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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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+ A9 k7 |# P. {& ?* ?% e. wThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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; ~, J; q ?5 |* t. ~4 r- v5 n7 cThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 7 B6 [* ^0 n& \. n2 I
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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" B9 v7 w. c% |# G; S" OIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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+ {% ~( J4 \/ e"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. , K) x3 Y9 n" D+ X2 K0 X
! p2 F; [5 V4 B' L6 r: uHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." / W" ~4 q# b8 N4 L6 C4 o& Z
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. ) ?4 O; q% G) @0 b3 U. A3 J
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 1 R9 }4 H) f6 [! X+ W) M
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.; r F; d& f9 G+ D' N
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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