 鲜花( 7)  鸡蛋( 0)
|
House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 7 i. R3 B8 {% K7 J
# U6 W e& G$ a7 ], W0 r- K
The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. " t3 u/ s% J# X: \( v, _
4 r" M) M/ a% C
The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
+ J2 z4 M( y6 T5 _3 d0 P: M& }0 d8 k
Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.0 q; W" u+ F/ X& ?
6 O( i" i: o% a3 J+ G9 m
It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
. t0 s0 M: V4 A$ @5 a0 o
4 W/ S- `" N3 J. }"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. - {* m' v$ W: i- P7 U: B. l- z
6 F( `0 {% S+ Q6 N+ THowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." ' m1 C; {- Y/ ^* E* z
) ]3 i0 L- Z) L" a) ^1 c
It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
3 e- n" E0 T( ]$ V7 j* h1 U5 z) F( s' W6 I9 ~6 o" G; f! O
The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. ) \1 s t3 F% _5 U! g! i/ v
$ c0 H. ]% d; Y
The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.! P; |7 L5 S+ w: o8 b# [
4 F& k7 d$ C- Q: `" b$ v# T
CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
|