大家新年好，1月4日的推荐

紫光 · 发表于 2010-1-4 08:15

加元 Pivot: 1.036
Our preference: Long positions above 1.036 with targets @ 1.045 & 1.0475 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.036 look for further downside with 1.0315 & 1.0265 as targets.
Comment: the RSI has just landed on a support around 30% and is reversing up.
澳元 Pivot: 0.9105
Our preference: Short positions below 0.9105 with targets @ 0.9 & 0.8945 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.9105 look for further upside with 0.913 & 0.9175 as targets.
Comment: even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
欧元 Pivot: 1.445
Our preference: Short positions below 1.445 with targets @ 1.4365 & 1.4325 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.445 look for further upside with 1.45 & 1.4525 as targets.
Comment: the RSI lacks upward momentumn, the pair remains below its strong resistance and should face a weakness.
英镑 Pivot: 1.625
Our preference: Short positions below 1.625 with targets @ 1.61 & 1.605 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.625 look for further upside with 1.63 & 1.635 as targets.
Comment: the pair has struck against its resistance and should face a weakness as the RSI is turning down.
欧日 Pivot: 133
Our preference: Long positions above 133 with targets @ 134 & 134.4 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 133 look for further downside with 132.75 & 132.35 as targets.
Comment: the pair is on the upside and is breaking above its resistance.
日元 Pivot: 92.45
Our preference: Long positions above 92.45 with targets @ 93.2 & 93.5 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 92.45 look for further downside with 91.9 & 91.6 as targets.
Comment: the pair should rebound on its support as the RSI is turning up.

末底改 · 发表于 2010-1-4 11:18

狠好.

紫光 · 发表于 2010-1-4 21:41

1月4号下午
Pivot: 1.0345
Our preference: Long positions above 1.0345 with targets @ 1.0445 & 1.0475 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.0345 look for further downside with 1.0315 & 1.0265 as targets.
Comment: the RSI lacks downward momentum.
Pivot: 0.9155
Our preference: Short positions below 0.9155 with targets @ 0.904 & 0.901 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.9155 look for further upside with 0.9185 & 0.923 as targets.
Comment: the RSI is overbought and is reversing down.
Pivot: 1.4465
Our preference: Short positions below 1.4465 with targets @ 1.4375 & 1.4325 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.4465 look for further upside with 1.45 & 1.4525 as targets.
Comment: the RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.
Pivot: 1.615
Our preference: Short positions below 1.615 with targets @ 1.6065 & 1.602 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.615 look for further upside with 1.62 & 1.624 as targets.
Comment: the RSI is badly directed.
Pivot: 133.85
Our preference: Short positions below 133.85 with targets @ 133.1 & 132.6 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 133.85 look for further upside with 134.4 & 135 as targets.
Comment: the RSI lacks upward momentum.
Pivot: 92.95
Our preference: Short positions below 92.95 with targets @ 92.25 & 91.9 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 92.95 look for further upside with 93.2 & 93.5 as targets.
Comment: the RSI has just banged against its neutrality area at 50% and is reversing down.

紫光 · 发表于 2010-1-4 21:51

本帖最后由紫光于 2010-1-4 21:52 编辑

我推荐加元，目前位置买入，止损低于1.0350；1.0300买入，止损低于1.0250。总共不到100点的风险。
目标位置最小1.0550。如果突破1.0550可以考虑加仓，因为双底得到确认，应该有大幅继续上升的空间1.0750-1.08甚至1.11-1.12。
以前的帖子里说过，加元会在1.03-1.08之间震荡一段时间，这一轮震荡应该快要结束了。

紫光 · 发表于 2010-1-5 10:30

本帖最后由紫光于 2010-1-5 10:37 编辑

经过昨天晚上和今天早上的震荡，加元看起来现在突破1.0410非常困难，安全起见建议目前位置平仓。
另一个证据是有两对货币在日图上已经明显突破。但是今天的数据混合，房屋差，大汽车销售商好，估计震荡将要继续。
个人建议在1.5990买入英镑，用非常紧的止损尝试一下，因为谣传这里有大量买单。而且从日图上看目前在回抽确认。

紫光 · 发表于 2010-1-5 10:51

一般执行一个交易需要三个理由，最后一个在这里，0.618黄金分割支撑位。

紫光 · 发表于 2010-1-5 13:11

英镑在0.618位置显示了良好的支撑。英镑交叉盘也为英镑提供了支持。

smallhill · 发表于 2010-1-5 18:41

紫版又开始上班了，支持。

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