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REIN August news letter

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发表于 2006-8-25 08:35 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
NEW HOUSING PRICE INDEX...$ i9 B0 h& C% f% R

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* u! j1 J6 {5 K9 O% |; bThe New Housing Price Index, has just been released and it provides some very
* R/ u7 D! A2 j4 u  t) _4 E+ e* sinteresting insights, not only into where the market has moved, but where it
) l2 i* i! h, B" E4 qwill be going./ F* z( m; o. q6 }
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It proved, once again, the value of looking at fundamentals behind a market.! x8 H3 p4 \0 M! M# Y# H. R# S
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The New Housing Price Index is compiled by Statistics Canada and is used by
( `: Y5 N9 U+ J: P( s4 [sophisticated investors to see how much the market has moved, as well as an
$ y. i- o# B" E, jindicator of where re-sale home prices will be moving in the coming six months.
/ X0 v, S9 h% K# |- K0 lWe look at the ripple effect that new housing prices have on re-sale property
( L4 t1 f: Q! A% N! Z2 P+ n$ avalues and can extrapolate what direction re-sale prices will be moving and by
" g( _' [$ I# K& l/ b6 show much.
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For instance, for the last three years, we have told investors to avoid Windsor,
: ~( m! b& @, P1 e/ U" i' COntario as an investment area because the underlying fundamentals are not very
# j. B, t) q) ]strong.  This has been proven once again with the release of the latest( m: I2 V3 j% I4 N% {+ v
findings.  New Housing Prices have actually decreased by .5% during June 2005 -' e3 d% [, {+ J8 ~8 k
June 2006 proving that fundamental investing works in helping you pick the best
8 w) e, a( R" ~' smarkets and avoid the flat ones.   This .5% decrease should have little impact- o8 m9 ?) E0 }
on average re-sale values in the Windsor region.
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To contrast this, the fundamentals we discuss are so strong in Calgary that the+ q7 \( P9 i. Z: K+ x8 v0 C
market continues to be super heated.  With close to 3,000 net new people into
  e* Q6 ^) n" W  w, w' Q/ ?* k7 r/ kthe city every month, the property market just can't keep up.  That is why we5 |1 Y* j7 I. j! }+ u( m
saw the New Housing Price Index increase by 49.2% (June 2005 to June 2006). " K" l, p" f( Q4 U0 w4 q
This is great news for the future of re-sale values in the city as these+ s4 u' l% B( w$ k* |+ P" P1 @
increases will continue to ripple out into the market for at least the next six
; q# E" R2 i$ X* h) G" C9 W1 Bmonths.  
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Comparing these two regions is a great illustration of the value of not getting! o2 ]! W( m) [6 `8 G
caught in the 'emotional guessing game' by just focusing on the underlying# k8 [" l( G& k  j7 j6 Y
fundamentals.   It is sad to see those people who said in the last 2 years that
* l; b3 M; Q. ^' Sthe Alberta real estate market was over and they were going to sit back and wait
/ A/ o0 U7 x: \! u4 w# s' w2 ?until it drops.  Quite obviously, they have missed out on AMAZING gains, all7 U0 c! D3 |5 O* I+ V
because they didn't follow fundamentals, they just led with their emotions.0 o; O  E4 ~) _7 _+ h
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By the way, Edmonton's New Housing Price Index is up an amazing 28% so far (June
) n# W7 ?1 [7 R* W. F+ a2005 to June 2006), also great news./ d' F8 r2 G1 K3 B, ~; j% i0 y! B
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By comparison across the country, these are the numbers for June 2005 - June) o. r- n- H' H7 T9 o, Q7 m! G) N
2006 New Housing Price Index for:5 A' A5 W( H3 j7 l  }- s9 e: D% r
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Vancouver . . . . . . . .   +5.2%4 w/ l' A6 M+ O7 d' i7 p
Saskatoon . . . . . . . .  +8.5%' ?1 a$ E, X. z8 G$ F
London . . . . . . . . . . .  +3.0%4 Q' e+ g. h' ]5 ?
Hamilton . . . . . . . . . .  +4.9%
7 g; J7 v, r+ K) w0 F9 pSt. Catharines - Niagara . . . . +4.9%
% ?1 }; z- \* Q, l" nToronto and Oshawa . . . . . . . +3.2' i6 |' ^0 i! v( Q3 E$ M! _* b
Ottawa - Gatineau . . . . . . . . .  +3.1%9 e  g0 _7 U6 D5 Y+ @) d
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Fundamental investing ALWAYS makes you look like a genius - emotional investing) X/ Z' t; e% A
gives you quick highs, but also quick lows.  Well done on your focus!; C& Z6 X; X- y. o4 K

