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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. " f8 A1 w2 Q' ?8 C; t _
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. / x, H+ y+ ~; f) y
9 `1 W/ z* \1 O/ @Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.: r* }2 {* K; _, C) T5 v1 u+ M
`5 S; \" E: z) v( v6 L. i6 x/ A$ gIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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- e4 v0 j9 ?6 i5 Q# vHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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, L0 G" V' t6 {It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. ) x4 d v$ T8 [) x+ `
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. / A" n# ?/ M( U0 N- i1 k1 Q
8 T+ c0 V( I% d5 ~( tThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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