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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.5 y9 ^# M* X. Y
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
- G# v2 r1 Y* E/ J% sIf we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits., N) c( a' B, ]6 [
TD can give you 4.2%.
1 L- a+ G# q0 a& b9 _, Y5 }, PBMO can give you 4.3%.
* f* n2 n) O3 ~9 Z! n* B" K( @RBC can give you 4.0%.5 {! @( v! e1 r3 O1 {0 x. w
(Roughly)
; T# f ]0 A/ {8 N/ T, BIf the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%. b7 H6 w! K* U: v3 K& \, Z! y# ~
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.+ }$ R9 i- E+ ?4 |% Z2 b! I4 U
Also, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
2 E+ N0 I8 e5 JFrom the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.3 I& v7 [0 d, @& g! _
Rough calculation:! \0 r w- G- Q; F
Right now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03
7 d' s9 v4 H. T% O: }: v& @Buy 10000 US cost you 105000
/ X) L2 \4 G: b! M+ ^) @) WDeposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000# U# _3 r- v, K ], m
If US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.$ y4 {" Q4 J+ s/ w$ G6 X0 S9 e
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.
, `2 g" |1 p* I3 KI am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself., o( T' i, W1 R* \$ @* g2 g
But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.+ _5 g+ M3 ^+ O+ ^) p
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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