0 J: z: j3 h. E- J8 ~$ U# kAs the fundamentals have been showing all along, the Alberta market continues to  T4 h$ r" h8 b  _# [+ [
be strong, as in-migration and job creation continues to attract people from not
9 D2 J( Y' i  X# w- K1 h1 l/ R  eonly across Canada, but from around the world.  Our average wages are
7 S7 j$ H# s/ T2 l$ e. [: G0 }increasing, our population is increasing, our unemployment rate continues to& _" H% g* P# S2 w2 B7 b. ?6 H
drop and our GDP growth is slated to once again lead the country.
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Here are some very interesting facts that are helping to support the strong
+ Y' q8 A1 n6 z# p1 s% Gfundamentals:2 y/ @2 J& m8 @) K! x  y
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1. The Conference Board of Canada is forecasting strong economic growth in# W6 q9 |. G: z& P
Canada, with Alberta once again leading the way.  In fact, the projected growth
; }2 i6 u; w$ b3 R: s5 c! r6 jfor Alberta's economy is a staggering 6.6%.  (BC + 3.6%, Ontario + 2.5%), and) g. q1 ^2 ~2 ?) \- G* W
this is slated to occur even with the labour shortages we are witnessing.5 A, b( t0 r5 I$ m3 |, A; N6 c
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2.  People are discovering Canada as an investment center from all over the
6 @* S6 i8 U1 C: m3 e' `world.  Recently, there have been investors coming here from Asia, Australia,
/ x* h5 e+ w6 D9 T0 H$ Qthe US, UK and Europe.  In fact, if you review the world's press you will see1 w( K: `- o8 }  @. v. @
that Canada (with a focus on Alberta) is being discussed more frequently. 6 z! `* r+ |" `! O( @( S
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3.  Don Campbell has just returned from presenting our Canadian investment" c' |4 [# o, F0 x& t7 f
atmosphere (including Why Alberta - Why Now") to a group of major investors in
: D/ t: \: w" a# JDublin, Ireland, and the response was overwhelmingly positive.  In fact, after
* a3 X( t7 o8 f4 f! p" hDon presented the economic facts, many of these investors (who could invest
0 D" _- T" ]* F' ^/ G% Wanywhere in the world) have already booked their flights to here.  Once again/ Q0 A! J% l+ Q. k" d
proving that when the true numbers of our economy are presented (along with the
- Q1 {3 J8 u2 ]1 P0 \political stability of our country), there is no place in the world that can. @3 ^" @2 u" F* C3 U  G) Z6 ?) j
beat it for long term investment.7 s! I4 X; L; ?

2 W# D5 J# O( f# ?" d9 N* L4.  Job creation continues to be strong (with a small lull in June); definitely
( ^" O. }- m5 |  c" Ga sign of strong long-term fundamentals.  RBC has also been following the job% u$ {) r& B+ L+ s3 S& O
creation situation and here is what they are saying: (www.rbc.com/economics)
, I3 P; v5 a+ V5 N* ~"After generating a substantial 96,700 jobs in May, the largest such gain since. ~2 c: D# ?' j# o0 O6 v9 }6 j
January 2002, the economy lost a modest 4,600 jobs in June...
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) v0 R2 s# m# J  t7 X5 V9 [Strength in the Canadian economy contributed to a gain of 215,600 jobs in the2 [) v4 _, q- @! P" Y; Q9 t# }
first half of 2006, a feat not matched since the second half of 2002.  With the* F" o$ l! q5 p( e5 W  w+ Y
economy widely expected to grow at a more moderate pace in the second half of4 k3 N7 |5 ]& r3 F) R
the year on the back of slowing trade activity, this impressive showing may not
) Y, t$ R/ q/ ^& arepeat itself.  We expect that employment grew in July at a pace consistent with
* P" b5 f$ H2 r" Lits recent trend of 24,000 jobs a month. Assuming that the labour force grew at5 C  O7 W9 H  e8 A7 w4 e
its trend rate, a gain of 24,000 jobs will lead to a national unemployment rate
: R$ E/ J0 O: V* C- a- Fof 6.1%."  Overall very good news.  Now the key is to ensure that the region in0 }8 [4 D* ^4 x+ P$ w4 q- d
which you are investing is continuing to generate jobs and increasing incomes.# Y. b6 d' A( J, m  u% a' G

