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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market5 d7 Y9 G- [9 K: i0 \( J
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 W& ]0 }$ B9 t. P; \
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly6 E& a# V) @8 }$ O. W- r! [6 S( E
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal! W! `: Q, Q' r
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with& Z& Z5 A# D1 K# P5 ?
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the: J4 r4 U7 `/ m' N7 z# w2 A
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
* |7 g4 m3 E& b8 T5 q- min Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( ^9 k4 d) A; c+ {! ~In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal n; S4 H6 S6 o2 @2 u) i
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the' z7 H$ P2 K6 B; J
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* i% Z: I! ^' Q. ` }) d0 hin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ @, c: r6 E2 a2 K0 D# g8 i% gimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the$ |& b( m2 k# o R- R6 W! G! l
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
; ?2 L5 q0 J; }8 _prices and some tightening of financial conditions.0 B$ B3 y( ^8 ]6 R, o! k7 t+ i
6 B* \8 V/ t: L$ L1 m' }- uActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent4 T4 |$ \3 C6 N* e- G
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.9 d0 k/ s; a, }: G1 ?+ j
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with" n& L" R+ }; a/ h- [( _
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more0 Y2 r& B( ^& M) @
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects; ?7 j. b. f: }; J6 ]1 K
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
" M' Y: I, t. Y. r# G" [supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
7 G3 {% x/ u c! e* M' mto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 s% w# {2 ?5 T" Z% k% m. Nmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 5 D, R* i+ e& N% F
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary" |% {: g5 l6 w, K: C+ g
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 X1 Q5 U4 P8 @$ G' h" v% K. P" xdevelopments.
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# a0 u0 f& F& P4 W' l4 V1 PInformation note:
* t, o3 q" T+ U$ A/ A5 \The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ ]0 E% R" t# \" v$ Y) Hof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
7 f4 x! W+ k* X# n/ {1 Q3 Qpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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