埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

老杨

埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

4 _7 W# L: V+ x" t/ ~+ _                            ——9月市场平稳，消费者静观其变

本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html，中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。
% Q! s5 I; D+ g- V
* J; q0 z# u% f/ t1 ^, v- i4 }2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息：进入今年最后一个季度，埃德蒙顿房价平稳，没有大的波动。9月份，独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平，康兜（Condo）的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后，9月略有回升。与8月相比，9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。

+ C' E; Q7 x% U' n, X3 _“市场好像正在休整期”，埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示，“在经历了过去几年的震荡，买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后，消费者们现在显得理智和冷静，静观下一步的市场动态”。目前，市场仍有8,600个单元待售，买家有足够的选择空间。
) U) o. o/ n4 a, }$ y. ]7 O6 m& ^
- i; \6 S  ]( i' s8 l8 |  v- V9月份，独立屋的平均价格为$370,653；而康兜（Condo）的价格，在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹，均价为$238,822，升高了近1%，但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728；丢普莱克斯（duplex）和排屋（rowhouse）的成交均价为$313,462，下降了11%，但是这类房型的总成交量小，代表性差，所以每月波动很大；而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499，较上月下降了近0.25%。

9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月，新上市房屋为2,688个单元，挂牌销售比为47%，房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化，仍然为57天。

“第三季度的市场活动，与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”，Westergard说，“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落，但仍然好于第一季度的水平，这显示了上半年的市场充满活力，深受宏观经济形势走强的感染，同时也受到了加息的威胁。”
0 L# g$ R$ \2 q# s) o) A1 B- P

September 2010 activity	Record for                 the month*	% change from + M& D, Z# H9 b+ Y8 V3 @2 T% o3 V                September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month	1,379	-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month	$450 million	-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year	$4.94 billion	-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month	1,187	-23.20%
Residential average price	$326,499	0%
SFD² average selling   price - month	$370,653	0.70%
SFD median³ selling   price	$348,000	0.55%
Condo average selling price	$238,822	-3.10%

          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
². Single Family Dwelling
9 s$ ~8 s* r8 I8 \7 z& [) [" U³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.

老杨

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
5 `1 `9 f' j+ f; W
2 |$ ?/ j# e% F上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”，这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”，看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套，但8月份有31天而9月份有30天，哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55，而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57，也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。
  w% e: s. i( T- J3 o9 z
& D  L2 ~8 _. g) ?/ g. _小明第一次考试90分，第二次考试80分，第三次考试70分，第四次考试70分。在我看来，小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑，说明了一定的问题。

天上明珠

哈哈，那是时候买还是卖？

Hills

Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.

翠花

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。

上个月的报告说“8月 ...
老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31

$ L4 ~' y4 Q0 Z0 y/ H# M算得这么细，肯定是借外脑了，是不是请酷暑帮你算的？

catty

统计口径差别大，Bob Truman个人统计：
* E+ A% }# \, P) F* G4 KSep 382,273 350,000
Aug 392,082 357,500

solo0606

老朱

分享！

翠花

不止是有点暖，是高烧～
/ Y+ A5 s; v4 r' Y  _
1 N6 y! m) L  G$ K( h# Xhttp://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story


. k# d- K9 {# |: `. sEdmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend


. d3 m# r* _$ v8 WEDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.

$ m: T# p, P- F* i6 N* ^& ^“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.
" j( Y, P$ Q# |2 o5 p
0 E% l" |# P$ `7 ]0 U  K+ S+ d; BSales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.
! h$ f5 a6 {5 T. p
1 k$ h5 r, x1 PFifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.
1 M+ d9 A3 l$ I3 D/ q5 W
7 m: R" m2 G3 z: o- x, D! c% c  EThe urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.
0 r) L: f  |  G$ P: F9 p
! T1 n5 s9 I, X  @8 g“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.

: r0 l4 I+ {& R$ ]& V“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”

/ i' G% {" Y+ X( |+ GYear-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.

The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.

Average price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.
- ~6 w' ]: Y) P
Inventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.

8 l# H, E* _! D“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.
6 R) L, K4 ?% S" e, P6 z: V& C6 A. ?) D
First-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.

$ m# Q% i  S! u3 p9 LAn influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”
. t: `, q8 N/ J8 a- `
* L; v* H7 M9 G' K$ EThe report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.

3 f5 ~& t! L  oPrices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.
/ e' O5 `$ F& l% A
“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.
9 H! ?+ J/ _& F+ t7 Y# O; F
“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”