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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. & r' Y/ d0 T' A$ h `" L4 G
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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9 G5 Q6 [6 e6 e2 |" z {# D: F" _# eNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.% o5 Q8 C% H- ^, B: }6 B+ h/ u7 U
2 }0 d# O l$ w: f"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 8 a& Z1 w: | r4 X1 N3 x+ `
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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- z% Y, z# m' _7 a. K$ g: zThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. ( q4 E" s* M+ Z
$ S* V1 y. U7 P2 C: h' b2 pThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009., _! B4 Z, ?( L3 b9 `% E
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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