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本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-11-3 21:39 编辑 ! R+ q' |; z* t4 u! K8 @
l2 C* `$ z6 ?% i/ F! |7 rThe US dollar was under pressure following a slightly more aggressive QE than the markets had anticipated. The Federal Reserve announced they will purchase an additional $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities over the next 8 months which comes out to about $75 billion per month. This is compared to forecasts of $500 billion over 6 months and is in addition to the roughly $35 billion per month in reinvestment purchases.
% D2 f( {: A. H, E4 r嘿嘿……美国准备印很多很多的钱,不过这个预期已经被PRICE IN了1个多月了。
' P3 e4 S9 @ f6 m现在股市标普为例面临1210-1220之间的阻力。
, B& `* ]7 K) V3 @' O参见我9月1号的帖子:http://www.edmontonchina.ca/view ... &extra=page%3D2) h! b& ]4 q" c/ d( m
从大势上看,突破是迟早的事情,但是我们应该注意一下市场今天都告诉了我们什么。( i: d& O% _& t/ y. ~5 G6 u
今天的市场风险资产以黄金为例,经历了大起大落。在消息出来之前,黄金自由落体般下跌了30块。而消息是more aggressive,但是黄金未能创出新高。# T: s3 R$ j- T* [- I
今天早些时候出来的数据:
9 R2 A. D$ y" @/ LEconomic data released earlier showed ADP employment was much better than the expected +20K with a print of +43K for October up from the prior month’s -2K (revised higher from -39K). September factory orders surprised to the upside rising by more than the forecast of +1.6% climbing +2.1% from the prior 0.0 and the October ISM non-manufacturing index advanced to 54.3 (cons. 53.5 prior 53.2). The ISM Chairman mentioned that the ‘slow growth’ indicated by the report is more sustainable than a fast pickup.
- b5 {+ m9 `* V; u4 g/ `, F6 D8 f股市在这些数据的配合下,仅仅小涨。
$ _) Y" s, _7 I, K, _种种迹象都证明风险资产的上涨长期看还有大幅空间。
( u6 O K+ V& B8 X+ Q$ s8 O短期看,OVERDONE。
$ J! C5 W$ h: }; I m& D$ q4 k& C所以关注标普1210-1220的阻力位置。
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至于黄金,很清楚的3浪调整走势,目前是第三浪开始不久,不过不能越过1366。 A$ |2 [$ R( R# |; B7 ?( k, {
因此可以考虑在1256.50卖出黄金,止损1267。目标大概1280-1285之间。图不知道为什么不能下载,抱歉。 |
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