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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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& r/ o1 t( g4 ~4 U, MThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. , Y1 _6 Y5 L# l+ V/ t3 z6 ?1 M. Z
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. % ~. f" v( u* G/ V$ P/ a/ s5 g
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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# r% R# m" C; H% k5 s"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. * B2 V& R. A E4 U, Z
2 c) t. y6 q8 |- n# ]; fHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." * ?( u- }6 _7 U0 ?) K, ]
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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' ?! L& ?* X `- E s) nThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 0 c; v4 f7 h% M" k" j# I \: Y4 F
/ R2 D; p) {, e$ ? g" e) y0 lThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.: o# Z# k! P1 X" t% }
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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