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Oilsands an emerging global growth star, m% m) g$ D: h8 J) _
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030' r- y# |* B3 y+ |
Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
. w( c, N! B8 `! k. uPublished: 2:37 am
$ \- O; M( Q$ q1 u. Y" nEDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.
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& m. b4 J+ _# }4 A5 x2 R9 eOilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen./ i$ H) G2 i# B* x
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9 [& i. H* f( v1 {% d4 K6 JGasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.
6 m& M" C8 W& y4 K$ E, mLarry Wong, The Journal
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
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6 E1 t; i, {+ q3 }! o/ ?! OExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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3 _" e# Z" ?: \+ ZOutput from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.% m- h5 q2 H! F) ~7 z) o
9 B8 I! a( h2 a( Q9 ?While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.4 r: D; Y% ?; d- R& P# C% f, c4 c
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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