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Oilsands an emerging global growth star+ E5 b: x5 l9 ~6 q* K _& P; u
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
* f9 F7 W) ~# u% t- Q* FGordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal1 F* ^4 w" |7 Y u+ l7 i/ r
Published: 2:37 am
4 j0 n. G# f$ ?EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.# @$ o9 J4 a# ~# z" `2 K
/ p0 p- k3 j5 E! [% DOilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.$ Q" ~% X: k* C$ a
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5 z* l1 j5 D0 {; Y, U6 sGasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday." g+ \' E; H9 Q" l4 x/ h5 q
Larry Wong, The Journal ^2 G. f5 y, n2 x& `: d
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.% B t/ G) m2 U$ {& Q- }
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ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.& O( A) g/ X* y* S1 r
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While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
