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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 8 w: X5 Y6 Y) U9 ~) {
' x( ?* d. K6 U! c! VThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. . F1 s4 m( l' B% }( ?2 _# q
3 k5 @+ W; y3 w! ]- xThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. & y4 Z( b) ~! |: U6 a* ^
+ f8 Q2 x5 n! NNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.# W- C4 h. { Z: v9 ? M
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.3 P2 n2 q7 `7 t0 V
2 ^, i2 ?1 M7 P' F: v6 a1 d"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. + D! U2 v% V% d+ z _+ l
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 0 z2 h: E+ x9 O* c9 e% q
: g* Z& z: _1 |9 V# {" S$ m8 v# mThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. $ |: a9 Z1 {5 N( x( o* W' Z9 U. N! I$ Z
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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. M( j( o2 O* A- YCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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