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Canada's housing market both vigorous and stable
5 a. u4 N; h# @7 ?0 B2 B4 R/ _9 Y( u$ _* i. o0 P- i
- Country's market poised to show growth throughout 2006 -
- \" L" c. g1 j
- b4 L, q# B' \( ?2 | TORONTO, Sept. 28 /CNW/ - For most of Canada, the housing market# V5 |7 T( w7 E+ v1 ]6 o0 \
exhibited moderate price increases and stable unit sales during the third& [5 S: K9 I( o7 g4 ?
quarter. Wide regional variances continued to be the dominant characteristic! e9 w9 b2 S8 _
in the market, exemplified by frenzied levels of activity and double digit5 o8 V- e, w. \0 O
price gains observed in the energy and commodity rich Western provinces, and
6 q9 `# G$ Y. L. vmore reasonable sales volumes and moderate price appreciation in Ontario,3 v w& y3 i* k- ?) T/ m
Quebec and Atlantic Canada, according to a report released today by Royal& M8 L2 ~& D# y/ h- m. [$ r
LePage Real Estate Services.5 r1 t4 v5 K) G4 v$ |* S) D) r
7 m w- k } ^, m( i+ A Nationally, market trends established through the first three quarters1 c% X) Y' r& [) X/ y* ]0 B+ s, D
are forecast to continue for the remainder of the year. Robust economic
. @' l; f% }; P! S/ X8 ]# [conditions, low unemployment rates, modestly growing salaries and wages, and9 v$ w. D$ M C* U( V+ q
sound consumer confidence contributed to the overall strength of the; J$ p. \" t4 a. T7 l& {6 a0 S/ y
residential real estate sector.
9 f: Z* o. L& v9 n( v1 t! e) o# r: l2 l4 p( E4 ^& \0 O" `
Of the housing types surveyed, the highest average price appreciation6 ?3 `4 ]. B* r6 p* J0 R% K+ y
occurred in detached bungalows, which rose to $300,365 (+16.3%)
. v) H+ R7 x; c9 A0 b- Ryear-over-year, followed by standard condominiums, which rose to $211,562
# b: Y: C" q% o* D$ E$ [ Q ~, k(+14.2%), and standard two-storey properties, which increased to $365,380
& e" t- l3 H0 ]6 A3 x, ]& b(+13.2%).
5 }( r+ Z. O( N1 n/ J
% r2 N. H y( F "Canada's sturdy housing market continued to demonstrate steady growth
3 p( ]# m" H, K" kduring the third quarter. For all but the west, we have moved on from the$ D7 y+ \2 {- x2 p$ p+ z
frenzied expansion that characterized the first half of this decade, and are
. i( Y( t. t& E, G* Opoised to show continued growth at a more moderate pace," said Phil Soper,
( j: C( l U/ @1 Npresident and chief executive officer, Royal LePage Real Estate Services.4 w. k/ u6 y- g# r8 O$ L% q" Y
"Gone is the sellers' market that we have lived with for some years. We
5 {. f* U1 }( G3 Uwelcome the more reliable conditions that are characteristic of a healthy) Z5 o; l% S3 R! r; n7 G N
balanced market."# f3 M! e. ~. B, _! c
! j& Z: D+ f% ^# R Despite the double-digit rise in average national house prices,
! r' ]# U9 g0 `+ n2 U; q7 |; a3 Tconsiderable regional variances were exhibited again this quarter. The shift! a; j4 [9 Y; H9 \3 g
to balanced market conditions, which began in late 2005, has continued, k, Y: @, g3 }& c/ l5 `
throughout most of the Central and Eastern regions of the country. In the core# h0 P/ B2 [+ D- O
energy producing western provinces, the combination of very high in-migration,
* p ^7 Q, J- t/ T4 }( nmanageable affordability, and a shortage of inventory has driven record- x1 R9 c) n$ C% w/ W' `
breaking price appreciations./ @6 H0 M, X5 X9 C3 D" X' D
* X0 @; p+ n( h2 o- V6 `7 S
Echoing the second quarter and supported by Alberta's rapidly expanding" I4 o# _4 u/ V! r/ k
economy, Calgary and Edmonton led the charge of Canadian cities with the2 U: o! V- l9 e6 @
largest house price appreciation in all housing types surveyed.$ L/ j( b! ]. A( R( {" i9 |: s7 e
; d2 h1 ]/ d- E) j) G& s In Ottawa and Toronto, growth remained steady, supported by solid
