 鲜花( 4348)  鸡蛋( 18)
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发表于 2009-5-21 17:17
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本帖最后由 紫光 于 2009-5-21 18:18 编辑
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0 `# l @7 t$ W& C2 ]& d" P" h! H% `我在85楼说过，澳元可能最终测试0.7930-40位置。刚才专家贴出来的推荐交易和我的看法一样，如果这种可能存在，澳元/日元的单就有些危险。因为如果美元/日元跌，澳元/美元涨，那么交叉盘就是一种小空间内的拉锯状态。交易交叉盘最好的结果是其他两个币种同一方向，次之一个品种小范围波动，另一个大幅运动。+ [8 _0 R) l0 R/ u- ~. B
总之现在的情况就有点拉锯的意思，因此现在73.30平所有澳元/日元仓位，如果能够回到我刚才的位置可以再考虑卖出。
p5 ]- k' x# k& y) {: a这是专家的推荐情况：
" `4 e X z4 `Thursday, May 21, 2009 - 6:44 PM EST Just back from the webinar that had an amazing amount of participants. Aside from a few audio issues, the response was very good. If you missed, not to worry, I'll be doing many more in the future. ! H$ N% o! ~5 P6 |
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Bond yields and commodities are higher as equities, treasuries, and the dollar is lower based on a possible downgrade of US credit rating, as well as the outlook for stagflation in the future. The dollar is lower but fast approaching that USDX 80.00 support level we have been eyeing for sometime. Despite what we think we know about the fundamentals, we know in reality that the dollar is moving into support and buyers are likely to come to market.
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We have been watching this 0.7900-0.8000 resistance level in AUDUSD, and now seem to be setting up for a week-ending test. A final 5thwave push up would cap wave 5-of-C of the ending B-wave flat. The Fib resistance zone ranges from 0.7892 to 0.7930.
# x* J3 d5 c( g; qMoving down to a lower time frame to get better perspective, the 180 min chart is enough to show the structure of the blue, underlined wave 5. I am counting it out in purple waves .1-.4, with wave .5 yet to complete. A few more Fib calculations of this 5-wave structure gives us 2 more Fib resistance levels of 0.7916 and 0.7918 to further fortify our resistance zone. I am going to take a swipe at this resistance zone tonight. I am offering 1 unit at 0.7890 and 1 unit at 0.7915 with stop losses for both at 0.7950. Take profits for the first unit is 0.7475. Then, I am going to offer 1 more unit at 0.7915 with a stop loss way up there at 0.8015. Back tomorrow. TG. |
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楼主: 紫光
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发表于 2009-5-20 14:39
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