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Oilsands an emerging global growth star, F) W" v1 r) ^
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030) Z( H1 `. Y0 C, Z$ l e
Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
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EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.0 g7 D @" E" ?8 n- N C. }
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Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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6 W1 F6 H$ x) r7 R' I% l3 ROil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.4 p& X- l( x! L! ^1 D
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.
$ f: C9 s8 j% l+ B$ S* Y& yLarry Wong, The Journal
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+ h6 M2 d, `! l) ]5 v! C$ R9 h1 ?Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates." i* K( _! z" X- \' d
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ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field." @( j; q' Q3 S. Z
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Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.) P, w- ]' q3 Z, u( k
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While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.
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" t+ T+ X7 i6 v+ @7 ~ m4 pWhen the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
