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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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3 k; b2 @6 ]2 O) |OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
6 t2 }; ~' v$ mrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! g, P7 N( z4 U* ?4 j" ~ oraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
" p2 A3 y, ~ Uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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% R/ N, D' F# B% o7 OThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
: L0 r6 i; \$ U0 B; |strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the, {' l5 X" l7 o) ^, i6 I
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
8 e9 F$ o* C) M, Bin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized./ M; H/ w, k, C
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
2 L. N. D; y: H$ d! Y1 V8 B* nstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
/ O F4 l; r3 D6 l0 q! q% i/ ]- \variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result% O& y3 k0 p! b& p, M& l2 S! B
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an" Q: N2 R/ n- ?! H' y
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
- N! `% E' R' Y3 u3 jspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% \8 m; S. ~/ O; Iprices and some tightening of financial conditions.# O& O7 E8 _/ Q4 a; h: x# O/ ]. e
E. J8 N( W) a" ^& aActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* x1 y9 I+ k4 S1 {* j1 T3 p; Y
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
/ H" }4 y q5 \ y# S# HGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
6 Q9 \% A) j, [9 {) Bincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more4 j. ~5 e$ y. j7 x' v* ]/ r
balanced recovery.+ R- O$ m: ~) D) j( Q% N7 A9 W- a
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
$ g7 _" H. \2 E6 o) P8 R' Othe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# K7 V5 z& e3 M$ x3 q$ z$ |
supply.
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4 ~1 i* t; p; z) \1 pIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and$ V5 \! m3 u, Y4 O5 S% g
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, J, }& E: @* h. {; Hmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " Y# p4 d' {5 D, {+ Z
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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2 j7 ]8 x. M" B/ C1 R4 YGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary3 |9 S7 S5 s: I; M2 _, `, e- M* C
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
9 |4 k6 i$ j* R0 Y7 s( rdevelopments.8 _. h# A( I& W
4 t( S) E7 V4 x6 p) _8 \Information note:2 l* c5 N7 g3 h. J% e! X
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update m* w7 C! `. V0 V4 ` z
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
; O( r/ z8 z5 Z1 S" M% t0 n" lpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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