Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
( P6 P* N4 k/ W& q+ tMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
* o! l$ J& ]9 ?+ n  s; W' I# L
Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
/ h; t! r1 O1 ]" Z& s, t
  w  r; t, s1 C/ ?3 ^Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
2 j) N, O$ C! a: T! O" p, \
' C7 t6 A, J$ `7 _& EJul 2007
NA
2328
717
442,752
1 C* s# |" T3 D) U% h 410,000
320
28
$ t  p* E+ D6 n& r 31%
4 ]1 x$ E. V4 O7 j% q) p8 i( O
Jun 2007
. J4 R# ~- `0 \$ b NA
2661
1011
1 o/ L; h+ h; U, ^# C 442,817
409,000
328
2 _( N5 \- Q4 d, A0 i/ {- |) A 22
4 C) F$ G) Y% L  f! K' } 38%
4 }3 z, {! V* j* ?7 w6 {0 @
8 T+ \2 p  ~! s1 L! V6 x& nMay 2007
' ]1 h: [" T' D/ ^6 C& [ NA
1 j7 W. T' q8 T# Q: _# R 2288
+ }7 F0 F4 y8 @$ H. W* x 1261
451,216
415,000
& X( T1 O! q  F  Q# H 322
( u( P) C+ Z) e  e/ T 19
' G' x) l" P6 _" _' B. }  V 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
3 k" B2 M1 J7 `' C7 p鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
7 K, o" M/ c* E9 o* g% q+ \* K存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

+ J# O* t8 ^0 {* U
0 j/ b! [& f. r# V; F用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
8 U, e2 }2 A9 K' O! a' r3 p7 m3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
7 e+ r& X* R4 M- q/ `: u3 |2 b2 \存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

8 v, U# ]4 g6 R' f
/ h+ @1 |" t7 u* x; o1 w呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量
7 K3 \7 Q, z* g' X2 c+ N
4 y$ J$ k. h3 l; j: r就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
- K$ G0 q! h; p: u5 N8 G, o  d" MDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
: P0 x* o& l' ?% z  t3 i, qIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
- ^4 u7 }0 a7 _! T2 U. O/ O2 _9 }How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

/ b+ m4 g/ \- K$ q3 q0 z& |
% Z6 D4 H- Q8 h3 j/ y$ C$ AI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
" h! D7 Y4 Z- v" x7 V- S" LEdmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
' v% ~# u' R- |/ a; C* zIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

/ W' P: J" k" r# ]( {7 s) P1 _QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
1 b# V. `) e) }5 J
  g+ F, v' ?! y7 e# p" _: U
3 R4 p; Y7 O& n' Q) g6 d) W8 kI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
5 ?& s& J0 A/ k# s1 @1 h3 S2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

9 j* ^9 V. K4 J6 ]! ?: q
下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

  N" e" b6 _, R% P. |' z

! W* |# f/ m, e& h' ^/ f只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
# J8 ~( p1 l: s& z- Y看来，观察days inventory 更重要。