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In other words, it is a great time to be taking advantage of this strong7 J4 W/ e" G- x' q% q: K
economy, avoiding 'excuses' and to especially not listen to the uninformed4 c) B2 `3 t3 x. l' T. c3 |: ]
'dream stealers.'  As long as you stick with your game plan, you continue to do& h" ?1 I" n& t
your due diligence, and you remove emotions from the equation, you will see the# D; w8 v# }6 ]
opportunities that are right in front of you, right here in Alberta.  Let the" o) ]  K' @2 v& b' ~/ o  y/ S. C
'dream stealers' call you 'lucky' 5 years from now as your net worth has soared8 X/ G2 d+ U& I& m: p
and your financial freedom has surpassed even your wildest expectations.
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$ p# o4 Y) g# X- ]/ b  Q9 T, WCapital Gains Comparison.* n" f7 b( u4 B2 D" k
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KPMG has recently released a comparison of the true Top Federal and Provincial: L6 ^* U2 R; [0 p3 _
Marginal Capital Gains Tax Rates per province.  It is very interesting to see( |2 p6 e6 c! p  X+ A7 S1 I
how these will affect your exit strategy.  Here are the numbers:
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BC . . . . . . . .  21.9%8 M# Z6 D& X: v  h% L4 B* L
AB . . . . . . . .  19.5%& j; |- a$ V, ?) d/ j! k" h
SK . . . . . . . .  22.0%
2 }1 ~% E  Z/ W6 w$ r, zMB . . . . . . . .  23.2%1 c) n1 Y1 S, K% h  S9 N
ON . . . . . . . .  23.2%
, r) F4 Y7 \7 F2 p& kQC . . . . . . . .  24.1%
6 q4 H$ Y- b' I% D) M; ^1 LNB . . . . . . . .  23.4%; d0 ~2 N" W/ ~; U6 B" X" t
NS . . . . . . . .  24.1%
) {! l' N+ p7 z9 |9 dPE . . . . . . . .  23.7%% A$ u& E4 F; Y. y2 Y" `5 `
NF . . . . . . . .  24.3%
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Lower capital gains tax increases investment and stimulates the long term8 J* T" _. r' K' q) g- f
economy of the province.  It also allows real estate investors to keep more of7 B8 ~0 t% `9 T, D6 e2 v9 w3 ?7 ]8 L: r
their profits at exit time.  Always a good number to pay attention to.
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# ~: m, {( b4 g7 |/ D# @" ^Overall, by staying focused for the next short period of time, you have the/ W5 }' ?  E5 A1 W$ W& N  T( ?
opportunity to create financial freedom of which others can only dream.  Of
  G$ @: V  j6 B5 X: W9 Z) M5 rcourse, the key word is focus.  And with an August line-up of 'Members Only'
0 [: z" I/ u! R4 Y( ]2 t$ Uevents like this, you can't help to become a real estate investment champion
+ O7 K4 h$ k  b) v/ O7 Ewhen you take action as a full REIN Member.* m3 p" e6 n. d* z2 U6 [% s9 ?

' R4 B4 N' Q8 z% lFocus on the fundamentals, keep emotions out of your decisions, and enjoy the* q: A; S# h, S# ~( e
results in just a few short years.
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发表于 2006-8-25 09:26 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 屯民 于 2006-8-25 08:35 发表, z4 R# l  u5 u3 M& R6 Z; ?2 f  C
NEW HOUSING PRICE INDEX...
/ I0 j8 Q1 D! U; x' y% r/ X: a3 b9 ]/ V4 ]0 f% x- p6 [5 f# i

9 q: v* u% ?1 Q& {% A; O8 U9 r/ I, D- n6 @9 fThe New Housing Price Index, has just been released and it provides some very
' i* m9 O! L# T2 t0 z' M% l" j% zinteresting insights, not only into where the market has moved, but where it9 B7 }* z+ _7 {' x7 J. M
will be  ...

% k9 ]9 y( U+ s( n+ l4 n. u: l7 p% I
谢谢分享,你买了他们的membership吗?可以给我多发点文章吗?如果值得我也想加入。
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 楼主| 发表于 2006-8-25 10:45 | 显示全部楼层
Yes, I am member.  Below is an old one but I think it is very good.
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, w8 v' T: Z# k  M4 A  ahttp://www.albertarein.com/insid ... le&articleid=49
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You can also go to their web site to get more info. Here is the link." B8 B* @, @2 p

) \6 P) h* ?  O, a+ ^, U# hhttp://www.albertarein.com/index.asp
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发表于 2006-8-25 11:17 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
嘿,炒访团来了哈!
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 楼主| 发表于 2006-8-25 11:27 | 显示全部楼层
You are one of the biggest 炒家 I knew.
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发表于 2006-8-25 12:00 | 显示全部楼层
很象国内的股评.
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(3)
发表于 2006-8-25 18:21 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
看吧,每个月才3000人,一年人口才增加4万人,仅仅占全市总人口的4%,房子半年涨了50%,这就是我说的房价水分(虚涨)。所以,降价是谁也挡不住的。' O/ ?, c7 N  R: A
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***醉酒认为,合理房价上涨=4%/年(人口)+8%/年(自然增长)+10%(经济前景)=22%/年就够多了。所以炒作因素引起增长 = 45%-22% = 23%,所以,降价空间很大,等等吧****
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原帖由 屯民 于 2006-8-25 08:35 发表3 h' f) i9 c. Y: T6 ~
NEW HOUSING PRICE INDEX...
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& ~4 {1 C8 `% S# ?+ p
With close to 3,000 net new people into
- ], Q) t3 m( f$ ^) Athe city every month, the property market just can't keep up.  That is why we( t: y: F3 `; f. k4 j$ }& j% _
saw the New Housing Price Index ...

0 ?. ~. z" s+ M$ t2 s, Q: u[ 本帖最后由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-8-25 18:44 编辑 ]
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