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埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

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鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
发表于 2010-10-4 16:19 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告* n4 @% O2 l/ w& [; \; P1 [

$ v; E' B( z# d) c                            ——9月市场平稳,消费者静观其变1 E7 {" [. I- m8 j8 [  {

  K  M) h3 x) E- }. Y, n本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html,中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。: n( e- a- Y3 ^7 y

: ?) T1 z) M/ h) N2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息:进入今年最后一个季度,埃德蒙顿房价平稳,没有大的波动。9月份,独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平,康兜(Condo)的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后,9月略有回升。与8月相比,9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。) \3 ^9 L$ d( w$ X7 K

3 O# j( |% S2 V3 U5 _/ f) L( \“市场好像正在休整期”,埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示,“在经历了过去几年的震荡,买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后,消费者们现在显得理智和冷静,静观下一步的市场动态”。目前,市场仍有8,600个单元待售,买家有足够的选择空间。3 v( \2 ?) L0 \9 i+ }* o
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9月份,独立屋的平均价格为$370,653;而康兜(Condo)的价格,在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹,均价为$238,822,升高了近1%,但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728;丢普莱克斯(duplex)和排屋(rowhouse)的成交均价为$313,462,下降了11%,但是这类房型的总成交量小,代表性差,所以每月波动很大;而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499,较上月下降了近0.25%。
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0 E5 P* K$ r% ]: X4 p$ N+ v/ x: q9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月,新上市房屋为2,688个单元,挂牌销售比为47%,房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化,仍然为57天。+ e) f$ \: V; p$ Z& J' Y% L

* i. M4 v9 }4 M. K' z' q+ M4 b“第三季度的市场活动,与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”,Westergard说,“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落,但仍然好于第一季度的水平,这显示了上半年的市场充满活力,深受宏观经济形势走强的感染,同时也受到了加息的威胁。”/ K' U0 O+ W/ n9 d2 n
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September 2010 activityRecord for
1 {) F- ~9 f: i9 \$ f9 w                the month*
% change from
6 e$ n- H! ?6 e; J6 H                September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month1,379-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month$450 million-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year$4.94 billion-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month1,187-23.20%
Residential average price$326,4990%
SFD² average selling   price - month$370,6530.70%
SFD median³ selling   price$348,0000.55%
Condo average selling price$238,822-3.10%
          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.0 p( o9 ^" x0 H; I/ i
². Single Family Dwelling* `3 M' i* a( X) t0 z/ y* B
³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
+ V) q% }5 b: u- V          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.
鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-10-4 16:31 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。2 C1 c( g$ @* ~5 h3 v

( U  R" b4 e3 P6 d, b5 ~5 |8 P8 s上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”,这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”,看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套,但8月份有31天而9月份有30天,哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55,而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57,也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。2 X- q9 [6 |% z+ \: s' X- R7 |7 Y
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小明第一次考试90分,第二次考试80分,第三次考试70分,第四次考试70分。在我看来,小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑,说明了一定的问题。
大型搬家
鲜花(1269) 鸡蛋(4)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:03 | 显示全部楼层
哈哈,那是时候买还是卖?
鲜花(25) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:11 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:16 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
+ }5 g. a, v+ B: b  R7 N  g! U8 c7 `' J# S  j6 X: ]7 V7 ?
上个月的报告说“8月 ...
4 c4 H4 |& r6 T$ k老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31
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& i4 O5 ?# b' K# M  G
3 b! a! k% s1 v5 w7 I算得这么细,肯定是借外脑了,是不是请酷暑帮你算的?
鲜花(34) 鸡蛋(5)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:31 | 显示全部楼层
统计口径差别大,Bob Truman个人统计:
9 K) K2 d5 z9 C2 k: JSep 382,273 350,000  \4 A: L! _+ D! q! w: n
Aug 392,082 357,500
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:24 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:54 | 显示全部楼层
分享!
大型搬家
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 12:21 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
不止是有点暖,是高烧~
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http://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story- ^: j9 \$ |, V* z3 \

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Edmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
# k3 F  W+ ^$ a5 K. _4 S High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend  k$ D2 ?) }- P, p3 ^2 \

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EDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.1 L2 M$ l3 |7 P( K; j
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“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.' o$ x5 V0 L( ?$ Y- B% T1 h

1 t& M3 \0 ^& k, l* kSales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.
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Fifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.7 O# I' q# m9 ]2 q. k  B+ w
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The urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.5 o( A7 J! o) z* f

; r3 \$ e/ S1 n* a0 [3 s0 [“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.
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“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
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Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.! l) Z% H4 I1 `% Y. y' E* D

3 T2 M* w6 g" n2 o6 xThe sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.# j8 c# J+ ^) l

2 m4 j3 x) a+ ^: Q8 S; nAverage price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.* ~  D1 ~' v. S3 k+ ]. X7 w4 @8 k  }

; z. L# u# v& l" J5 N* b( oInventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.
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- i/ S6 i! H% C“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said., n: a9 H8 z. u  d

# M- e+ E8 v& \& QFirst-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.
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An influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”& r" G4 s# ^, z- Y! m0 H7 W

, K9 U' \) V) b9 o+ M6 F% c" Q; YThe report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.
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Prices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.4 @& G! x) E( h4 _- b8 j) u/ I
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“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.+ t) R  Z3 k$ p
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“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”
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