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原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-8-30 23:05 发表" H) W. S7 ~6 d3 \5 t1 X! [
现在每一个月来3000人,每年人口才增长4%.房价半年内长了50%.
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" O8 ~+ K g' m8 ~. oHere I would say you might be making a mistake. The house price is not proportionally related to population in that city. 8 v6 t' n( e5 ~! Y' r9 V
$ i5 D/ x# ]) R h0 U1 w' T% yFor example, if here only 5 houses in market, but 6 families really need housing, the price might get so high that the last one would not afford it, or the last one prefer renting a place somewhere if rental be more affordable for him. This $ number might be the sale price3 a' `% p/ g* L; X+ `3 h; J* b
6 s# J* z! L3 \4 h8 qSo, even 1% population increasing may cause 200% housing price jump up, subject to rental, income and affordability.4 h; D$ I0 r. y" m8 P1 |
2 y1 \( ~5 ]& z( Y$ i/ _: b4 I$ J bPlease be carefull when we use any numbers when talking the housing market, that is also the main reason why we generally use a statistical data rather than a number conducted from any formula. |
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