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发表于 2015-9-11 09:37
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* C; w9 D* J0 u" R! i) bBy Barani Krishnan
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& B U1 k* Q* N. i7 }NEW YORK (Reuters) - Crude futures fell on Friday after Wall Street's most influential voice in oil trading, Goldman Sachs, slashed its price outlook through next year, citing oversupply and concerns about China's economy.- C6 H4 k7 K2 d& b; F) d9 i
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Joining Germany's Commerzbank and a long list of other banks in cutting price projections, Goldman lowered its 2016 forecast for U.S. crude to $45 a barrel from $57 previously, and Brent to $49.50 from $62.1 z+ ] {# l5 g% y. h
& ]2 a0 y' D1 x9 J" n! M( g- V3 l4 e"The oil market is even more oversupplied than we had expected and we forecast this surplus to persist in 2016," Goldman said in a note entitled "Lower for even longer".
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( B2 | R$ K7 t$ E0 P1 z+ L8 n, z1 aCiting "operational stress" as a growing downside risk to its forecast, Goldman said crude could fall further to near $20 a barrel. "While not our base case, the potential for oil prices to fall to such levels ... is becoming greater as! i, @! F) `" w: q# U
5 Q7 s( Q4 S, z! {1 B( O# ostorage continues to fill."
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! E2 M8 j; f- f0 @U.S. crude futures' front-month contract <CLc1> was down $1, or 2.2 percent, at $44.92 a barrel by 11:54 a.m. EDT. i9 E% R! Y( V5 m$ g5 w) p7 c* `
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The front-month in Brent <LCOc1>, the global benchmark for oil, was off 70 cents, or 1.3 percent, at $48.19.
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Both crude benchmarks had fallen about 3 percent, before paring loses with stocks on Wall Street. The U.S. stocks have provided direction to oil over the last two weeks as investors grappled with mixed fundamentals for crude.
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+ V* o# J- |, j' }7 B3 L, Q. hThe oil market is waiting next for a weekly reading of the U.S. oil rig count, due at 1:00 p.m. ET. The data will show for whether oil producers were cutting back on drilling as prices head lower again after a brief rebound in the second quarter.
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. p7 x* z: x, A. i, t! J m2 LCrude prices have more than halved over the past year, with Brent tumbling from nearly $120 a barrel in the middle of 2014 to below $43 last month. Prices collapsed as a global glut of crude pushed commercial and government inventories to all-time highs.0 W; _% d8 E9 T
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Analysts say the market is rebalancing, but high stocks will keep weighing on prices into next year.
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, q7 M' L; l+ ]% G. D6 fGermany's Commerzbank said Brent was likely to trade at $55 by the end of 2015, and around $65 by end-2016.
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Investors shrugged off a report from the Paris-based International Energy Agency, which advises the world's biggest economies on energy policy. The IEA said a move by the world's big oil exporters in OPEC, led by Saudi Arabia, to defend their market share by not reducing production, appeared to be working.
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% s- O I9 E2 }7 y; i(Additional reporting by Lisa Barrington and Christopher Johnson in London and Meeyoung Cho in Seoul; Editing by Nick Zieminski and David Gregorio) |
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楼主: jeffyu1988
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发表于 2015-9-2 16:23
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发表于 2015-9-3 06:44
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