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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its# H3 t! X& ?+ N; g
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is3 X6 n3 ~ v' C2 v6 ^4 I2 f
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
7 ^9 [. x V6 C4 Z# m9 a1 dchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
7 A) s5 T! J+ D' `/ J# vrecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from' A5 M2 A) q1 Y' c. h2 w& B
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could3 ^: D% }- k5 _
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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$ L- l& i' `7 B& N) j! d# [The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of) _6 E1 S4 n; X1 o
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are0 ?* l/ F: f4 X& u p
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.3 `+ ]+ g: R. y0 \: y+ G1 D
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
& Z, P; ~% V: ^financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
/ N% Y: W7 s/ T( A4 ]1 ]' }/ Wrecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
3 W6 ~/ ~+ E) A# H! cHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
+ u% U4 \- N9 _ [7 s9 A. @+ V# gof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity9 @# Y; X+ n D9 _6 e- U
performance.4 u" ^0 t3 C6 i7 X4 P' x/ i
) g# Y) n) w8 f( VWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
* q) L0 J; n) X: x$ s+ BBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the8 B/ ^# l2 E" ?2 s( @
considerable slack in the economy.% M* i9 [1 c- C3 j
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate( l6 { J5 w8 J4 L% z1 }
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the% A0 W+ q: |4 K( w5 V- @: h6 G$ R
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
0 S0 V- P, O3 h0 kreduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
3 g: \5 k5 S# |& Z) A. ^# IInformation note:
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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