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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.
' q3 V( Q3 ?) q: z! q7 I& i% {Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.) g$ d9 j5 E6 e% x1 m+ @$ P
If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.
& [# i7 N0 `, }7 M9 @TD can give you 4.2%.
5 q& w4 ]! }/ I1 Z# ^" S0 e) w6 pBMO can give you 4.3%.% J6 }( l# J. f$ ^9 o4 ]& p1 A; X5 J
RBC can give you 4.0%.
3 V( g& r2 I. F' e V$ Z(Roughly)( s8 N/ d7 n% n, h8 A+ l" b
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%." Y1 ]3 E7 @& W8 a p; K
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.
0 }& D/ V, |2 ?( R% w# z& |# KAlso, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
& \: z) s% F( R0 R5 sFrom the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
. ~2 i+ V. _6 r( V; a8 X5 xRough calculation:
8 e7 l* r9 O6 G" r1 {, W# `Right now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03
% V/ [# V7 ^- @5 p- nBuy 10000 US cost you 105000
" e+ O4 w3 k3 K$ sDeposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000
7 i( ?5 ?* `# N7 j( E. aIf US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD. ] e! n7 j% B/ A) _- q. I
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.9 @, |, r: f. B9 `+ T/ T% W/ D
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.
! ?& ]0 m! U0 h& W/ bBut, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.
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$ T4 h7 V: b! O4 JAll above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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