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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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[/ X# V3 {$ R3 |% }- o8 IThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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) h3 o N$ k4 B) G3 q3 `The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. + Q& V1 q: u. z5 w
: E. v/ T1 O9 r! j2 [! fNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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* P. {$ m- k5 J+ ^It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.& z9 r6 l; o+ z" g0 y$ J5 J
7 ]5 ^: r( g$ O$ z" \9 Y"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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6 ?' j9 X% X0 [9 O' WIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. ; l: C k2 K* U- X0 J6 |
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. " c& M% f- y* ]1 r k
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.1 Y' L) V/ {+ U( k+ q/ k. j
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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