Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
+ s; C7 Y- j2 q/ P8 \0 l: P9 WIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
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2 z- g; {  ]6 J, Y+ u' HDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

$ [- l* _! l2 G1 {  g: c' eSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
6 X5 Y6 C1 e# y% A
0 @* Z" i# @' l" P; nAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
. x! f7 X. V* ~3 P8 \" O6 B5 M
Jul 2007
NA
2328
4 A8 P9 w4 l4 C; ?$ J 717
, W$ g+ ^2 c/ |+ V; } 442,752
! f; R5 h, T2 a( o( X3 P 410,000
6 }) V* @$ L% y* i: u2 j0 b 320
28
6 `, T' m) P  V! Z 31%
$ q6 V2 E  a6 R; L9 n
- S# X! V& x! i# X. I7 T( IJun 2007
NA
1 D7 M! T( U  p0 { 2661
% f- f" r/ Y7 L$ @ 1011
. ~' q' X" @6 N4 H$ q7 ? 442,817
; _/ q1 T2 Q4 Q4 J! B 409,000
" u9 `% @, {5 x# J; T: _ 328
22
38%
$ E% l! l' W) O4 |: O
May 2007
NA
3 B6 p) E" @6 f: y$ i4 q8 Y 2288
) z1 f- Q. Z0 m& j 1261
451,216
415,000
, H! T- Q6 R" W 322
# m+ N' N" \5 ~, z2 d8 t 19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

! V, S: @3 l- {5 j$ a: P: c
" p- j) z  u0 Z% S: G) i用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
1 O3 s8 J7 j; c; g3 t0 q3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
* {4 @9 d- m* y) s# b  v存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

/ o: X2 B$ S" f0 n2 J& a# I呵呵，太不专业了吧。
) a  L) d# {8 A7 o( Y
# Y; `6 a3 ]4 P4 u新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

% q$ }* D& R) `; z4 T, L就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

/ N/ Y) {$ [( q! s: j- B7 C, [% j这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
5 C. ~3 A$ A4 @0 {7 ]9 K8 b, K3 uIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
' d" q* g0 q9 b2 F1 q' eThat is what i say half full or half empty.
) C9 N- U4 n( I9 A9 U$ Z  kgood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
% y; y# \1 k0 j$ n) _: k1 q* ~, yIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
) F9 p6 h3 k; E/ M5 m! D. Z* ]How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
# A7 I( E1 o7 L) J7 {Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

- u+ p% X% y* X* bQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表


I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

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) r: [& ]8 y9 @8 M下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
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只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。