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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight% d5 q" Z; R" q: b
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
8 Z3 B- f- B: n( _- traised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 m8 r5 J4 Z5 C. E7 a
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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/ }3 z; K% }9 L( x3 {The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with3 d S7 n# e' P3 M% v( n- S* B4 S
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
" |/ e) o# | f2 s tUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness& Y) u, E* g7 A! \# q: K+ G- S% l
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 u+ B0 L& U( z. B. RIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal; S' m' {/ y) H" E# w3 y& k: L
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 Q7 \6 H$ @" ^/ W3 T2 A4 Z1 vvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
# x6 c) I: x6 A8 Sin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
+ ^0 l1 c6 L8 b0 k# c3 o! p; cimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% p1 s2 Z( R1 _2 I/ @8 pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity' t; \9 s }3 @$ W0 B0 i
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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# q: `8 M' J) V+ ]0 l/ c' QActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
% z2 T, ~* e5 q' Y! a/ @0 tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
x1 S$ z2 _2 D& RGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
+ @& v7 j8 n2 o6 y# _& @ qincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: k+ z$ p- @7 ]* S% K# Abalanced recovery.# X/ G$ \' a- P
- D/ U. c' i) ?3 WCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
8 D+ \7 X0 G l3 L8 N2 I% r3 h7 X; @the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 B) r( G; Y/ w* Qsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and! a1 u5 V( L# ]$ S0 s T7 A
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
- \9 ]2 F1 e; q" f! U% Fmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
# J; _3 I# P& @5 ~- Csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.$ Y2 D$ t0 t' u2 Y; `; F' ~1 z9 l
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
/ S1 @9 y, P( X5 Y5 ]stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic f% K& X K8 j8 Y
developments.
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7 C$ b/ Y5 z( D; WInformation note:$ \+ A; U3 k: t# C; m* G6 f
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
2 t% h/ [/ O6 `8 w& X# |' Uof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be! m( B7 c b$ |4 h$ g/ B8 H
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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