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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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$ ]0 @) P- v8 o$ o* Q+ eSignature Market Roundup
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7 n9 L e% L) VEric Bushell
+ P( F$ Q/ h I0 J) DSenior Vice-President,! ]! f, s- g4 _; r1 g4 f
Portfolio Management
7 ?3 Q/ v# n; Y5 a( K4 @; Aand Chief Investment Officer& M$ u: E# j) }' I% i9 g+ C
( \7 {5 a# E6 C1 p自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets, `5 ~* g9 q8 G5 O5 Q! E
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
' ~- C# O! v+ {6 Wran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
: r7 B9 Y0 d: ~3 g# v$ c) P% JEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second" d1 Z& s0 }- X3 E' k
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
$ C/ G+ B0 Z! @# B- ?1 Vunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September% w! ~7 X1 i8 {! Y4 d
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
: [2 `# F7 u$ B) Bfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
% H# x1 {. I8 s: a. K) m" E5 Iand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
. m% Z! J( [6 w. l; `+ i l$ ]for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through/ a( y e$ ^2 j( R3 t0 D, `1 }. N- H, `
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond( s$ A- Y# V! [$ ]4 J! o
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened0 w: i' }: S* Z' y6 K( i
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
7 R5 n- @. C; V+ U+ K5 v5 |/ {7 Eneutral risk positioning. |
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