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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.8 p1 v5 o h: z& s3 B2 ?
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
' J' X1 V7 l0 mJanuary Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
3 s' z9 O! r" A2 X" hsolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
! v0 S1 O+ [: B/ t+ b9 [! mchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European1 t% j q0 H9 z& s5 m1 Y
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from1 D2 t- q7 V) c2 x% i0 H
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
( F4 f& d! b; i/ @0 Tbe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.4 H* Y& b# }( ~2 N( o" i/ a) n5 {/ \
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
- ?, N5 f% ~' [: `/ gthe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are6 y/ S+ F; M3 r
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
' D* p) I5 O( S8 x2 W8 V4 `Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
/ P. K3 e. u9 L: }* rfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a, e& R2 T9 j: A" t
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
: G$ S) G# Z+ B( y5 e8 X. i% @1 X; SHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects/ [" J1 g/ h; n
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity8 x) @3 ?+ O' j
performance./ H; w( h+ T$ T; I5 A6 ?4 J& H
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
" U$ v3 F: c- Y* P, Y0 u5 h; {Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the% K) L7 ~3 A: P% K' M% N
considerable slack in the economy.) R" b5 X- v& }, r
' S0 u. R9 _. D9 A3 aReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate, Q+ X+ q6 y& u8 Y3 d+ Q& |7 m$ R
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
7 x i6 v; \. T+ @# \3 z4 X# r* m2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
+ l& g2 m6 i/ ?+ Z7 X8 o: creduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
8 H. U/ V" Y u, F( cInformation note:
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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