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Oilsands an emerging global growth star# M2 J: x' p3 }1 S, c. @
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030* x/ i% \! S( v6 f
Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
7 ?2 J7 x! B& p! M& b& P- hPublished: 2:37 am
' l& | x" R; p! s! A }/ YEDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.# m5 j U2 k- w) q# A" I; K
2 e1 X) _% c1 x J/ ]Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.9 D: F5 ^. o: w. l5 E8 D! E
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.
9 q: u& P* c( }. v& X3 iLarry Wong, The Journal
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
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: b" C8 a9 }7 l- G1 ~) U- p$ QExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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: T4 G% a" P; J: Z* cOutput from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.
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While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.; i* v, f7 _# [) c; O" H
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
