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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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- u7 R' k; E4 l, fOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
. Y* a2 Z$ h5 C# J3 `( \3 Arate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
+ R/ ^, Z. ], P7 L* w1 Traised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 E- F9 k' F" s Toperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.% ]7 q: L0 r9 j
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with" e k$ s0 [, @) {6 u/ d" G
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the* W. c- b( m5 J( Z5 Z
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness3 @* w: k; h) N! s! g* X9 ~
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% P5 V: k4 E+ aIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
6 N" f ]1 q6 A! {6 _stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
8 P# v3 `# S: ` ?, Q, T, jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result" x5 Z9 {+ Y9 M/ Y( X+ {& c
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an) b( ?" |+ u. K, w! l9 q
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the& |+ r! F0 _ c0 P% N
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# C3 D9 Z; ?0 D& I# s* i- S3 x# K) ?" P
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.# {* g6 s% r( Q- K9 O' P5 p. s
5 D& h9 `8 I) G* [Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent. U" h9 _, u+ T/ L7 v# V
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.& D: j/ x6 f e3 k# r
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with9 O4 I5 u I5 t5 d+ x& ]
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" e3 j. O2 ~ P$ G) @' B8 R, ?balanced recovery.5 \/ z& X7 n! Y4 z
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 G5 o3 Y" n q% j, ]' v+ A" Rthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
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9 u ^& V0 U/ r% zIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
0 _1 B3 m( ~8 t6 x; f8 M- v3 V+ L Lto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ! r: S2 y f2 m5 O9 v: d! Q! |
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 6 x* @) I4 L$ P+ I# T
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 A4 [2 e# Q' D/ _+ nstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic0 H+ t1 r) Y. J8 `! D
developments.
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Information note:
" ~: n5 h- y) j* T/ N7 F" NThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; ^+ Q2 M8 x% t9 W
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 R! N0 W! e/ L( B+ L
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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