埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

老杨

埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

                            ——9月市场平稳，消费者静观其变
, o! L1 Y8 P: @3 {& {
本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html，中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。

7 O* G+ y8 g+ h$ p; s! K: ]2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息：进入今年最后一个季度，埃德蒙顿房价平稳，没有大的波动。9月份，独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平，康兜（Condo）的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后，9月略有回升。与8月相比，9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。

: ?5 H. a; b- b1 }( w% d“市场好像正在休整期”，埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示，“在经历了过去几年的震荡，买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后，消费者们现在显得理智和冷静，静观下一步的市场动态”。目前，市场仍有8,600个单元待售，买家有足够的选择空间。
/ F2 [& U' W2 [/ T1 s
9月份，独立屋的平均价格为$370,653；而康兜（Condo）的价格，在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹，均价为$238,822，升高了近1%，但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728；丢普莱克斯（duplex）和排屋（rowhouse）的成交均价为$313,462，下降了11%，但是这类房型的总成交量小，代表性差，所以每月波动很大；而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499，较上月下降了近0.25%。
6 V* B- g6 M: k: Y* f2 _4 y
9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月，新上市房屋为2,688个单元，挂牌销售比为47%，房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化，仍然为57天。
2 j& l. H$ ^2 M  x  m
“第三季度的市场活动，与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”，Westergard说，“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落，但仍然好于第一季度的水平，这显示了上半年的市场充满活力，深受宏观经济形势走强的感染，同时也受到了加息的威胁。”

September 2010 activity	Record for $ f5 H) M3 x9 K0 q4 F1 T" G3 r: y! @0 F                the month*	% change from                 September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month	1,379	-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month	$450 million	-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year	$4.94 billion	-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month	1,187	-23.20%
Residential average price	$326,499	0%
SFD² average selling   price - month	$370,653	0.70%
SFD median³ selling   price	$348,000	0.55%
Condo average selling price	$238,822	-3.10%

          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
# d7 ?- B8 @2 X². Single Family Dwelling
³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
& I7 K0 ~8 ~" F% ~( S- L4 u9 p- Z+ W          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.

老杨

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
1 t6 [2 p: w8 d& z0 [6 _- T/ I
* `' |/ B- d: S" L- D/ w/ f" ^上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”，这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”，看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套，但8月份有31天而9月份有30天，哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55，而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57，也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。

' {0 Q4 I. j, ~" j& C" Z$ i小明第一次考试90分，第二次考试80分，第三次考试70分，第四次考试70分。在我看来，小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑，说明了一定的问题。

天上明珠

哈哈，那是时候买还是卖？

Hills

Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.

翠花

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
; e) [: v/ ~* Q7 b1 ^3 g
上个月的报告说“8月 ...
老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31

算得这么细，肯定是借外脑了，是不是请酷暑帮你算的？

catty

统计口径差别大，Bob Truman个人统计：
/ o1 n; ^) M0 R9 SSep 382,273 350,000
Aug 392,082 357,500

solo0606

老朱

分享！

翠花

不止是有点暖，是高烧～
$ E8 }* d( o! T+ S! X, B
http://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story
( W5 r. g2 X3 |+ N7 R

# M( V0 \8 i% ~Edmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
4 l# T( X6 {9 A6 C' t/ r High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend
) }/ [' P6 \4 i

EDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.

“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.
: o1 ^7 G1 D. I' }0 c2 `
Sales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.
6 Q2 w: j8 l2 h9 K$ w" e' \
  ~7 b7 s8 D! q% v3 D* P! kFifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.

The urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.

2 X% M9 K+ a% W* n: s: ?& {# d3 @“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.

“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
; l/ V; ?# K) |7 g& g
Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.
( I1 g" k1 k" _3 M1 _
The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.

% f' \) L0 [) lAverage price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.
9 N/ i: ~; y+ F+ l0 R+ A0 }
Inventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.
: E4 u: \  K' o3 u0 I5 d0 i- D
) T7 A# A% R  p  z" w* x& T1 z“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.

First-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.
/ `/ [5 \! g4 c; D+ c3 s
An influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”
" [4 }; q! N6 t" ~+ Y& u" E) f
5 X0 w( T% Z; f/ jThe report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.
$ n  P. K, U# S# m/ v" s
$ \' x& U+ o3 D) b! g* `Prices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.
/ b7 }5 A/ J% @" u  F
“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.
2 p0 n# L$ |% h6 c. h8 W5 S
" L, _7 V; T6 q8 v  I“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”