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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.2 X& k# |( R* L$ U4 p
" F) i% Q7 w; o7 E4 @! uThe global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its4 q8 a" A( P" V" U" X/ \* F
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is6 D4 ^3 A# ~* P8 B8 ~+ w
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
7 Y! X9 y7 \6 A8 Q% e3 E9 e G# [ qchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European9 }* Y2 f ~# E3 w# q+ s) c
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from8 b. v8 r) o! g7 T% Y& A& P
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could* a7 h: G8 T9 r5 z; \3 Z9 F
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of. [3 O& M" J$ j; C
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are! r: F: Z9 D! p( l( a1 P0 @: A
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.( @8 J7 G' J% r$ M
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative, ?7 |& ?+ T+ v$ {0 K
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
6 k- I, m/ ^" Z9 [$ p; \recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.8 ^2 }9 G! h- J+ a
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
; d- J9 ~9 A4 _ V' X% tof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
, e8 Y! |, w ]$ Rperformance.
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4 o" F: J/ {0 m* C5 wWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
7 ~1 @ G* X# h, oBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the8 Y! Y1 [" v) o0 ?" Y. \7 ?
considerable slack in the economy.% P* w- T1 o5 @9 y# u: b
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate; \, c7 {7 s* \( n
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
) o8 c- Q- W# G; q1 ^2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
3 u7 W; A+ E5 C/ j( B' ireduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
: M _1 |, z: g9 A$ ^Information note:
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' h$ z8 k# m) P | AThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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