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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ A) @1 F$ w7 i/ w j' _$ j0 z: xrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly8 V' o9 b* j* L( J
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 t; g/ Z' y+ N) q+ x( N: Boperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.3 E, A: ^( L( w5 U2 ], T B
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ b$ O* d: ?0 F$ x( |+ A) K' ^
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
; Y0 a$ r$ \3 D6 CUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness) j$ a0 E; @3 i l
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
4 c5 J5 d, e' I8 {In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal; f% N, w3 F6 ~1 | S, i' a
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
/ K n8 ]5 i5 w' Q9 ]& Vvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
, B2 J; X( G6 A# R5 ]9 {3 u% K( Jin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an3 X( `1 T/ [8 u. x A
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
! r0 }# K2 A5 B( D% zspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
4 ]2 Y( B5 b6 G6 e7 w5 uprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent1 [' c+ _0 v+ R# o/ ^# X* ~
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed. C5 `5 `/ G7 h3 F( `+ }1 Z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with6 U3 x- G4 Y0 H( x
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more; Y# z n) G5 w4 J# [6 i v7 j
balanced recovery.; c3 f, ]; O# O, U1 N
5 T9 M/ N) c! g8 N" }4 u- ?& x+ [; xCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects% @: v7 j: n3 m$ O* f6 I- O1 l
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess! t% b: E5 ~0 k) c1 p0 K1 h
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and i0 G* h* @$ W; a' K7 T1 K
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 0 J& u" A7 t* Y1 d. i1 _
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 5 ~, O- `% J/ z! }( w$ h
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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% ^; V" O1 I0 d0 ~* y |Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* q# _3 c+ S3 t" `; r1 H' D; Zstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
3 f- \5 c" d0 C/ ~developments.. y" ?7 a9 t& ?4 ?: a
- E7 f- o: S0 c" ^' vInformation note:0 C. B+ B' r* _) p7 k/ b% f
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
; a7 _5 A% T6 h4 Nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
# |/ g$ j9 m) p4 y9 q1 R5 Y& Qpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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