6 Q- C N3 j' U( y; U2 a, f9 ]economic fundamentals, an increase in available inventory and strong consumer
7 P$ h" u. l1 T: kconfidence. While the pace of price appreciation in Ontario leveled off
0 D5 S e1 @/ oslightly, the province's real estate market remains poised for modest growth.
& W: V' J0 y' V4 z3 R( mIn Atlantic Canada, new housing and condominium construction offered buyers
, K7 m. J, q, h: l! Xgreater selection at more competitive prices, resulting in a slower rate of0 G4 U# e& M" i' z: p6 z
price appreciation when compared with 2005.! r" e0 g3 ^, a* z
" ]& y( {3 I6 Z+ v; T' ]
While the pace of growth in Canada has slowed, the domestic housing5 [9 y- I9 n7 L f2 F/ Z$ M
market is expected to outperform the American market. The economic and
7 L6 F3 H! F. gfinancial fundamentals driving the residential real estate sector in Canada& n3 ~9 t0 Z) ]9 C7 M6 q& |
are markedly different than those found in the United States.
7 ?2 N5 O* P8 E
2 j2 i3 `0 s( o Added Soper: "Canada's housing market is likely to outperform the
# V/ _1 y9 ?* v) p" g W7 oAmerican market through 2007. A number of factors are working in Canada's) E" n9 A3 F! u- q6 O- V% j
favour, including healthy personal and governmental debt levels, the/ j6 X, r: k- `
relatively modest rise in interest rates in our country, and general# b& q. u4 t5 E: P& w9 A
affordability in our major cities. In addition, Americans are now seeing the0 s8 {* t! w) }" O
downside of a tax system that encourages maximum homeowner leverage, and! @6 P2 _& y9 H
aggressive financial products such as zero- and negative-amortization* k) }+ c' {5 B+ G! i
mortgages that work only in a high price growth environment."
8 L8 l6 C- b$ V) i, D$ J
( W/ `8 A+ r6 }+ N q- B <<
1 w# W. }8 s% O, j9 m REGIONAL SUMMARIES
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2 q( V' ?/ C# k$ \ Balanced conditions continued to characterize the housing market in( K. |. d* r- V+ D# ~3 c6 i' L
Halifax, as significantly higher inventory levels helped to moderate the rate
9 K# G' C6 e6 a9 z) ]. z! Uof price appreciation. Buyers were increasingly choosy, taking more time
- {+ L# K8 C: m( s$ Plooking for newer, low-maintenance properties that were not in need of. E! O2 c; w' h$ r3 v# K9 G1 o
renovations.4 l* D9 T @" _
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The housing market in Moncton remained healthy and strong as a slight& \9 y3 j$ e1 T: C. |
increase in inventory helped to moderate the rate of price appreciation
* L% k1 b/ Q+ ?- \compared to the same period in 2005. Activity was brisk throughout August and
) J% b3 P, W3 | Q% ~6 ~1 o; _September and is expected to remain this way through the fourth quarter.
6 n* \4 ^! f+ y" p; N
9 U. J0 R% n& M0 o1 P, U/ Z% h/ H The housing market in Saint John underwent its traditional summer, t+ K" V9 s5 t4 h' { Z
slowdown in the third quarter, with activity picking up towards the end of the
4 \" f" v# ]; Z8 V7 n5 Kquarter. The local economy continued to thrive, as construction on a new
: `8 ^; J T3 ?8 M) x, _600,000 square-foot shopping area has begun, bringing several new box stores
! s! f5 U" [: {, i$ g+ A; [to the area. Buyers have begun seeking less expensive fixtures for their homes
