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2007年房价上涨15%

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发表于 2007-1-11 19:22 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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Thu, January 11, 20079 L) {2 L+ j* N/ G

) m- G8 s& H" W- rPrice is still rightEdmonton Real Estate Board president expects a 15% climb in 2007
6 t& R  O4 [' W' N3 C; n. J2 MBy NEIL WAUGH, EDMONTON SUN
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0 F8 b8 Q3 C2 }8 _- M' kThey're changing the guard down at the Edmonton real estate palace.
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7 z9 ~* A3 i" O- q/ F/ C1 \* kMadeline Sarafinchan is out. Carolyn Pratt is taking over the Edmonton Real Estate Board president's gavel - the kind of blunt instrument that some realtors, I suspect, would like to use on ComFree Edmonton upstart Travis Holowach. More on that later.
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But first, the EREB president's bold predictions and fearless forecasts.
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Don't expect a repeat of last year's housing boom where condo and single family dwelling prices spiked an incredible 52%. Pratt is now calling for a more modest increase of 15%.
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'CONTINUED DEMAND'
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"We feel the increase will come because there will be continued demand, consumer confidence, a very robust economy and low interest rates," Pratt whooped at the EREB's New Year's kick-off conference at the Westin. "All the factors are there for another terrific year." 8 q: F9 i& ~& l* f# v
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She predicted that the total number of residential sales isn't expected to increase in 2007 - despite thousands of pot-of-gold seekers still flocking to the capital region from across the country as Ontario continues to sputter. " g# ~' r; z) k, X
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"There just won't be enough houses to sell," she sighed.   a) b/ i6 p* h; }7 @
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Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation senior analyst Richard Goatcher was also talking a good-news-bad-news scenario at the board meeting. ' ]# a( l$ c: C# ^# O: V# }1 V
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"The big issue is, are we going to see continued in-migration into the city with the volumes we had last year?" Goatcher said. His expectation is "somewhat less." . n/ `2 V% t' j& c* P: i

3 N2 y4 T, {; k. N5 a1 @% P; vStill, total new-house starts will be "fairly similar" to last year's pace. 2006 turned out to be a record year. So was 2005. But Goatcher is predicting a 5% decrease in house starts. " x3 Q2 [/ o5 ~' H

& E, n9 S5 S+ ]3 ?# k"A lot of it is due to capacity issues," he said. Developers are running out of serviced lots in some areas. Some homebuilders "got a little overstretched" during last year's house-building frenzy. 9 I1 V8 b, v3 A$ y) V" _2 D: r) }

0 u/ E9 ?8 ], ]4 v' M, q9 J9 s3 B"There are too many shortages in the system," he shrugged. 5 j# S' I& G  C

' I  A+ ~; ]% H4 Z: h"But it's still going to be very, very strong," he quickly added, with the average new-home selling price ramping up by 20%.   U% E0 P0 g* ~9 {  Z& r8 a( n. S
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NO PRICE BOOM REPEAT
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He also doesn't see a repeat of the 2006 price boom in the resale market, which he described as "unsustainable." 4 M2 ~) @$ i9 p  r0 [9 b# [

( X' U7 e$ f4 G; A" RExpect a more gentle 10% increase - mainly because many potential buyers are now being priced out of the market - even with zero down payment and 40-year mortgages. 8 L9 o$ n9 t- G- }: A
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Over at ComFree Edmonton, president Travis Holowach was also celebrating what he described as a "steaming red hot" real estate market, and another "record-setting" year for his commission-free real estate service. # ~! y6 P5 V/ [. I" z

5 o& J- [  k; U3 E6 U, A/ T' M, DHis 2006 wind-up report shows 4,375 total sales and 5,721 new listings, up 74% from 2005 - clearly sucking up a lot of the inventory that would otherwise have gone to an EREB realtor.
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"Our growing presence in the marketplace is having a strong impact on the competition," Holowach winked.
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5 J7 p- G) b1 E0 t( e7 pSo strong that the Alberta Real Estate Association launched a complaint with Alberta Government Services claiming ComFree was bending the truth about its market share.
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8 a. o; f8 {) ^$ N# cYesterday ComFree was still claiming 30% share of the residential market. And "commissions saved" of $82 million from his sell-it-yourself operation. Which, of course, is what the battle is really all about.
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"We do 95% of the sales in the real estate market," Pratt countered.
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, ~6 b8 Z2 _  f; G7 J1 [; t' V  {4 MLet the good times roll.
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Previous story: Bottom Line
3 x9 o& d* p# L! a2 BNext story: Building permits hit record
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发表于 2007-1-11 20:36 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-12 20:00 | 显示全部楼层
理袁律师事务所
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:29 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
房价涨, 那么地税也一定会涨吗?
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:44 | 显示全部楼层

Everyone should buy another house as you can have 15% return in a year.

It sounds a very good investment.
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发表于 2007-1-14 22:48 | 显示全部楼层
Where is 醉酒 ?
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