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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight" \+ n. P2 A# w; ^
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
$ ~+ Y! Q9 ^7 L! f# p7 eraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 M' S! b8 a$ w$ t
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.6 [% w6 C$ I |" J7 V( d
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
, b% s8 A$ `% w2 e2 Vstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the: h: h/ P' S5 I; a2 X+ G
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
5 t \- T# {. U% `' }( ]" uin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.: [! x' E1 M- p
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
0 ~: Q5 Z, s4 Z; a/ D$ \. Pstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
p3 f3 [9 i; \& t2 C* \- R& fvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
# B0 k k7 t8 V2 J. ]( Kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an7 N/ c" y% N9 Y
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
2 ?+ } q* Q5 p; Z$ ]) |) A6 sspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
4 U7 V( g; z; e1 R) J1 J# `prices and some tightening of financial conditions./ T& J7 J6 T4 [
, l4 s6 D! o4 ^& mActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
6 X/ _& V3 j. }# P! q' Win the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.2 O! [1 ]0 x4 a, c
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with3 I. u5 X4 ]" E: L) X
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more' U$ e; b; D& L* y; E
balanced recovery.! M/ S9 ^* n- J' I' l
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 A# y1 H7 l- sthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
- C6 V+ b8 S1 a! asupply.1 F8 P; h# i1 b- `
+ m# D' b2 L# Y, p0 v2 QIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and4 R: a: }" y9 e- T# n$ j
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ' m* \+ F: F. F
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 8 _0 a# A# s# q1 L: _
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 J3 A% `" L, I* t# \( L$ _' F s) t$ mstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic3 Q* O* }( N4 H# A) h
developments.
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Information note:
S! j0 C" G% g% Y$ h' GThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
9 l, B3 \6 [+ T- k# k: ?of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
0 h" c( S0 A& m/ \" F& m1 dpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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