2 P- j3 F) V8 F3 Cand are instead opting for more affordable housing options.
* w; R2 S, X- y3 n& \* |5 a4 b* H. R9 l& E' W9 m4 i
In Charlottetown, the housing market started to move towards balanced
3 H; F6 ]9 e& |conditions, as some sellers had to begin to lower the asking prices on their
, Y* i: k! z: T% {0 zhomes to make them more competitive. Activity from out-of-town and US buyers
o$ Y/ F4 ~5 m, @was down slightly compared to 2005, likely attributable to the strong Canadian( C' X- e% s7 |6 \
dollar. Inventory levels began to creep up in the third quarter, providing
4 ?! e* W# X0 |2 F' c, Gbuyers with more options when looking for a home.1 i4 Y3 k8 U* e& T+ d# G& C U
: c8 R0 a' i- J; [# C3 @- J0 g Activity in St. John's slowed slightly in the third quarter, particularly
5 V3 m, i) w; }: {" e S0 T- ~among higher-priced properties, where there was a slight over-supply of homes+ s% _. {! c: q
priced over $200,000. Listing periods have increased when compared with 2005,6 B) V8 A8 B) u- {
as some of the pent-up demand that had characterized the market over the last7 P3 n7 G: c8 n9 F$ Y$ m* { ^
few years has been satisfied, resulting in more normal, balanced conditions." d* ?: o5 I/ p& q( {
" `1 m3 L: w& W. {5 d Montreal's housing market recorded modest increases in average house, k( g x; H' b( _: A7 z K! H* P
prices, due to a slight seasonal slowdown in the third quarter as inventory9 E) }% w/ }& m* d1 R, l5 ]
levels rose. Part of this can be attributed to the fact that many renting
_0 X F4 Z; p4 R ]# dfirst-time buyers were motivated to close on the purchase of a home by July 1,: Z: P, W/ X& G( g1 _, V; R: {/ @
when rental leases expire in Quebec. Once this date has passed some of the, S1 H; V/ d/ ~+ ~. V$ y
pressure is taken off the market, allowing buyers to visit more homes before
7 a. \" j+ T' ?* h% Rmaking a purchase.
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& o# t s- h4 J/ l$ V Ottawa held its position as one of the country's most stable housing
( o8 F: |' K: K# Hmarkets in the third quarter, reinforced by a vibrant local economy and strong. J( i' f4 T M" m4 c D' L+ H( L
confidence, resulting in modest increases in average house prices. The city
1 y! p m/ c* i6 w* Y' s# Ycentre remained a bright spot in Ottawa, with homes in this area attracting) @: n: c; a8 ?, W. ?( H
attention due to their convenient location and proximity to downtown/ Q3 h$ D, Q' p. e9 A C6 s8 R
amenities.
) Z3 E& R' t8 R
1 @% n4 m+ z5 _7 Z* g7 b3 @# w The housing market in Toronto sustained healthy activity levels
( J/ |8 h% M' ^1 qthroughout the third quarter, as a strong economy helped to maintain demand
4 W! w/ `' v) I1 s, O: V% m$ K+ Qacross the city, causing average house prices to rise moderately. Toronto has7 E, e, o4 I. h9 c. Z$ o+ g
continued to experience modest growth in average house prices, and has been
( V! m" n F L, h3 o4 x7 hdriven primarily by purchasers who are buying homes as their principle- a" P* ~7 I5 A
residence, rather than for investment.$ @/ f6 m1 i& y; S$ V; S/ t$ p9 Q
2 J% l, q3 G4 _6 O, r The vibrant Winnipeg housing market continued to show its strength as
. }: G& l/ b9 R7 K4 _house prices rose during the third quarter. The booming local economy resulted
5 L; o3 e9 m8 w0 C) ain a historically low unemployment rate, helping to bolster consumer# K( d2 [- l" U3 ^
confidence and Winnipeg's ranking as the city with the lowest capitalization6 U- F3 L* i* o X" a+ G
rate among the country's larger cities - helped to encourage buyers to enter
2 G" i9 t0 [' Z! k1 pthe market.$ _9 b i9 y( U' ~9 W
( m8 t- ?; D; j' r5 d6 ? In Regina, the market experienced a slight seasonal slowdown through9 K' D4 `. N1 p
July, as there were fewer purchasers in the market due to summer vacations. In
8 d! u' r4 q9 t5 bAugust, activity resumed to the busy pace previously seen in the spring( o7 N7 n& ]' `
months, as the influx of purchasers made it more difficult to find a home due( ^/ ^- D! |) S8 W5 V- ]% s6 J
to the shortage of available inventory.
