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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 0 Z: ~% }5 o( o: \+ \$ o: w/ A
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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# z9 z- d6 d6 }The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. ( E# g* u; i! `& `3 O
& B* u! L6 c7 Q7 `/ t bNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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, S) E7 U3 i2 y& OHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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+ Z# ^7 {* O9 N0 i' C- _' w8 ?1 xIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. $ X3 t4 r; O- d3 ?) i
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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9 M: Z( N, r3 w) j* |! IThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.6 [. v: q" L3 B6 E, T8 ^3 p, K
) ]* |4 ^. ^: \" V; hCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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