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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. & ^( i+ T! C* N$ u x0 c2 h; N6 l3 d7 N& a
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 7 t" s) c2 j1 U7 }5 h( K+ u
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 6 \! z9 T: X( n( H [- q7 ^( c
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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5 Y7 \$ C- U" |" ^5 `It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 2 H: n! I" R& T' |# C
& c, i# T. `, M) T$ L. F! g; JHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." 2 N: P/ d/ _- j l5 G( k4 ]# X
; E0 ^. I; a- Z7 K% j7 u+ {2 f" x- K* lIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. + @ J0 O+ ?4 m: z. M5 p
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 7 G- Z, g9 J! o
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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; \# |' l& }* G& z, K. }CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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