X: X9 V$ P- N, U- m' g
& S3 j) Q: k) O Activity in Saskatoon remained brisk as the market maintained its! _" }$ e" j9 y
momentum from the busy spring sales period. The economy in Saskatoon remains
: c! W4 ~' {! m) Wvibrant, as employment opportunities are abundant with many businesses- |7 Q5 l* S1 U+ J
struggling to make hires and having to recruit outside the province., j( T. b$ o7 ~2 W/ L. A( h. L* O
" s3 F6 u/ T } l% B, B Calgary's housing market recorded blazing average house price increases
6 K8 C: W5 n- a; w win the third quarter, in all surveyed categories. The burgeoning economy, low
/ Q- x' {4 k+ D- o: e+ ?) u5 Munemployment rates and low inventory levels remained the leading factors that
8 }5 n& ~" @$ H* k* {pressured Calgary's house prices upwards. However, regardless of the soaring
* v" H; p/ U& D. Vprices that characterized the market - even during the typically slower summer
4 W* J+ N& Y9 r- N! U2 I9 W, B& Z! Dseason - it is expected that activity will become slightly more balanced, as% i$ ]9 S5 B8 q6 W
buyers are becoming more reluctant to participate in the frenetic activity.
0 j% r Y( R! S. N9 U
: y3 P7 O$ [, u$ v; ^; r Edmonton's booming local economy continued to thrive in the third quarter: |. E% v' j0 V: |4 [' @( o
as activity in the oil sands north of the city continued to flourish. Edmonton2 S- e ~3 T- J6 o) E7 C, l3 q( I
remained the hub of activity for those coming to work in the oil industry,
7 m; p/ |* n) K# I8 s7 b( H* p$ pmaintaining tight inventory levels across the city, resulting in prices/ V+ x* V5 s9 E- o* r9 v: t
increasing at record levels. However, as inventory levels continued to improve
& c0 ], U- y: B$ r. ain the third quarter the rate of price appreciation should moderate slightly6 ]1 M( w) B- a' L+ t- X
towards the end of 2006. 8 F5 c) {$ w _+ S! c1 _, D9 P
" J. N/ ]3 f% j; c$ \While Vancouver has seen a slight reprieve from the severe shortage of8 x$ f1 ]$ Y4 m. M
inventory that had previously characterized the market, supply is still unable
% g' a9 Z* L9 r& {! }) }5 l5 X0 hto meet demand, driving house prices upwards. Vancouver has a very diverse
( s5 @3 i1 b6 u d7 S5 |' z! xgroup of active buyers - from first-time home buyers to baby-boomers to
) x: l* b+ C8 D; m3 b9 g# R) hforeign investors - all of whom fuel the demand for houses, placing added
+ X1 R% I% x% v9 I( I, A0 Ipressure on tight inventory levels.
, m% ~5 t4 S: e, a5 b) U, P6 O m+ [( |2 r8 H: `, @
Victoria's market is vibrant and supported by strong economic" E, x5 ^5 S7 Z/ I" P H- k
fundamentals, fuelled by a booming tech sector and a migration of young people- ?; x: y9 @4 E: a2 L3 U) b
into the city that has continued to support the area's house price increases;1 J3 O+ C8 Q! l+ |' n
while increased inventory levels have afforded buyers more time when searching
( ~2 T2 p3 A$ U) i/ Gfor a home, helping to normalize the market's pace.
