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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market- v9 E% {- [6 |
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
0 e6 z2 O* l8 Z8 |, lrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly6 q) ?: d9 ]2 U
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
4 `$ b/ G: V7 T8 [2 Voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
" @' ]. p E( B( ?* i' estrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ M5 y f9 }* ~" X1 p1 P' y. f& j
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness) r* F* ?8 l+ w4 B8 w( `
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.0 v8 d4 `2 `' X& N" C4 ?# n
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal; |# G. E, r1 o
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 K) V+ ^9 R. m, D. |+ W' Vvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
) `; b) X* N) k3 O+ v& oin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
2 `' J1 p8 k+ J, Cimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
: \# Y2 L9 t% E3 `3 ^+ h: L6 Espillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity8 k" d# ~) H1 |5 I' Q
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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4 e! N. k' X; {( W# `Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
# B, W" R% O+ I9 ]: Y8 C: vin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# V* n9 W9 d3 {2 u. P _7 h4 @
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with, e$ r$ Y5 j6 w( _- }0 u; I
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more: @5 J, n( j' f8 q2 n: R
balanced recovery. r9 d% J9 ?8 w2 ?2 H, `! T# H
- Y5 d- Y- ^% q4 J1 S% {9 FCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
/ Q3 D8 t: |% c* S7 _. mthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 \0 R) X4 r$ W) H6 }9 B1 ]; ]supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and$ O8 P6 ~1 z: M+ j+ t+ Q# h
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
4 M. t7 H2 ~3 @. D3 i* emonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 6 K! O" @) j' h, i
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
3 @+ q+ Z' F* M' S( Ystimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
- _9 E; l+ M# s$ M6 m& { z; ]4 adevelopments.
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Information note:
, x3 b8 d' y( A* U& w) c1 IThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
6 \: B1 o O# eof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be) E8 \& F, f% Q% o
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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