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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
% Q' F: S. B8 M, p: J% e# ]Published: Tuesday, April 03, 2007& L' ?7 X; r+ G, W
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EDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.7 D5 I0 R2 N- h
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Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy. [7 s$ v7 H. H+ o: ~
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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+ W- Q5 W. M" _- c8 jNo, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.7 q v( x& J, y: r" y+ q
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."; |1 [+ c4 t9 A! I4 b
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When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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* w+ J1 B" g2 J; XA question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.0 L8 S9 M+ w6 C2 O# t+ L8 K
9 ?' m! @* L/ ]- n: Q: W6 PThe sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
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8 L: A5 b/ K4 C7 u/ ^0 X7 d$ LThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.
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A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."& R/ m" S* s0 S7 y
, ]( C; A g) A E/ V7 L8 l7 | E6 sThe business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates./ V7 q/ Y% j$ `0 w& ]1 N
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"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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