+ I6 {- C4 |- x: Y* r K3 ~% b
<<
& {0 R9 B1 G/ y8 V& R# ]% d3 P8 X' h Survey of Canadian Average House Prices in the Third Quarter 2006
% G3 ]5 x+ K4 ]2 A, r) u) u2 z" i
-------------------------------------------------------------------------+ j# ^ ^6 C4 |) s7 ? n) I
Detached Bungalows Standard Two Storey
1 C: A$ C+ o T9 p- V -------------------------------------------------------------------------, P0 G+ w7 k1 G0 U
2006 Q3 2005 Q3 Bungalow 2006 Q3 2005 Q3. z0 w, `1 ~1 c7 h f3 \5 ]% z' \
Market Average Average % Change Average Average
7 K* z% h6 t& f) T -------------------------------------------------------------------------
/ s6 i" Y) [" I# X: B' h" E Halifax 186,333 173,333 7.5% 198,667 199,000
! Q0 E( e+ s1 q; Z" A -------------------------------------------------------------------------% P O1 e; ?, q" W( u
Charlottetown 145,000 141,000 2.8% 175,000 170,0004 J6 G3 A1 u& I- z+ m/ p3 s
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
) K" F( Z! l4 Q Moncton 135,000 127,000 6.3% 129,000 123,000
/ V y) x; E/ @/ ]- a: V -------------------------------------------------------------------------
: A h) a* k3 e# b8 H7 g Saint John 141,200 142,900 -1.2% - -
8 {# q7 e* c; U% _ -------------------------------------------------------------------------
$ n( [) _1 W$ D7 I) [* b St. John's 143,667 142,667 0.7% 200,667 202,333
. {4 x/ F9 w! x; q/ `; t4 B } -------------------------------------------------------------------------" S5 k9 T. u8 Y5 |
Atlantic 150,240 145,380 3.3% 175,833 173,583$ J; K, ?. G- y
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
8 ]6 q% \: q8 |6 S Montreal 213,691 203,500 5.0% 321,141 316,185" [ q! D6 b1 W: |& b
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
, g9 |. m" I7 A" ^, p9 U( R* F Ottawa 290,083 278,417 4.2% 285,667 273,250
) w3 C' o# h) b9 r -------------------------------------------------------------------------! N6 Z X! n- b6 y5 r
Toronto 373,368 355,882 4.9% 481,523 474,7668 E; e$ O% B6 i
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
( h! L4 E1 g k+ [2 Q5 {4 x Winnipeg 181,579 159,860 13.6% 202,337 180,707
% u% O/ \5 k" G+ K -------------------------------------------------------------------------" M4 t7 }4 L0 B) B% I, {
Saskatchewan 170,667 156,083 9.3% 182,600 166,500# t7 X8 s! b; @6 H
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
, ?. o3 ~8 s4 c& q, x s Calgary 395,067 252,411 56.5% 405,778 264,389
5 G) S8 J$ ^1 s9 g0 |1 X -------------------------------------------------------------------------2 z7 `5 w$ h3 ^
Edmonton 286,857 194,857 47.2% 316,429 206,714( u8 s6 y: q+ J$ R# s3 F. M
-------------------------------------------------------------------------4 i6 [! Q! H% c& ~* Z2 K0 e
Vancouver 704,250 601,000 17.2% 794,000 697,500
. x1 c1 |' t& O* O% N; q5 [ -------------------------------------------------------------------------! T8 s2 w8 O) {9 {$ S0 x
Victoria 375,000 348,000 7.8% 403,000 391,000
, D. Z0 v0 d0 ^$ ^$ H -------------------------------------------------------------------------+ H ?+ M# e) w$ ~5 i8 W! \
National 300,365 258,202 16.3% 365,380 322,860
$ T; s$ U& x: ]5 w- y, P# E% k -------------------------------------------------------------------------
( N! R0 j. y3 M" c
9 ?. @' G6 ~/ ?3 n8 O -------------------------------------------------------------
0 Y4 Z( y7 C# J9 S8 V3 x: Z0 i$ o. h( Y Standard Condominium
' N& q3 [: e. \, {5 e0 K: L) m/ b3 H -------------------------------------------------------------: g( D; D1 @* {9 s! `5 s
2-Storey 2006 Q3 2005 Q3 Condo
~8 C. p: x! i+ e Market % Change Average Average % Change
2 ~6 V' O' ?; ^0 j8 K1 [/ X& D0 ? -------------------------------------------------------------
3 F/ O. l! c8 A: ] Halifax -0.2% 142,000 103,000 37.9%
7 F$ s8 T0 n! J2 b: ] -------------------------------------------------------------
- P, A8 ?, j- W" v# Y3 m7 e$ y7 j Charlottetown 2.9% 98,000 98,000 0.0%
