Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
: y4 E1 x8 M- ^( J2 ^( vMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
3 O" O( _) w' }: n# U6 r, y" j( S
" f4 h. e. b5 h7 C$ p0 fDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

" e5 C, v+ X7 |$ ~3 b# ]6 H8 b  P6 X8 cOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

8 m9 I$ b, b, N+ S4 G: ]1 t+ \  ]Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

4 V5 X! ?! Z# i  N  }3 }7 AAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

' K! I* y+ v% f' y# PJul 2007
6 M8 G  \0 i' G% T6 N. f NA
2328
717
* z/ v( I* W2 t: C% C; V 442,752
) D' R9 C7 C: W8 u 410,000
) {) P& Z6 P, G* W 320
28
31%

Jun 2007
# `# ]$ K. ^% P! t# R0 e NA
2661
1011
442,817
409,000
- V" @7 d/ F' Y4 u 328
6 Z& o. }6 q( \: F1 X- g! v' M. S 22
+ X& [" t+ D* T% G: e 38%

/ A) s; ~# ^. L- jMay 2007
0 P- \; U. Y* y; W5 F' `3 t NA
/ x6 H7 w  V7 N: I! k+ C 2288
1261
6 u* `- ?  ]- E! c2 i8 z: D 451,216
415,000
322
5 w" w7 n  x3 Z; y5 e8 t0 x 19
% }/ I' {. w1 h2 h1 S. P 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
# B; F& L7 {) `; E2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
; Z/ @+ s# p$ V6 p2 S# n: a+ p3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
' I1 v# U$ j# K鉴定完毕！

- [0 R) j# s' j
% c2 p6 q6 W) b/ j6 G! F呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
0 S: S% O) N+ {0 B2 YDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

$ k$ r4 H9 d- U+ u. O

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
' I1 J/ |! G5 `3 HIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
( B( @' Q2 @1 |! r) VHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
# z0 s# h4 Y5 i4 [That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
/ v$ R* P- N0 V9 k5 m7 ]# p( TIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
) O9 p6 U4 @4 A8 p; ^0 LIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
# B) `* }/ M2 b- C- N  |; PHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

4 ]7 i0 h/ E$ i% k2 }
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
; V! \4 N. G! l5 u" \! @Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
3 \/ V( J# e6 q: V% {* v& `

8 k* Z- l3 N% l: J) T$ Q, VI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

  ?- @( \: R5 l0 c

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
- j5 q, s2 t" R$ x1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
  O4 k' K1 O4 U  S! R4 x2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

; M: p8 h2 A+ L
下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

9 F2 g: |" W+ Z. s3 `
( |/ h2 y3 D( D; T% d7 m
+ y0 c2 X) J& k" _* ^9 l  \只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
+ }6 v2 j) I7 u% Z% U% b  K6 k看来，观察days inventory 更重要。