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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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) j- P, ]8 S- A' O8 {, u2 \% bThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. * N( ?" e! W% p3 m# X9 C
1 x9 O+ F* D4 Z0 U! J, ^; x' `6 SThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 9 {6 E$ J. a$ [$ ?
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.$ ?' R$ e* ~$ c# E' W% r
1 n6 N2 N- A8 n; C2 sIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.' V) R1 Z. [/ J# S8 L! s
/ O% `8 M% e7 Q( u& D4 D"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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; l* o9 a* K* c' e; bThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 5 [1 y* D8 L5 r0 N
& V* P) _; [3 N2 A% s t# rThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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