油沙公司正进行低调扩张来降低成本

tradesman

Fort Sask. upgrade 近期开工。

- O9 P2 K# g; [# T2 j) H本油砂公司2期全面开工，3期4期审批通过，大量2期OPERATOR接受培训。但舆论却保存低调，打压有工会的建筑公司。边远地区建设的高成本不得不使油砂公司改变战略。

zsm2002

YZSUNNY

yug55

慢慢会好起来的

newtoedmonton

黄盖

好!就等这一天呢!

yxia

  `$ R8 c4 q* T( ]" F) B3 c8 o
4 x* K6 {1 B! ^+ f3 p5 I/ a/ D不是舆论保存低调，也不是有工会的建筑公司打压和边远地区建设的高成本使油砂公司改变战略， 下面这篇文章说出真正的原因：
% m  Y0 Q( ^+ c2 O; |0 t* q
Developing oil sands to become even more costly: CERI
5 M! H& E& ~" e) M+ q- ]Claudia Cattaneo, Financial Post  
8 q6 X0 D+ g+ r7 CPublished: Tuesday, May 12, 2009

( I3 w4 u0 F7 A2 z6 lEven as oil briefly crossed above US$60 a barrel Tuesday, what's becoming increasingly clear is that Canada's oil sands won't be the Holy Grail everyone expected to meet the energy supply needs of the future.

6 D: `! S& Y% P/ U# t, _As shown in a report Tuesday by the Canadian Energy Research Institute, the cost of complying with climate-change legislation that is being aggressively pushed in the United States will make Canada's oil sands, already the world's most expensive to develop, even more costly.
0 r( m, N; I8 H3 [
* a6 D6 P' }: AIt will probably also make them the world's most regulated.

CERI, an independent research organization funded by Canadian industry and governments, said oil prices would have to climb as high as US$105 a barrel to pay for the cost of integrating technologies so greenhouse-gas emissions from the oil sands are comparable to those of conventional oil.

And this would not be an overnight solution. The technologies, ranging from widespread adoption of carbon capture and storage for plants using natural gas as a power source, to replacing natural gas with gasification or nuclear technologies, would take some two decades to implement fully. Newer technologies would take even longer.
5 v  |' r5 o. b" a& f
& i& {: y; `7 G4 g; m9 k5 N( K8 dWith many oil-sands projects already delayed or cancelled as a result of the oil-price collapse and tighter credit, the new legislation "is going to squeeze out even more projects," said study co-author David McColl, research director at CERI. "[The oil sands are] not going to be the big boom that everyone thought it was."
$ q+ w* ]) U2 g! }! C3 }# ^
Less oil from the oil sands means a smaller cushion to soften the next global supply crunch, which is inevitable once the world economy recovers because of widespread project cancellations that took place around the world in the past year.

CERI estimates that during the next five to six years, capacity growth in the oil sands will be 15% to 40% lower than expected.

' H9 [& N, b1 V# aIn fact, CERI predicts there will be no production growth until 2013, with the deposits eventually yielding 3.5 million barrels a day by 2030, rather than the five or six million barrels a day that had been talked about.

6 `* ^5 n6 N: r2 r5 `- L+ GEstablished operators will likely push forward and may even benefit from the coming crunch that will lead to higher oil prices, but new developers may give their oil-sands strategy a sober second thought.
: ]' J# ?9 M+ ]9 {+ {' N4 V
1 a. |# `% h, eConsumers should not expect a free ride. Higher oil costs will mean higher prices at the pumps. To put it in perspective, the last time the price of oil was about US$105-a-barrel was at the end of September, 2008, which translated into an average gasoline price in Canada of about $1.215 per litre, according to MJ Ervin & Associates, a firm that monitors gasoline prices.
# W  T; K: Z. j. Y
Support from Canadian governments, similar to the $2-billion already pledged by the Alberta government to get a handful of projects off the ground, will be unavoidable. Moving to widespread adoption of carbon capture and storage will cost tens of billions of dollars and involve aggressive construction of new pipeline infrastructure. Those are billions that won't be available for such programs as health care and education, nor to boost energy supplies so they are affordable.

tradesman

楼上好引证。
0 f& O8 s7 S9 ]; _2 z' a
* m+ ]8 [! T% s( [事实上油砂厂建成后运行成本并不高。天然气价格低迷，以及油砂矿多与气矿共生相邻，能源成本低。探矿成本远低于石油。但建筑成本非常高。大跃进式的建设抹去了本有的利润。
4 t: a' L2 }# K5 m0 R9 I1 C
捉碳是政治舆论远超于现实的主题，是非资源经济想分羹资源经济的最好武器。全球变暖早在两百年前就开始。就是人类停止烧碳，也不能改变这趋势。

爱网观察员

8# tradesman

edmonton-fish

楼上好引证。

  t8 @2 T1 s4 p9 x9 Z! d事实上油砂厂建成后运行成本并不高。天然气价格低迷，以及油砂矿多与气矿共生相邻，能源成本低。探矿成本远低于石油。但建筑成本非常高。大跃进式的建设抹去了本有的利润。
3 E$ A0 Z' n0 |9 m2 p) L& p5 T. v
3 b/ h+ B2 L2 e7 _捉碳是政治舆论远超于 ...
tradesman 发表于 2009-5-23 21:01

同意!!!