 鲜花( 3)  鸡蛋( 0)
|
本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 1 }6 y" j) l2 E* S
: q& m0 W+ L2 G+ Q- d, C4 B' b
Signature Market Roundup
% R8 j) b; \4 ~1 i
9 \: h, v/ |8 D& o1 S4 N
5 L# r( G# P5 d0 Q& o4 n6 _
Eric Bushell6 G& E7 a+ \, {; U
Senior Vice-President,6 |) X0 }: D8 E3 r2 x4 B
Portfolio Management7 h7 E5 ]+ M2 n& Q
and Chief Investment Officer
0 u4 @( t! o, H- V0 ^3 ]- k ?
6 F5 [, P% _$ ^自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
, k" n, B# [/ d& C$ ]5 u9 B* b( W1 u+ Z' z8 E
The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
9 F0 R! [0 v- N1 V7 Q" F- H. ymay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase* {( y" O7 H, K+ I- }- M: I4 ~
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
$ y) w7 [- w) k; ^3 M2 T; F5 g! c8 gEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second3 u5 k# T9 |1 e: S5 n
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an* S d5 ?( X. p7 B" C
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
3 i8 G8 z7 h, @- U6 c; j2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble. p- L5 G- l8 W# S' C5 i4 T8 J, C' ?
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit5 e l& S% h6 O+ J5 ~
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
$ ], x2 J/ z( j: j2 U8 l% Sfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
- z. B! j0 F; ~; DU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond% d2 F) ^/ F* x
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened1 @3 c) Z, I- P8 D
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more$ k2 Z6 |" V0 i- |' Y
neutral risk positioning. |
|