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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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, a. {7 w j+ J( G% [ o: U" X8 aOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight3 Z8 {+ r1 F& R* R5 h& f
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
" ~4 m. Q+ Y! b+ D0 \ R% \raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal8 b9 N1 j2 J! p; s! X' O& P
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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- V5 {4 W# B3 `' ~# `& a/ kThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with9 Z* M" K. d7 U: o4 z
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the& t. r0 K2 _6 g1 `1 i
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
/ N. f3 j/ A; Sin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% z6 s5 H: a/ J2 n7 L, ?In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
9 g; C$ \) E# Y* v/ vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
1 A! Z8 e+ j6 Zvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result A* Y! `: c4 r k0 i
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, [* S3 ]8 p+ ~
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the+ E+ L4 l$ {( Y
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity$ y( I9 |% T1 y0 c/ _
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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$ Y* \& ^3 \9 p- s0 j5 `4 P4 o6 RActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent) u2 t, i+ A# w% A+ \% b! x
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
7 p C; J9 m5 g. d( y( \0 xGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with' x* J; ~$ _+ j/ Z: Q0 h
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
% f, r3 ~, m8 H7 M2 ^( M+ fbalanced recovery.+ h y* W" K8 {! n$ l3 n
' n% D+ v& C" y+ V3 ]CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
) C3 d, x- E' h- z3 F6 B( xthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess! t. d' f/ ^+ v$ F9 ~. g8 B4 F
supply.3 ]# {2 u; k) K! d3 J
( `3 F4 t: e1 G8 p% Z: j5 D; z; zIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and9 {, E7 d. m/ Y# v
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
$ J* ^9 M& t2 J* s; Rmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
$ S K& _0 d; e$ n6 u- rsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.7 {- Q" w: H# k3 F# m$ z; [! `
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# Y$ Y1 x* M6 D: tstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
1 v, v7 J+ R5 S9 odevelopments.
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Information note:! O8 ?% e9 R* p+ H) |
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ ^$ E2 \5 T3 e; Q$ ?, G Qof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
$ R( N6 w3 M: r. Epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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