 鲜花( 88)  鸡蛋( 0)
|
楼主 |
发表于 2015-9-11 09:37
|
显示全部楼层
3 f5 e5 ?: \! ]. D3 [. lBy Barani Krishnan
7 X6 e* A+ m7 b/ C% W. X7 t
, o5 x! ~ a% N* K; bNEW YORK (Reuters) - Crude futures fell on Friday after Wall Street's most influential voice in oil trading, Goldman Sachs, slashed its price outlook through next year, citing oversupply and concerns about China's economy.
- v. j) y8 ]$ e {0 P; `& y! }+ f8 |8 z8 E+ W% O
Joining Germany's Commerzbank and a long list of other banks in cutting price projections, Goldman lowered its 2016 forecast for U.S. crude to $45 a barrel from $57 previously, and Brent to $49.50 from $62.
' |& ^4 i. N" W; C" I) ~
$ t a7 y" y9 h) k' ~( E"The oil market is even more oversupplied than we had expected and we forecast this surplus to persist in 2016," Goldman said in a note entitled "Lower for even longer".4 U) T0 w2 S1 P
5 ?6 q! d: t" S0 b( o/ m# p9 j
Citing "operational stress" as a growing downside risk to its forecast, Goldman said crude could fall further to near $20 a barrel. "While not our base case, the potential for oil prices to fall to such levels ... is becoming greater as
9 T# U" T# L9 W1 I! N$ Q
" ~* b$ a3 B* k9 estorage continues to fill."
Z+ {6 w# H( j3 [
- x/ l6 D- x# |. d8 f$ e \U.S. crude futures' front-month contract <CLc1> was down $1, or 2.2 percent, at $44.92 a barrel by 11:54 a.m. EDT.! c# `9 V7 R. Y8 O; L6 [
1 `: r: S0 s4 D# AThe front-month in Brent <LCOc1>, the global benchmark for oil, was off 70 cents, or 1.3 percent, at $48.19.
0 y$ q" W% w+ O" D
9 _7 O9 O f* a( [6 H% m6 G _Both crude benchmarks had fallen about 3 percent, before paring loses with stocks on Wall Street. The U.S. stocks have provided direction to oil over the last two weeks as investors grappled with mixed fundamentals for crude.
7 ]" y" n" R, h* \
0 T6 R" N4 n+ PThe oil market is waiting next for a weekly reading of the U.S. oil rig count, due at 1:00 p.m. ET. The data will show for whether oil producers were cutting back on drilling as prices head lower again after a brief rebound in the second quarter.
7 F% J; z: ?% W+ }* T$ s' p( V# R$ t
Crude prices have more than halved over the past year, with Brent tumbling from nearly $120 a barrel in the middle of 2014 to below $43 last month. Prices collapsed as a global glut of crude pushed commercial and government inventories to all-time highs." v4 g$ `4 W* z
; g/ h2 w% h+ x( B8 B# yAnalysts say the market is rebalancing, but high stocks will keep weighing on prices into next year.
8 ~* N" h% T1 d) c+ b. _' v$ }& K, m% g, n0 `
Germany's Commerzbank said Brent was likely to trade at $55 by the end of 2015, and around $65 by end-2016.0 _! v. K, l' @9 V
; i% ~5 b* S( ]" hInvestors shrugged off a report from the Paris-based International Energy Agency, which advises the world's biggest economies on energy policy. The IEA said a move by the world's big oil exporters in OPEC, led by Saudi Arabia, to defend their market share by not reducing production, appeared to be working.
+ R7 |. {8 m) D% U d: [% F- Y& ]+ p3 F. h' s/ J: |: a- t* ?
(Additional reporting by Lisa Barrington and Christopher Johnson in London and Meeyoung Cho in Seoul; Editing by Nick Zieminski and David Gregorio) |
|
楼主: jeffyu1988
狗仔卡
发表于 2015-9-2 16:23
显身卡
发表于 2015-9-3 06:44
，向你学习，什么融入主流，那才是水中月，镜中花，不自量力
