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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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: }7 A+ s2 e8 S7 E$ D2 aThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.: l7 _/ J% Z, z6 \
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 5 }7 d ?5 Q- Q- d( }; P3 R
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 9 t, A( {; J! Y1 V+ g9 O8 s d( h+ F
: Q# C8 o9 ^7 @) ?The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. " R0 V5 u }9 l9 R0 _
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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. [* a% |2 o6 H; G, ^CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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