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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. & G- F& @. x# r* T
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 5 M, P9 T" X \1 p2 e# \
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.' d7 Y% Q2 A4 W) o/ f7 v% g
: K% A* H- f6 rIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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h: w! _' L. i" j8 P"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 0 S' o) P0 Z# m& S% u0 Y
. M: o4 p9 e& p3 lHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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* m8 R& W+ y8 D" w- U$ f5 dIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. . s a f" b/ ^. i% [# u- V: n
' f7 c/ U! W8 u/ l Q: h* ?& J5 sThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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9 J# U3 X) G uThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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