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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market- i; Y$ s( D" j0 }" b& P: G
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
' c0 i. |+ H( f2 r, xrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly& X1 Q- V. c; _9 K
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
6 t2 M- X& y6 ]4 E2 \operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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% e5 q3 ^' ^: C" A! h0 mThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
$ M$ Q$ _2 Z3 L' ?, q2 K5 astrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
) [2 h0 G4 T; KUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness$ K6 a9 k3 n: y8 H# Y
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
8 }& U" `0 S9 o/ rIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
5 c. Y A; P1 Y! P' {stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
i) L8 d, o$ x# ]. h5 D! Svariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result# u) T/ v9 v2 m9 [% J+ \" g
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
1 D; t7 T+ e, K, |important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
5 u$ F" Q1 ^4 Bspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity, @. N) O" I c- n
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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* [2 E/ h! _* Y4 t+ N( Q- `Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
) Q) i2 e8 \) x6 n+ B2 n$ xin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
( A- J8 w+ Y3 YGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
" @$ g; e6 w4 _; `income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 C' d9 v% ~% l# m3 n: M* Vbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; d( t0 o7 v# @! ^% h- B- s2 wthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess, L. N e6 ]& m, C
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ @7 J9 g, ]* y+ y. x/ H; Jto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 6 |1 n# G! k& P1 u' k9 L
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
, n$ t0 P% Y, Z1 K; C' d; R$ c! csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.! o; R9 I$ j2 U1 o7 g
% _+ b( \/ e `1 X) U) k- dGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
9 A% b% u' T) e; v( E$ {; ]3 Bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic5 y& U6 U2 p& W
developments.
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Information note:9 v) }7 g! y, F: b
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; b& I$ U/ t# ~) O q& R" |
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be! l! w% C5 ?. x) b" ]1 h4 R
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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