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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( O) H' T" |, y8 V4 P
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly F& @/ g/ B" V$ f0 S5 }# f# ^
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal B6 g* Q7 d( x. `
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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+ A, Y6 d& F' M @: d0 SThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& i+ P" X" ~! y0 l6 ^2 Qstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
9 s& ^4 c& R$ H6 k/ D# T4 e# m8 xUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness4 m0 [! O# S$ C" b# N* U
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
& S5 b0 v4 T: K* f. ~In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal8 A: b; I5 ~. u- V+ ]: Q, h
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the* T* [2 a! R$ K
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
7 G# `9 A2 d/ _. G2 O4 bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an& g2 I: ]* H( R+ b
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
* M- s3 q8 r1 H5 r. w* s4 b# Vspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
( @ ]. o7 {% T4 H' _7 j2 e" J, ^prices and some tightening of financial conditions.: w: a& F1 ?% { I) C2 h: n
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" Y4 i7 C3 k* M9 N/ t& q! ~+ Min the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
' i( D7 O+ I+ Z: Q3 IGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
% P8 M# k! T6 u; W2 X3 i) zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more5 ^9 a9 r, g* e7 v( q
balanced recovery.4 ]4 l' h9 D+ C0 p' q* j) O7 U: F
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 o4 S+ i1 c' e# p9 N5 y. M
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 e, M: m n( ]4 [4 f
supply.; |* Y, A$ d" K) S) X# R7 z
& c9 L D. Y% G+ FIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 M% s# k) t! gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ' `9 X/ e0 ` m4 t8 N' o/ ~/ ~
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the T3 d) U7 u! b! M, \
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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8 p: N0 R1 ?5 h3 g5 J0 {0 O3 lGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary: R2 v6 f/ O% \0 p
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
) Q2 @- F E* a* K7 P; Zdevelopments.
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0 g) n9 {! G1 d, Q! e2 N0 P1 y$ m gInformation note:
, i$ G# v# k0 W5 E" J2 B8 tThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update, U$ r- o8 m1 W5 H b4 |) v
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 l' w4 c$ }! i( C
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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