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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.' s2 p& ?$ }2 s8 a7 c( @5 [0 M; A
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet./ J( _# U2 {! Y* ^
If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.
q& Q- z- d+ u' gTD can give you 4.2%.) W0 N# o! p/ m ~2 M! n
BMO can give you 4.3%.
4 h3 r, R1 v* Y! |- eRBC can give you 4.0%.
4 e* b0 X5 s/ T7 t" u(Roughly)! j( A: C. y, ~4 R3 ` }
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%. [) s1 ]' b, ~2 v* g
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors. D @' L) Z5 i5 u8 V7 o2 j9 J
Also, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.0 G' x" e9 g- C8 F! C; T
From the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
5 o' E+ x0 O% J( [2 Y5 g: hRough calculation:4 }' l9 e2 E: Z! h+ U6 n
Right now, US vs CAD: 1:1.031 M" R" `* I! O4 m
Buy 10000 US cost you 105000/ U2 U0 k9 E+ N' [* f: T: d
Deposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 1040004 }' W" [3 B# |6 r2 H1 }
If US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.0 N4 ?5 G% m5 I- p$ I, l$ b* f5 d" U
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.2 a; B! ?7 {6 X& j$ f" a+ b) s0 s d
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.
0 E9 p1 i5 B7 |1 d& mBut, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.# q0 n1 y1 N7 \4 r
1 t7 y* {2 h4 xAll above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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