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Oilsands an emerging global growth star* K" e) u6 i& x2 ^0 ]! H& \
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
' @/ R- T' y7 k" wGordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
' t; w' }3 h& L* cPublished: 2:37 am
: a& U ?" p* Y: G& O3 GEDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.
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( `0 L4 v2 I+ F0 mOilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.
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# I: ]6 S: I4 ]) [ View Larger Image
8 u) B, A3 s0 AGasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.+ U$ Q5 i, c' W. V
Larry Wong, The Journal7 M0 B- {) _* ?. F5 D
f# ~- ]9 F }) ~Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.% ~3 b/ \ ]0 R
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ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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* T# r n* z! ~1 }& nOutput from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.
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2 z. U! X+ f: f- E8 [5 L5 ]While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
