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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight" q! ~+ y: u" W
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
" u1 n5 {* X v6 |. c9 Lraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
& w" v) Y9 k5 V9 @6 a! K6 B# Woperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
; x5 q B1 W9 d3 ~& ]. X" e2 \strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
0 K3 Z/ F6 Y7 c" {; \1 ?) {- ^0 Q0 zUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness: [" J0 C; G2 F3 k& c0 y" w
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
: y6 P7 m8 z/ `In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal4 x' U5 F, ~& C' Q9 s
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the- b, b- L+ s' O) k6 s
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
/ O q/ Z$ k$ ?+ ]in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an6 k& x: a% S n8 u" b3 G, @% w
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
: C' y3 t$ X x3 Ispillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
# i: N; w$ n8 h# Kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
* J- h/ [" ]2 q% e1 a2 k7 Oin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.( y# V( Y8 W Y# b8 N( X' k) z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
: g" ~0 S$ A! q; H: ^income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more2 e! e" D, o; s2 x3 p+ C& Q
balanced recovery.: S" n' U7 n/ L; g5 |
, G( G/ d* \+ K; c" @: G1 D/ }7 HCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 f4 \4 A' ~# e6 `) F: e
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
3 g/ k. l/ B0 `' \: t( Asupply. q$ n' z' U% W4 A% a( T4 s
1 G B# q1 n+ f i3 V1 _: f i- y. T% IIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and$ p+ d( P6 h9 T& N6 I
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : U0 D6 H" D Q6 k5 D
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the - U1 p5 {6 A7 [# u- H# m
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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" E: N8 q" w% O! x7 jGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 k, h; I+ h2 t# v" l" \
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic+ w8 n# a+ N5 a& P; l4 g
developments.0 W4 H# j7 q" R3 m4 _
/ B. K2 V) ]" o$ ~2 { v9 F# y6 @Information note:* N% ^) S* {- B- A
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update( D5 E2 r: r2 p& B4 h [
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
1 j* ]3 ?8 S9 N- H6 m8 k$ O- {published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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