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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. . L/ _% Z+ t0 k
w6 K/ \5 |- f* N& }1 a4 h- L5 fThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 2 z# m# }6 x" o. } b
+ J; F: W0 `5 [( V, \/ ANow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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1 }: n* b# b. N7 R1 jIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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$ ?1 I% H+ o; ~% G% {4 e"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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7 [5 F, ` n8 U7 [" wHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." ' q* r1 p# f* A" N( J0 S& x& ]
6 ?8 j- S5 l/ e+ |8 v4 ]: AIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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& r3 r& K7 }9 k3 ?) `: P; X% r; qThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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1 Q8 y! s X3 u/ V( ACMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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