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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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5 b2 p% U! |- _0 w; u1 aOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
H. _/ T8 X* Y( J/ O, Frate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly* o& T) ]7 x% t6 Z
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal" e7 }8 Z4 L; O1 y" o
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with1 Q& O7 j# |: _
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 A3 Q$ r* i* X, E6 |United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness/ @( b2 j+ D5 n0 D& ?" B! g
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
8 q/ _! [' p9 e& }: J0 q' |# EIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal' H# K: I1 D& ^- Q' h( t) R) X
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the' K# n+ f% @4 o$ C; f. u3 k
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result7 O! }+ R; _& ?% X
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an+ `* X4 q9 w1 _" P
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the; x6 J" I. I. X6 L, x" o
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity& F( S5 m7 o4 d- ~
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.+ x0 L0 x4 Y. n+ w/ s
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
X1 D( k; l1 E# qin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.+ R; k0 C! J9 |2 _8 }, E; S! C
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* q0 {8 y+ F5 R, Q8 `! o
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: }& N$ K* i Q6 d2 F& h7 Dbalanced recovery.. n V7 P% f9 J( H/ d
6 R" c6 E5 v+ N1 R0 zCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects4 h8 B$ K- U9 E* f5 u, p. m
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess1 K: T6 {9 e6 \4 d& s
supply., P* }$ I8 G) |) m
$ J8 n3 }1 e( m( d5 gIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
L s" A+ h! b5 x4 ~to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ) k b/ h4 e; P. O
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 1 \, g# M5 M; e
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
. h6 v$ ^0 E. Cstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic* t- y" k% l2 A& U3 K2 o. D, Q
developments.. C; d2 |' B" {) T
4 X* }% H+ b7 f0 B: Y }% {/ R+ a9 B( RInformation note:9 p- ]3 E# Y2 [* j6 w. m$ ^
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update2 A8 Q3 S* }3 [* P
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ g$ P9 C6 S/ m0 J2 F. H# f
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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