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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
( X. Q, D5 y6 d1 c& m! Z) wPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007
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EDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.- d' l. R4 l( U2 @8 I; j1 a
0 l1 i! |: n) k) x& hLeger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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8 p! E1 ~1 Z5 _/ W1 n+ `No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."+ @/ j! Q+ u d$ Z- ?- M/ ^0 ]
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When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.1 }* R0 b: I" j4 X* m- C
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A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.* F+ B m# u0 y% Y4 p. g* Z
2 j: X3 K# C X! K& ZThe sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.7 F# N9 a! P y* P
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The prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.
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6 b1 R% b8 {' ^A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
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- I0 _* e4 y+ }& oThe business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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y( s! H# ~# eBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
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: s! T7 I: @9 Z6 o, i"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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