E3 B6 D+ e) p/ B2 Z3 [1 P
/ b: k% f$ v7 C, k& k$ U
Victoria's market is vibrant and supported by strong economic
# E5 a. t; o8 @# mfundamentals, fuelled by a booming tech sector and a migration of young people
, g- N, \/ k2 ]1 d4 E. H$ { Pinto the city that has continued to support the area's house price increases;
, I- Z# Q+ f, K9 X7 z" `# S9 E- Ywhile increased inventory levels have afforded buyers more time when searching
0 Z$ x0 V; j/ |( A& r( Q, ^/ ifor a home, helping to normalize the market's pace.
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<<" a, D q6 Q" x, p( X. z
Survey of Canadian Average House Prices in the Third Quarter 20068 }, S& o# q/ J* o7 Z- `
! z Q9 ]6 _" K, P. H @8 E -------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 L2 y* W5 ^" Q* r8 s3 M Detached Bungalows Standard Two Storey
8 m" F) [0 R, ~# _( g' V2 L/ ~6 b -------------------------------------------------------------------------
, n. P) L7 P! j7 o# [% L 2006 Q3 2005 Q3 Bungalow 2006 Q3 2005 Q3
3 k2 m8 v2 O9 R7 K' R+ y! W! z5 O' ` Market Average Average % Change Average Average2 C! Z( ]+ A8 ~( Q. n
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
- l/ z7 `+ t' Y1 X Halifax 186,333 173,333 7.5% 198,667 199,000
; B. v& f5 M3 |: ? -------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 p2 T# P+ U9 A! l7 w7 F Charlottetown 145,000 141,000 2.8% 175,000 170,000
% e3 ?4 L8 e3 [5 c: b2 j! s0 G$ \ -------------------------------------------------------------------------
5 f6 W5 f' F3 r9 J* h Moncton 135,000 127,000 6.3% 129,000 123,000
9 _6 F+ r B8 e4 ]6 P -------------------------------------------------------------------------/ k+ X7 x0 b4 r
Saint John 141,200 142,900 -1.2% - -+ v/ k. P& Z; L0 q2 p2 ~
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 }- b6 S2 s7 v) |% N; ] St. John's 143,667 142,667 0.7% 200,667 202,333$ B& S& V7 T" h; o+ a
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
4 G8 f& ] ]" k K; D: b, @$ D9 x Atlantic 150,240 145,380 3.3% 175,833 173,583" I' E6 O4 {% x% ~
-------------------------------------------------------------------------# h4 V/ H9 v4 X( b0 @
Montreal 213,691 203,500 5.0% 321,141 316,1854 G+ e8 ^; [% Y
-------------------------------------------------------------------------/ L) w1 ]- y+ _; l7 l2 \$ C
Ottawa 290,083 278,417 4.2% 285,667 273,250
8 l* [6 x2 L. ` -------------------------------------------------------------------------0 {4 z* [9 b1 z
Toronto 373,368 355,882 4.9% 481,523 474,766
9 d7 g( K" w2 v |2 F -------------------------------------------------------------------------1 C. ?& r. h: p. l8 r
Winnipeg 181,579 159,860 13.6% 202,337 180,7070 F4 d0 ^; x& P. L
-------------------------------------------------------------------------0 c }& D" U i0 M9 W4 v
Saskatchewan 170,667 156,083 9.3% 182,600 166,500; W) y7 x1 K; W; t/ O
-------------------------------------------------------------------------# m/ {$ f: P) R! M- g+ K& L" N' q
Calgary 395,067 252,411 56.5% 405,778 264,3895 X& C2 j$ M# R$ X% z' A# ]2 Z
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
6 l0 R X# _" W2 _! N' i; p8 r( ~ Edmonton 286,857 194,857 47.2% 316,429 206,714
6 S, ^& f! Y' D. H2 v8 l9 F4 m -------------------------------------------------------------------------
+ s( U; O( [/ X; T' j( A X5 E Vancouver 704,250 601,000 17.2% 794,000 697,500
2 f0 O. F% Q0 R# [( g -------------------------------------------------------------------------& H- Z9 X7 `) {% C- D) f1 W( {" W& z
Victoria 375,000 348,000 7.8% 403,000 391,000
3 E- U) N! O Y; l% V -------------------------------------------------------------------------2 ?: ^: ]% R; K* w+ |- t3 V
National 300,365 258,202 16.3% 365,380 322,860
& O0 S% l' A; I -------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Q& I$ `7 b6 y
6 i. U/ j, ^7 Y; O; J: q3 a -------------------------------------------------------------3 h$ [( C# x" ^- h+ q2 V
Standard Condominium2 o" h8 q% }1 W
-------------------------------------------------------------6 P) ^: ?5 `2 l( e
2-Storey 2006 Q3 2005 Q3 Condo% {- {' t' I: Y) K
Market % Change Average Average % Change