% t8 A$ B( v0 s Z& J -------------------------------------------------------------
+ I5 }+ k8 U% L+ q- J7 P+ T Moncton 4.9% - - N/A) Q. i8 H1 c& | }( D
------------------------------------------------------------- h* X. K! G5 _% x: t9 S$ y9 r
Saint John N/A - - N/A4 u# O; M6 ?: e9 O# E+ w, e6 S. V
-------------------------------------------------------------% s$ M5 W+ D( @
St. John's -0.8% 146,333 145,667 0.5%
+ P" H; m, Y& Z9 S6 K/ g: A) O -------------------------------------------------------------) L5 _& o5 }8 Q( }# @( t1 ]0 {; T) V
Atlantic 1.3% 128,778 115,556 11.4%/ V) h( v- e& f
-------------------------------------------------------------; I$ G- D2 @ n! w7 O
Montreal 1.6% 193,190 188,016 2.8%4 s$ k0 Z3 w% p
-------------------------------------------------------------0 z$ \8 V- h9 |. e
Ottawa 4.5% 181,083 172,250 5.1%2 Z+ E6 W+ f- } v1 f6 W0 J! }1 f
-------------------------------------------------------------
1 K7 N- @1 q) b9 n% B Toronto 1.4% 252,088 242,918 3.8%
i$ } {; J; y% j$ f1 P -------------------------------------------------------------
, y, ?$ q T+ D0 _ ~ Winnipeg 12.0% 105,648 96,008 10.0%$ J5 B- D {6 ?) x$ O6 T
-------------------------------------------------------------
( v7 f$ }& O* F$ L/ r- ] Saskatchewan 9.7% 106,250 101,000 5.2%* Z- l5 H W( m# \: q8 W' T
-------------------------------------------------------------' |+ G5 k4 q3 b. W
Calgary 53.5% 245,844 153,867 59.8%; l# R% z& r0 j9 h3 h/ y
-------------------------------------------------------------
2 d. v4 }: L8 k* V Edmonton 53.1% 200,433 131,500 52.4%: L. I: T" r2 |7 M6 u! O" l2 p
-------------------------------------------------------------
8 ~" p ~; l+ d9 i( o Vancouver 13.8% 366,250 323,250 13.3%7 Y1 \, T4 }) I% Z6 v
-------------------------------------------------------------
5 a- v5 M5 l$ y# r" u7 ] L, R Victoria 3.1% 229,000 220,000 4.1% f1 r& m# G/ U3 X( ~
-------------------------------------------------------------. Q+ l, b6 i6 s0 e8 R% v
National 13.2% 211,562 185,296 14.2%
% @+ }5 S: x3 m8 ~/ v( N" e0 z -------------------------------------------------------------: F1 U+ L2 f2 S* c7 D
>>
9 |) M Q! x2 W5 l. b+ t( U6 k0 ^0 P& p5 m' R a$ J
Average house prices are based on an average of all sub-markets examined
" c- N8 M) t" L& Y2 n2 Xin the area, except for the smaller markets of Charlottetown, Moncton, Saint4 m$ x8 x6 J- J
John and Victoria.
+ b' |& h# |+ w* i
1 M, D* A* O/ l7 V The Royal LePage Survey of Canadian House Prices is the largest, most4 x6 ^$ T& ?- k
comprehensive study of its kind in Canada, with information on seven types of
2 j0 R* C& U5 I% _- r5 i @7 k7 h9 khousing in over 250 neighbourhoods from coast to coast. This release
8 n9 {7 y5 s e5 w/ S( t) k8 q8 ~references an abbreviated version of the survey, which highlights house price2 K0 T1 @+ e: t! h+ i
trends for the three most common types of housing in Canada in 80 communities4 v4 m4 h* N# A( I2 c. _( U. m3 _
across the country. A complete database of past and present surveys is8 z' f& A5 p9 ]' D+ p. Q7 V# b
available on the Royal LePage Web site at www.royallepage.ca, and current
( Q- @8 o% i; }5 ?; R& Nfigures will be updated following the end of the third quarter. A printable( [: e: q! F/ j6 K
version of the third quarter 2006 survey will be available online on8 I2 _+ O$ e9 N1 k+ o/ A, y( S
November 15, 2006.) J8 f) W% `4 _& C' s
Housing values in the Royal LePage Survey are Royal LePage opinions of
) V) X- i. S4 g. s2 B8 D2 ~0 Lfair market value in each location, based on local data and market knowledge0 ^. y: W/ M9 g6 x2 M
provided by Royal LePage residential real estate experts. Historical data is
& m+ p% Q) ? O& yavailable for some areas back to the early 1970s. |
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发表于 2006-9-29 08:09
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