埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

老杨

埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告
* I9 `# J. U5 c" A
                            ——9月市场平稳，消费者静观其变

" c! p7 h5 o6 ]* x本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html，中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。

! x7 P- Z5 }5 b/ p* J& E# I1 m2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息：进入今年最后一个季度，埃德蒙顿房价平稳，没有大的波动。9月份，独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平，康兜（Condo）的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后，9月略有回升。与8月相比，9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。

! o- Q: o) U* j  Z+ c“市场好像正在休整期”，埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示，“在经历了过去几年的震荡，买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后，消费者们现在显得理智和冷静，静观下一步的市场动态”。目前，市场仍有8,600个单元待售，买家有足够的选择空间。
- v9 ~0 Y  j; ^4 e) Y- H
) q) N+ J- e- [. `. r9 c9月份，独立屋的平均价格为$370,653；而康兜（Condo）的价格，在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹，均价为$238,822，升高了近1%，但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728；丢普莱克斯（duplex）和排屋（rowhouse）的成交均价为$313,462，下降了11%，但是这类房型的总成交量小，代表性差，所以每月波动很大；而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499，较上月下降了近0.25%。
3 C3 ~' ~- V+ j
! Y, ~+ P9 t: H9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月，新上市房屋为2,688个单元，挂牌销售比为47%，房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化，仍然为57天。

, ~) M% d7 l/ {“第三季度的市场活动，与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”，Westergard说，“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落，但仍然好于第一季度的水平，这显示了上半年的市场充满活力，深受宏观经济形势走强的感染，同时也受到了加息的威胁。”
- V1 {& C6 F* X# H0 g) u* t
2 H0 Z7 H: N; r: F  B! K

September 2010 activity	Record for                 the month*	% change from                 September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month	1,379	-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month	$450 million	-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year	$4.94 billion	-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month	1,187	-23.20%
Residential average price	$326,499	0%
SFD² average selling   price - month	$370,653	0.70%
SFD median³ selling   price	$348,000	0.55%
Condo average selling price	$238,822	-3.10%

          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
². Single Family Dwelling
³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.

老杨

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
# d: B0 g% }: n/ j: ?
: N9 z' }4 A: M3 f6 K* Q$ {' q上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”，这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”，看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套，但8月份有31天而9月份有30天，哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55，而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57，也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。
8 {$ s9 f2 p* n4 h& S
9 ~0 b4 D: d& h9 Y- ]- C小明第一次考试90分，第二次考试80分，第三次考试70分，第四次考试70分。在我看来，小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑，说明了一定的问题。

天上明珠

哈哈，那是时候买还是卖？

Hills

Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.

翠花

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
0 {# ~; i3 G$ c/ ~
' u& i( E. e) O7 d1 N: K上个月的报告说“8月 ...
8 C+ ]: t2 m+ h0 }) S. f* @. L老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31

算得这么细，肯定是借外脑了，是不是请酷暑帮你算的？

catty

统计口径差别大，Bob Truman个人统计：
Sep 382,273 350,000
, N5 t0 ~( H# O" qAug 392,082 357,500

solo0606

老朱

分享！

翠花

不止是有点暖，是高烧～
: e) y, |0 D' i- H
http://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story


9 y4 M% A2 |/ X( K/ ]7 }' VEdmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend
! k% O" S/ _2 R; h, B- `4 i7 D
5 `% W, V7 Q& A; g( l
EDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.
; Z1 G/ x6 Z0 s: @
' F$ x. C- s5 u* d& v“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.

. r: r- [9 A% M: A% ySales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.
+ c$ D( L3 D. ?3 O
Fifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.

0 o) P" n4 ~9 KThe urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.
$ t: @( j" J, e
% _' |4 |- v# T8 Q“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.
8 S, R# o% x4 S0 d$ M  o' G) U3 j
" q6 U* S, ]% P8 v0 K“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
7 q" i3 w8 `" ~! H  o& b; Y
Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.
7 F9 h; S& l. e" J9 ?3 {6 t
The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.
/ A2 f6 y. [3 d3 C2 q9 _
Average price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.

+ `; t5 @% ^& X" M" |1 }  FInventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.
8 r8 @) _4 [( S
“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.
" K3 n% N$ S$ ~* i1 q
First-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.
, o* M/ L( S7 T, n' }
1 o" Q3 _2 v( i: d7 u  m/ a; fAn influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”

The report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.
- c4 Y; @5 Z7 o! Q2 J: l1 B
: H9 e' P" w: FPrices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.

) K2 V/ @! _% U3 a0 e8 ?“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.
, r! M5 w  B5 j1 y" Y9 W2 e
. w7 y1 W$ P  N2 j“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”