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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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x$ Q2 T. m5 ~OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
# c3 |3 Q- N# d) P/ x" ]9 h+ D8 Nrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! F6 ?/ `: M/ hraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
d) {/ |. v2 N" c6 _ [) a+ J# {operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.1 r+ d; Z6 ~8 F
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 ~" a! l& r: @5 P3 ?
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the! |) V9 D4 d5 ]1 t' X* K& Y$ ~* W6 u$ b
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% ?) O( ~2 }- q2 I( t: Vin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 S5 U2 ?+ L" O. b! fIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal2 z1 M$ Z' ] S/ p b8 @$ Z
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
( i" }0 w& J @$ y rvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 k# Y% W, a0 \- m* f) u
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
' O, e( ]: U: _" |! Y7 gimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
7 k+ c/ P) j/ _spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
. P0 [/ g% b- Gprices and some tightening of financial conditions.* e, O& s. b( x
( ?; h1 E# ?# O& UActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
( V, I$ H% u2 ?in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- N- t7 n+ y9 P* M/ I0 ~# hGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- l) T/ d/ B8 A4 a% F
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more, Q2 v$ b/ {1 _/ C$ i2 Y& }
balanced recovery.
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% L$ ~7 z, U$ RCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects! N# r; g+ m+ f$ J
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
0 d, k1 Z8 H% Osupply.7 j9 D( Z5 [7 k& {5 I$ N! }
3 D$ I ^1 s, E, B' E/ a. XIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
2 O+ a1 q; s1 T$ i x$ Y5 v# qto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
~/ a* B! ~0 L6 a" p7 Fmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the - [- J$ n& y$ \
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
$ g4 \6 X! g. n1 Gstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic7 P! X4 n4 e0 l' K8 K
developments.
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- _* G2 J/ v4 u, I& |' HInformation note:
* z% m0 x! I% qThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 _9 h* q4 T6 j. u0 ~4 yof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
; A7 Z+ M* X7 I& G7 i, kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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