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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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1 k# T- {. z P+ rOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
1 q. c$ C7 W/ ?0 ]/ m# Zrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
( r( f$ x2 X7 a+ O# x3 W2 kraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
+ y/ o) G; |+ v- S$ o- Q e2 zoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.# J% o+ `! S1 S' O
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
8 D1 k: s2 y8 m4 y5 k1 M+ Tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! X" `5 u7 K+ y2 R/ P* J8 QUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
; v$ _! m% u, S O* ^. Pin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( w0 h( N5 y! _5 }& v$ vIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
$ N; S! }) s* I. }2 X* s$ ]stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
/ E" t+ e* N. x* Pvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
% m& o7 X( Z9 cin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
& r8 O g) U3 }* _0 }important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the( T* `2 E9 G* @" V3 l! Y
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity6 M6 i, ~( ^/ [8 Z- N# E1 q, i9 n0 f
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.3 T) z( Z X4 |* n& ]$ }! h3 @
7 |0 n* h" R# N: X0 L: s- NActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent1 A+ l q3 P) j2 z! Y; l4 @1 a
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.; Q$ E& T- ]* H
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with% G$ f% }5 m7 r9 o) b& c8 S: f
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 }0 ^6 e+ A, a1 f0 \9 Xbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# B) ? P3 C6 ?' K5 J fthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ z* ]' O+ ^5 Y" h8 f5 M0 x
supply.( m1 Z g7 M5 Z3 o @
% X" \7 F4 V/ J3 XIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
+ Z. ^" f1 @5 d/ }$ z- G: Tto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
+ G. C2 Y/ e* J% L+ q6 D6 M9 Wmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 7 f$ h v1 |% C8 `& A
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
/ C# v f, l0 n% l' T( Estimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic1 e* l, H! I# W9 R* P$ ~/ b6 F) t
developments.* E/ E" q# f$ E9 T5 M
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Information note:
( w: N) Z" u( D, _, t4 LThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update: V+ y( c' t, e/ r/ i
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be9 y2 o& y) B) Y+ ^+ v4 Q) C: F; A) ~
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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