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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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[* T% @ L: z6 L" j P5 PSignature Market Roundup; {( D5 F4 a. b1 z" [# N
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Eric Bushell8 i) i3 W# \! ^6 I, d8 R( h) N7 O2 W
Senior Vice-President,/ h" v# R1 z' X P
Portfolio Management
% ]5 B5 c* Q" K% |; }, Y, cand Chief Investment Officer
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% F1 _6 ]: q' T4 U8 `8 V/ I- k& K, k自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets/ v6 e( X' Y5 W$ s" v" s: x1 I% c& q
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase. o: s4 [( y D' \' H6 E9 @
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the# T8 C$ ^+ W* t
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second& a$ w/ m+ K- X% `
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an& C0 Z P( _* l8 N0 I$ b6 }
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
2 y$ h+ z/ o7 K4 x3 e& R2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
# |+ y# j- i# F D% gfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
: P7 b9 Q# m8 q0 F( |- A$ Uand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
1 D1 o$ ?# b5 g/ Ifor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through0 K x8 v! C) w {% {
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
9 C( T' W0 O$ I% s: R4 cmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
& j! a2 I' B* l' T0 yuncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more( L9 G6 w8 W a) u5 ~! F, a/ l! b
neutral risk positioning. |
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