# L% O* j$ S8 v* Y -------------------------------------------------------------
/ F0 I2 Q/ m) M: c Halifax -0.2% 142,000 103,000 37.9%' j9 O+ F% ?6 G3 M
-------------------------------------------------------------
4 s5 b) ?6 N3 v, t1 C Charlottetown 2.9% 98,000 98,000 0.0%3 b5 y* i6 @" w
-------------------------------------------------------------
, F+ g. H) z1 U4 `0 P4 k/ Y Moncton 4.9% - - N/A
. H% o7 r, m$ G6 U -------------------------------------------------------------
$ z2 Z1 j2 f/ I$ F# a Saint John N/A - - N/A$ w( p% r5 `- E5 w
-------------------------------------------------------------
" n2 Q) F- T2 M8 |4 k* K St. John's -0.8% 146,333 145,667 0.5%1 x2 |4 @7 Y! e) T/ ~0 W
-------------------------------------------------------------* c* v0 P$ m; H! R: {* j/ n
Atlantic 1.3% 128,778 115,556 11.4%
1 g- m4 e: s9 q+ D; i; ` -------------------------------------------------------------
; i% E5 K1 Y& o' [! R6 ]$ v Montreal 1.6% 193,190 188,016 2.8%! E3 a$ z; v6 h0 M: ]! p
-------------------------------------------------------------* g; l3 ]% s9 V% q; u G* v
Ottawa 4.5% 181,083 172,250 5.1%# b/ P, y8 V2 x: K9 L% j$ V
-------------------------------------------------------------/ v$ q) ~$ A( t* R2 |
Toronto 1.4% 252,088 242,918 3.8%, A+ c) q+ ]8 |( B# U
-------------------------------------------------------------, N* [3 ]1 h3 H
Winnipeg 12.0% 105,648 96,008 10.0%
& i+ |6 z6 y& u -------------------------------------------------------------# L, Q9 P1 d- [1 G/ k" B4 C( J$ u
Saskatchewan 9.7% 106,250 101,000 5.2%
) _' b6 l; q" }2 b8 G$ ] -------------------------------------------------------------
' Z. M% s# ^* G% K8 A- T Calgary 53.5% 245,844 153,867 59.8%
4 x9 k& R4 ^+ q6 G -------------------------------------------------------------2 x9 `4 m% ]8 p8 g: Q
Edmonton 53.1% 200,433 131,500 52.4%
2 o, N: X P% R! m: u% p; `7 Q -------------------------------------------------------------
; \* I; W n# x Vancouver 13.8% 366,250 323,250 13.3%- p5 m9 g& {2 p( k
-------------------------------------------------------------
# `* e) r% O0 T+ i Victoria 3.1% 229,000 220,000 4.1%
0 a. O7 H6 `) C -------------------------------------------------------------
8 t: m/ R+ A5 V; J8 n( q National 13.2% 211,562 185,296 14.2%
$ M i% a" ^% x/ Y -------------------------------------------------------------( j7 U5 O- E$ R, H+ O' o9 p- j
>>" w: k3 D w, u
) |$ W' C( l& n
Average house prices are based on an average of all sub-markets examined5 o$ _% l# W: D
in the area, except for the smaller markets of Charlottetown, Moncton, Saint
- L, |# j9 f) S5 E7 o( c) \John and Victoria.8 ^: ?* q* T6 m$ g- w/ N, S x" N
; F3 R1 b) \) ~1 s5 L. M7 t
The Royal LePage Survey of Canadian House Prices is the largest, most
n1 q7 I* o6 Dcomprehensive study of its kind in Canada, with information on seven types of7 k4 h9 Y1 k8 E* _/ d6 u; W! d
housing in over 250 neighbourhoods from coast to coast. This release
- d- R9 `+ f( A: {, ~+ H1 Rreferences an abbreviated version of the survey, which highlights house price9 p$ X$ d" ]* h' E4 M6 {( \
trends for the three most common types of housing in Canada in 80 communities
/ J' Y5 {2 I% l% f1 Y0 Jacross the country. A complete database of past and present surveys is
9 D1 B& l+ [% w: M9 G* ]available on the Royal LePage Web site at www.royallepage.ca, and current. W, T( k7 t0 H6 s h! O
figures will be updated following the end of the third quarter. A printable
; M0 w1 @. d- t8 [" _1 c1 Sversion of the third quarter 2006 survey will be available online on; X8 a; f) ~" x% |# r y
November 15, 2006.2 z3 ^# n$ Q: L1 J& m% ?
Housing values in the Royal LePage Survey are Royal LePage opinions of) k+ N- H( L; b2 r% ~5 s
fair market value in each location, based on local data and market knowledge. r9 L- O' o4 _" R- K4 b
provided by Royal LePage residential real estate experts. Historical data is
# s8 f" ^ `9 G+ l/ @2 n" r8 favailable for some areas back to the early 1970s. |
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发表于 2006-9-29 08:09
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