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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal0 w, T- k; |1 @3 G. o
Published: Tuesday, April 03, 20077 y" _, W5 t: f. j4 ~; Z! d4 v
. c0 r! \; s# hEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.
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" x, f0 F4 [/ }4 F7 C% _& p: dLeger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.2 z* f" `" ^& E$ v" ~
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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* U- z% a, N0 w! ^( Q; J( SNo, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.3 |$ }$ m# |, E
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
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" d# Q+ ?; m2 H m6 kWhen asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.
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- T% m% ^) D5 @" W9 j, k% j8 M0 H; QThe sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.' f; u3 ^( |0 x9 w8 d9 W# D
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The prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.8 F* K `& c9 k& X4 ^4 q
2 W7 |3 u* o: L5 a( uA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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! c; o% T4 V5 B. O6 h! cAmong those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
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The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.4 m4 j$ }. h4 Y; t7 q6 S; C
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"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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