 鲜花( 0)  鸡蛋( 0)
|
Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
, |- g% R. @1 z* T2 }6 y) z. ePublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007% Y8 W- W/ f7 s
1 x4 b$ G' W8 m5 U; R' m, MEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.
8 x% ?+ V+ ]6 Z4 B/ T) F- D8 R/ X# f# J
Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
; b, y" K6 F$ w5 ]1 M5 {9 I% f) ?, x; T# l& w
Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.# K% U/ t) J0 X! J
* V" f( j2 g& V; `8 A2 h8 N3 b
Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?& i# t* d( _/ X3 f& W" I w: u
9 R& V" D" X2 g
No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
- }( e% o9 H. D& X! _ g% O, O: f- c H2 L8 k7 E
Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."& Y0 n' r- P( A+ v8 c
. r6 L% n8 f% @/ A y- L$ DWhen asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.3 r! {5 [0 h: ]. t9 \/ |/ D
/ I+ B% O% \6 \8 s0 P& z8 R, b
A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.7 ]2 n# a' o* @* x
% a5 r& V$ P) }& x& K/ Y3 N3 uThe sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
* X; X1 E U! M" E2 R6 G4 f4 N6 D2 d
The prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.
* C* Z' E! H7 Y; ^( B$ j4 J8 j! x' |
% r' ?% v6 B& B3 A9 D oA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
' H4 G6 }: ?( |& h
v2 h' Q3 E. L' n" zAmong those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."" y( x+ m k( k" d i6 u
2 {! \# I/ F7 D) O# u6 o9 L3 ^
The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
6 {4 E& z. r' O9 ?2 Q5 L& e& w/ x) L, [9 g2 S
Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates./ h, _4 q, ?( u
% I. T3 m" R! a! n
"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
|